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Jockey profile

Peter Smithers

444 rides in the last 5 seasons · 201 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 6 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
30–444
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=444
111 (25%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=444 · 0.68 incl. margin
−230.98
£1 level stake
n=444 at SP · −52.0%
£456k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 444 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 32.4% when favourite Padraig Roche: 7.1% from 112 Claiming: 7% Rides the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (14.3%, n=35) and Limerick (13.3%, n=30) — all clear of the rider's 6.8% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 51 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −161.32 to a £1 stake over 248 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Padraig Roche supplies 25% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.89). The rider also reads well on Good going (10.9%, n=147). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.9% over 139 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6%−0.8
n=200 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −95.12
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20.7%+13.9
n=29 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −9.47
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.5%−0.3
n=92 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −29.40
When favourite
32.4%
n=37 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −4.24
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7%+0.2
n=428 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −214.98
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.4%−2.4
n=248 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −161.32
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Punchestown 0% vs 6.8% · n=51
At Kilbeggan 14.3% vs 6.8% · n=35
At Limerick 13.3% vs 6.8% · n=30
With Mark Fahey 12.9% vs 6.8% · n=31
On Good going 10.9% vs 6.8% · n=147
On Soft going 2.9% vs 6.8% · n=139
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 352 23 6.5% −185.61
Chase 78 7 9% −31.37
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 147 16 10.9% −65.69
Soft 139 4 2.9% −102.75
Good to Soft 92 4 4.3% −50.14
Heavy 63 5 7.9% −12.40
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 51 0 0% −51.00
Wexford 42 4 9.5% −11.50
Kilbeggan 35 5 14.3% +1.06
Limerick 30 4 13.3% +4.35
Fairyhouse 29 3 10.3% +7.50
Ballinrobe 25 2 8% −18.12
Naas 19 1 5.3% −10.50
Clonmel 19 1 5.3% −14.40
Listowel 18 0 0% −18.00
Galway 17 1 5.9% −15.00
Cork 16 3 18.8% −7.87
Gowran Park 15 0 0% −15.00
Killarney 15 0 0% −15.00
Roscommon 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 13 29.5% 1.19 −6.24
2nd–3rd fav 65 6 9.2% 0.65 −33.24
4th–6th fav 110 7 6.4% 0.79 −36.50
7th+ in betting 225 4 1.8% 0.64 −155.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.3% completed · 430 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 78 80.8% 0 0 14 0 1
Hurdle 352 87.5% 2 6 33 0 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ernie From Nurney (IRE) 19 2 6 7 May 26
Bayou Belle (IRE) 19 0 9 26 Sep 25
Elusive Guy (IRE) 14 1 3 3 Feb 26
Splashing Out (IRE) 10 3 5 20 Sep 26
Bhean Saibhre (IRE) 9 2 4 21 Aug 26
Happy Jacky (IRE) 9 4 5 10 Jul 26
Outside The Door (IRE) 9 3 5 4 Jul 26
Couldntmakeitup (IRE) 7 0 3 12 Apr 26
Ho My Lord (FR) 7 0 2 10 Apr 26
Complete Fiction (IRE) 7 0 1 19 Oct 25
Birdsandthebees (IRE) 7 1 3 6 Aug 25
The Virginian (IRE) 7 0 0 4 Jul 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 201 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0809256178676
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPadraig Roche
25% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.89
TrainerRWSR£1
Padraig Roche 112 8 7.1% −43.40
Jarlath P Fahey 68 2 2.9% −37.00
Mark Fahey 31 4 12.9% −6.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
30
Archived wins
£457k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 9 wins
Happy Jacky (IRE) — Paul & Carmel Fay Memorial Handicap Hurdle Kilbeggan · Jun 2024
£12,980
Shadow Rider (FR) — Tommy Carberry Handicap Hurdle Fairyhouse · Feb 2024
£12,390
Splashing Out (IRE) — Neville Hotels Handicap Hurdle Wexford (IRE) · Aug 2026
£12,000
Notable horses
Happy Jacky (IRE) Splashing Out (IRE) Outside The Door (IRE) Ernie From Nurney (IRE) Bhean Saibhre (IRE) Typical Thomas (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since 2008 (699 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,140 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 382.
Buratino (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,883 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.
Milan (GB) 31.8% · 7–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,866 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,946 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 446 · newest first

The latest 50 of 446 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 December 2021 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Prophet's Corner (IRE)T: Sean Joseph Allen W.b. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 14/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Issy's Lad (IRE)T: W J Austin Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 12th 250/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Inthenickoftime (IRE)T: E Bolger Medical Technology Ireland Expo Galway Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 5/2F
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Everin Dream (IRE)T: Jarlath P Fahey Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 150/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cometothinkofit (IRE)T: Padraig Roche William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 20/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Palace Tyne (IRE)T: Padraig Roche William Hill Challenge Series 3-Y-O Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran PU 250/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Piccolo Player (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Co-Op Superstores Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Anodandawink (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 4/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Grey Ace (IRE)T: R K Watson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 6th 80/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Inthenickoftime (IRE)T: E Bolger SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 1st 1/1F
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Little Bonnie (IRE)T: Padraig Roche Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Barrogstown Girl (IRE)T: Jarlath P Fahey Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 9th 11/2
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Claude (IRE)T: Sarah Joanna Connell Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 100/30
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Good World (IRE)T: Eoin Griffin Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran PU 22/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Bangor Lady (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 10th 28/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Princess Felicia (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 11/2
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Three County Star (IRE)T: Brian Mortell Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 8th 14/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Everin Dream (IRE)T: Jarlath P Fahey Athleague Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 100/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Cappa Hill (IRE)T: Sean Joseph Allen Kinisla Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 18/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Splashing Out (IRE)T: Eoin Griffin Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 5th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Peter Smithers's strike rate?
Peter Smithers has won 30 of 444 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Smithers do best at?
Kilbeggan by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 rides (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Peter Smithers ride most for?
Padraig Roche, with 112 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.1%).
Is Peter Smithers in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Peter Smithers's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 444 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).