What is Noel Meade's strike rate?

Noel Meade has won 199 of 2,096 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Noel Meade do best at?

Roscommon by strike rate: 11 wins from 71 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Noel Meade?

Colin Keane, with 513 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (11.9%).

Is Noel Meade in form?

In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 9.5% since 2022.

What is Noel Meade's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 2,095 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Noel Meade

2,096 runners in the last 5 seasons · 260 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.3% of 478 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

199–2,096

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=2,096

623 (30%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=2,095 · 0.78 incl. margin

−690.62

£1 level stake

n=2,096 at SP · −32.9%

£5.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 420 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,096 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10% 30.2% when favourite Colin Keane: 11.9% from 513 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (19.5%, n=41), clear of the yard's 9.5% baseline. It is weakest at Gowran Park (3.7% over 109 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.6% (n=178, Fair A/E 1.05). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 8.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +46.00 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 8% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −48.74 to a £1 stake over 113 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 27 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 9.5pts below the 9.5% baseline). Colin Keane rides 24% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.9% vs 9.5%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (18.2%, n=44). 195 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Gold Cup at Curragh (May 2021, £177,000). The stable star of the record: Snow Falcon (IRE) — 12 wins from 57 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10%+0.5

n=401 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −91.94

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−9.5

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

5.6%−3.9

n=178 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −70.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8%−1.5

n=113 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −48.74

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.9%−0.6

n=101 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +46.00

When favourite

30.2%

n=172 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −32.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%−2.6

n=477 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −143.14

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.4%+0.9

n=260 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −32.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Sam Ewing 17.6% vs 9.5% · n=102

At Kilbeggan 19.5% vs 9.5% · n=41

In NH Flat races 18.2% vs 9.5% · n=44

On last-time-out winners 15.6% vs 9.5% · n=192

With B J Cooper 15.7% vs 9.5% · n=83

At Gowran Park 3.7% vs 9.5% · n=109

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,369 108 7.9% −561.88

Hurdle 463 56 12.1% −122.80

Chase 220 27 12.3% −4.05

NH Flat 44 8 18.2% −1.89

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 695 74 10.6% −212.12

Good 668 70 10.5% −189.76

Good to Soft 268 24 9% −86.32

Heavy 249 19 7.6% −97.50

Standard (AW) 199 12 6% −87.92

Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 201 13 6.5% −90.33

Dundalk (AW) 198 12 6.1% −86.92

Leopardstown 197 22 11.2% −12.26

Naas 157 18 11.5% −37.14

Fairyhouse 147 15 10.2% −62.50

Navan 129 8 6.2% −87.57

Punchestown 116 8 6.9% −59.75

Gowran Park 109 4 3.7% −76.50

Galway 108 16 14.8% −22.26

Down Royal 104 11 10.6% −45.25

Cork 92 8 8.7% −47.64

Roscommon 71 11 15.5% +4.13

Bellewstown 63 7 11.1% −41.37

Killarney 54 4 7.4% −23.12

Ballinrobe 43 6 14% +17.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 266 28 10.5% −30.23

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 203 59 29.1% 1.03 −33.39

2nd–3rd fav 490 73 14.9% 0.93 −126.73

4th–6th fav 622 47 7.6% 1.01 −153.00

7th+ in betting 781 20 2.6% 0.81 −377.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Golden Temple (IRE) 42 4 9 13 Oct 26

Charlie Luciano (IRE) 40 6 16 10 Oct 26

Zoffman (IRE) 39 3 16 3 Oct 26

Jesse Evans (IRE) 37 7 19 23 Sep 26

Helvic Dream (IRE) 36 3 10 11 Oct 26

Layfayette (IRE) 34 7 11 22 Aug 26

Desert Haven (GB) 34 2 10 24 Apr 26

Billie Frechette (IRE) 29 3 13 9 Aug 26

Dutch Gold (IRE) 28 2 5 30 Aug 26

Eric Lock (GB) 27 1 9 3 Dec 25

Port Louis (IRE)then Bernard Llewellyn 26 2 5 12 Nov 25

Encosta (IRE)then Archibald J Kingsley Jr 25 2 9 5 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 260 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for John C McConnell (3) and Eamonn O'Connell (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 27 0% · −9.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base9.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

471110910129910117

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderColin Keane

24% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Colin Keane 513 61 11.9% −132.58

Donagh Meyler 156 17 10.9% −71.24

Chris Hayes 153 7 4.6% −100.75

Sam Ewing 102 18 17.6% +18.60

Jamie Powell 94 5 5.3% −44.00

Robert Whearty 92 4 4.3% −34.50

Adam Caffrey 91 6 6.6% −45.42

Sean Flanagan 90 8 8.9% −18.00

B J Cooper 83 13 15.7% −19.46

Dylan Browne McMonagle 58 3 5.2% −37.50

Neil Ryan 47 4 8.5% +23.50

Ben Coen 42 2 4.8% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,370

Archived wins

195

Pattern / graded wins

£29.2m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 129 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Helvic Dream (IRE) — Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1) Curragh · May 2021 · Group 1

£177,000

Pinkerton (IRE) — Tote Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Galway · Jul 2024 · Grade 3

£159,300

Road To Riches (IRE) — thetote.com Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Jul 2014 · Grade A

£120,375

Notable horses

Snow Falcon (IRE) Layfayette (IRE) Jesse Evans (IRE) Donnas Palm (IRE) Fisher Bridge (IRE) Aitmatov (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zoffany (IRE) 8.8% · 10–113

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,761 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Galileo Gold (GB) 8.5% · 6–71

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,016 runs since 2008 (173 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 7.7% · 5–65

Progeny have won 11% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (458 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 6.8% · 4–59

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Power (GB) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,720 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 353. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 160.

Belardo (IRE) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,700 runs since 2008 (280 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,534 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,534 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Love Orchid (IRE)J: Nina Doherty Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Esprit De Loi (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 100/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sir Jeremy (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 12th 9/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Galileo Noir (IRE)J: Colin Keane Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 7th 20/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Winter Adventure (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 11th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Gabby Hayes (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lori Darlin (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 200/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Golden Temple (IRE)J: Sam Ewing William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 28/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Acanto (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 12/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Stars Will Shine (IRE)J: Colin Keane SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 5/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Love Orchid (IRE)J: Nina Doherty TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Helvic Dream (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 14th 20/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Sir Jeremy (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 3rd 17/2

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Madbadanddangerous (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 2nd 11/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Caught U Sleeping (IRE)J: Colin Keane Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 7/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) The Hidden Kingdom (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 7th 18/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Charlie Luciano (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 20/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Twin Nation (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran PU 100/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Esprit De Loi (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 100/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Poets Rambler (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Randox Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Meade's strike rate?: Noel Meade has won 199 of 2,096 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Noel Meade do best at?: Roscommon by strike rate: 11 wins from 71 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Noel Meade?: Colin Keane, with 513 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (11.9%).
Is Noel Meade in form?: In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 9.5% since 2022.
What is Noel Meade's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 2,095 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.