Horse profile
Elusive Guy (IRE)
by Elusive Pimpernel (USA) out of Connemara Kate (IRE) (Viking Ruler)
30 runs · 16 courses · from Feb 2022
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Limerick
Headgear returns LTO
Last run 3 Feb 2026
Last raced off OR 99
KTB Profile
Elusive Guy is a gelding who has won one of 30 starts on turf. His sole success came at Limerick in Nov 2022 in the Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle over 1m5f – 2m on soft ground. He has raced 13 times over 1m5f – 2m and 13 times over 2m1f – 2m4f without adding to that win. Aged 8 at his last run in Feb 2026 he led when finishing in the Bobbyjo Day February 21st Handicap Hurdle at Fairyhouse off an official rating of 99, 15lb below his highest ever mark, with headgear returning.
Based on 30 archived runs · run-style from 13 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 15lb off peak
- 1–30Wins / Runs
- 3.3%Strike rate
- 4 (13.3%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 0.60Fair A/E n=30 · 0.48 incl. margin
- 114Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating99↓ 15lb off peak
99
63–114
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 117
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 110C | 90 | — |
| Good | 3 | 106C | 72 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 117A | 98 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 11 | 102B | 92 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 100B | 56 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 97B | 74 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 102B | 92 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 108A | 82 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 101A | 96.5 | — |
Of 30 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: did not complete (3) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 30 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Mid-division 5 (38%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 4 (31%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (23%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (8%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 7.7% of 3,131 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −7.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 117 | 9 | 7.7% | 0 | — |
| Good | 966 | 88 | 9.1% | +1.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 509 | 33 | 6.5% | −1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 895 | 66 | 7.4% | −0.3 | 1 from 17 |
| Heavy | 394 | 24 | 6.1% | −1.6 | 0 from 6 |
| Standard (AW) | 248 | 20 | 8.1% | +0.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 21 | 0 | 0% | −7.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 208 | 20 | 9.6% | +1.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 315 | 28 | 8.9% | +1.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 303 | 15 | 5% | −2.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 980 | 71 | 7.2% | −0.5 | 1 from 13 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 853 | 60 | 7% | −0.7 | 0 from 13 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 381 | 40 | 10.5% | +2.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 70 | 6 | 8.6% | +0.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Connemara Kate (IRE) (Viking Ruler)
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ask The Judge (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Imperial Kate (IRE) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Mind The Windows (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 17 | 1 | 6% | +6.00 |
| Heavy | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairyhouse | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Limerick | 4 | 1 | 25% | +19.00 |
| Thurles | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Navan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clonmel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Listowel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 1 | 8% | +10.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Smithers | 14 | 1 | 7% | +9.00 |
| Miss A Fahey | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ronan Whelan | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Aidan Kelly | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Neve Bennett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor Smithers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Harney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Triona Burbage | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 28 | 1 | 4% | −5.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2024 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2023 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2022 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +17.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 14 | 1 | 7% | +9.00 |
| Flat | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Chase | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Feb 26+14d | Fairyhouse | Bobbyjo Day February 21st Handicap Hurdle Set the pace early - challenged and lost front spot 3 out under pressure - faltered rapidly - eased out of contention before 2 out | PU/10 | — | 10-8 | 99 | — | — | Peter Smithers | 16/1 |
| 20 Jan 26+103d | Down Royal | Aspall Handicap Chase (0-100) Settled at the back of the field - urged into action with 5 to jump - lost touch four out and eased to a stop before the second-last | PU/11 | — | 11-7 | 100 | — | — | Peter Smithers | 18/1 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 09 Oct 25+167d | Thurles | www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Held up early - still back in 10th at halfway - pushed along in 9th with two out but failing to close - dropped away in the final furlong to finish 8th | 8/12 | 2½ | 9-0 | 63 | 117A | 61A | Neve Bennett | 28/1 |
| 25 Apr 25+11d | Kilbeggan | SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Chase Settled in the pack - jumping errors at the 5th and 5 out - moved into contention approaching 3 out and briefly co-fronted before the following fence - immediately under pressure and passed - faded tamely to finish 9th | 9/11 | 3¾ | 10-13 | 102 | 41A | 91A | Conor Smithers | 15/2 |
