Fickle Fortune (IRE)
Fickle Fortune (IRE) is 1 from 5. Hasn't won since Feb 2012.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Fickle Fortune (IRE) has 2 produce in the archive, 1 winner — most wins The Model Kingdom (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m½f; the highest grade won is Grade 3 (The Model Kingdom (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Model Kingdom (IRE) | 16 | 5 | 2m–2m½f | Grade 3 |
| Millers Point (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 4 (80%)Placed
- −3.27£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.75Fair A/E n=5 · 0.58 incl. margin
- 78dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since Jan 2008 (317 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 14.2% from 162.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 12 | 0 | 0% | −11.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 162 | 23 | 14.2% | +3 | — |
| Good | 810 | 83 | 10.2% | −1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 474 | 57 | 12% | +0.8 | — |
| Soft | 847 | 92 | 10.9% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 501 | 58 | 11.6% | +0.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | +4.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +5.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 885 | 96 | 10.8% | −0.4 | 1 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,000 | 107 | 10.7% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 747 | 88 | 11.8% | +0.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 168 | 21 | 12.5% | +1.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Crocodiles Rock (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Grade 2 (Crocodiles Rock (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crocodiles Rock (IRE) | 12 | 5 | 2m–2m4f | Grade 2 |
| Ballyclough (IRE) | 5 | 2 | 1m7½f–2m1½f | Class 5 |
| Hidden Reserve (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 2m | — |
| He's My Man (IRE) | 25 | 1 | 2m | — |
| Four Strong Winds (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Global Bonus (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.27 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ms N Carberry | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.27 |
| Paul Carberry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NH Flat | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.27 |
| Hurdle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec 12+13d | Navan | Kells Maiden Hurdle | 2/14 | 4¾ | 11-0 | 127A | Paul Carberry | 10/3 |
| 25 Nov 12+27d | Navan | ITBA Fillies Scheme E.B.F. Mares Flat Race (Listed) | 2/19 | 4 | 11-3 | 135A | Ms N Carberry | 3/1 |
| 29 Oct 12+187d | Galway | galwayraces.com (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 2/5 | ½ | 11-3 | 122B | Ms N Carberry | 11/10F |
| 25 Apr 12+84d | Punchestown | betchronicle.com Champion I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 1) | 5/10 | 14 | 10-11 | 103C | Ms N Carberry | 9/2 |
| 01 Feb 12 | Down Royal | Dark Horse Cafe At Down Royal Flat Race | 1/12 | 10-7 | 107A | Ms N Carberry | 8/11F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fickle Fortune (IRE) won?
- Fickle Fortune (IRE) won 1 of 5 archived starts in 2012, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 4 times in total (80% of starts).
- Who trained Fickle Fortune (IRE)?
- Fickle Fortune (IRE) was trained by Noel Meade on the most recent run on record, at Navan on 8 December 2012.
- Who is Fickle Fortune (IRE)'s sire?
- Fickle Fortune (IRE) is by Heron Island (IRE) out of That's The Bonus (IRE), whose sire is Executive Perk.
- What going does Fickle Fortune (IRE) prefer?
- Fickle Fortune (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fickle Fortune (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Heron Island (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since Jan 2008 (317 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 14.2% from 162.
- Who are Fickle Fortune (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of That's The Bonus (IRE), Fickle Fortune (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Crocodiles Rock (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Grade 2 (Crocodiles Rock (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.
- Has Fickle Fortune (IRE) produced winners?
- As a dam, Fickle Fortune (IRE) has 2 produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: The Model Kingdom (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Grade 3 (The Model Kingdom (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m½f. As at Oct 2026.