| 14 Apr 25+51d | Tramore | Tramore Promenade Beginners Chase Settled around midfield - improved into 5th three out and pressed for effort - back to 6th approaching the last - unable to threaten leaders and beaten home | 5/13 | 4¼ | 11-7 | — | 92B | 111A | Aidan Kelly | 12/1 |
| 22 Feb 25+17d | Fairyhouse | Tote, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle Sat handy on the outside of the field early - pushed along into 5th after 3 out - up to 4th with 2 to jump - dropped to 6th at the last and held on for no more finishing 6th | 6/23 | 1¾ | 11-0 | 104 | 94B | 109A | Peter Smithers | 10/1 |
| 05 Feb 25+21d | Fairyhouse | Bobbyjo Day February 22nd Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) Settled in the pack - improved into third approaching two out then dropped to 4th under pressure after the last - rallied back into 3rd but only one paced to the line | 3/13 | 1¼ | 10-13 | 102 | — | 122A | Peter Smithers | 13/2 |
| 15 Jan 25+17d | Clonmel | Tipperary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up towards the back - still 9th at halfway - moved into second before 2 out - pressed on from the last but couldn't close on the winner | 2/11 | 3½ | 11-7 | 100 | 60A | 115A | Peter Smithers | 15/2 |
| 2024 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 24+67d | Limerick | RAYN Safety & Security Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Settled just behind the front group wide - 4th at halfway - urged into 5th after 3 out - into 6th before 2 out and hit the fence there - stayed on at one gait through the closing stages - finished 6th | 6/18 | hd | 11-7 | 102 | 92B | 107A | Tom Harney | 16/1 |
| 23 Oct 24+26d | Navan | Navan Racing Festival Real Deal Package On Sale Now Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) Sat close to the front group early - dropped away 4f out and driven on - squeezed for space 2f out and unable to find more before being allowed to drop away late | 15/19 | 2 | 10-2 | 65 | 90C | 66C | Ronan Whelan | 11/2J |
| 27 Sep 24+4d | Listowel | Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race Settled in the pack - pressed for effort 4f out then lost touch inside final 2f - shaved off arrears late to finish 5th | 5/12 | 5 | 10-7 | 65 | — | 69A | Miss A Fahey | 7/1 |
| 23 Sep 24+18d | Listowel | Treo Eile Retraining Ireland's Racehorses Handicap (47-70) Near the front early - dropped into the pack then 8th at halfway - unable to close 1½f out - held on same gear late to finish 7th | 7/14 | ½ | 9-12 | 66 | 72C | 74A | Ronan Whelan | 9/2F |
| 05 Sep 24+5d | Clonmel | John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap (47-70) Settled midpack early - slipped back through the field by halfway - moved into 5th with 6f left - pushed up to challenge on the outside 2f out - edged in front briefly before being reeled in a furlong and a half out - overtaken with a furlong to run - stayed on at one speed to finish third | 3/13 | 5 | 11-12 | 67 | 106C | 78A | Miss A Fahey | 17/2 |
| 31 Aug 24+31d | Curragh | Pat Smullen Cancer Trials Ireland Charity Race | 5/20 | 2½ | 12-0 | 67 | 69C | 76A | Triona Burbage | 18/1 |
| 31 Jul 24+201d | Galway | Download The New Tote App (Q.R.) Maiden | 9/18 | 1 | 11-5 | — | — | 65C | Miss A Fahey | 66/1 |
| 12 Jan 24+55d | Naas | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 10/18 | 2 | 11-6 | 105 | 102B | 106A | Peter Smithers | 17/2 |
| 2023 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Nov 23+31d | Navan | Lisadell Equine Hospital Handicap Hurdle (80-116) | 8/17 | 5½ | 10-13 | 107 | 100B | 102A | Peter Smithers | 16/1 |
| 18 Oct 23+13d | Navan | Safer Gambling Navan Maiden | 7/15 | nk | 10-1 | — | 110C | 77A | Ronan Whelan | 22/1 |
| 05 Oct 23+179d | Thurles | Horse & Jockey Maiden | 5/10 | 1¾ | 10-3 | — | 88A | 76A | Ronan Whelan | 80/1 |
| 09 Apr 23+10d | Fairyhouse | Cawley Furniture Novice Handicap Hurdle | 16/20 | 26 | 10-5 | 109 | 68C | 99C | Peter Smithers | 50/1 |
| 30 Mar 23+40d | Limerick | Molly's Late Bar Handicap Hurdle (80-123) | 7/11 | ½ | 10-11 | 110 | 101A | 102A | Peter Smithers | 33/1 |
| 18 Feb 23+19d | Gowran Park | Tote Fantasy Handicap Hurdle | 13/19 | 17 | 10-9 | 113 | 12C | 92C | Peter Smithers | 50/1 |
| 30 Jan 23+23d | Punchestown | Bar One Racing 'Ante Post Betting At Cheltenham' Rated Novice Hurdle | 6/9 | ½ | 10-11 | 113 | 101A | 112A | Peter Smithers | 66/1 |
| 07 Jan 23+12d | Cork | McCarthy Plant & Agri Sales Rated Novice Hurdle | 6/6 | 30 | 10-11 | 114 | 70C | 74C | Peter Smithers | 10/1 |
| 2022 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 22+34d | Limerick | O'kelly Brothers Demolition Hurdle | UR/5 | — | 11-0 | 114 | — | — | Peter Smithers | 25/1 |
| 22 Nov 22+33d | Limerick | Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 1/14 | 11-8 | — | 82B | 117A | Peter Smithers | 22/1 | |
| 20 Oct 22+41d | Thurles | Munster Flat Race | 8/15 | 2¼ | 11-6 | — | 97B | 94A | Miss A Fahey | 20/1 |
| 09 Sep 22+130d | Ballinrobe | OCL Laundry Flat Race | 4/12 | 2½ | 10-7 | — | 108A | 109A | Aidan Kelly | 33/1 |
| 02 May 22+68d | Down Royal | Energise Energy (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 12/14 | 43 | 11-0 | — | 51C | 80C | Miss A Fahey | 8/1 |
| 23 Feb 22 | Punchestown | Join Racing TV Now Flat Race | 3/7 | 2¾ | 11-0 | — | — | 66C | Miss A Fahey | 16/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Elusive Guy won?
- Elusive Guy (IRE) won 1 of 30 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 3.3%. Placed 4 times in total (13.3% of starts).
- Who trains Elusive Guy?
- Elusive Guy (IRE) is trained by Jarlath P Fahey, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 February 2026.
- Who is Elusive Guy's sire?
- Elusive Guy (IRE) is by Elusive Pimpernel (USA) out of Connemara Kate (IRE), whose sire is Viking Ruler.
- What going does Elusive Guy prefer?
- Elusive Guy (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 17 starts (5.9%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Elusive Guy's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 99, from the run on 3 February 2026. The highest on record is 114.
- What is Elusive Guy's sire's record?
- Elusive Pimpernel (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.7% of 3,131 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Elusive Guy's siblings?
- Out of Connemara Kate (IRE), Elusive Guy (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.