First Confession (IRE)
First Confession is 3 from 11 on turf, with all wins at 2m1f to 3m. He won a Class 3 maiden hurdle at Ascot in Nov 2024 on good ground, a Class 2 novices hurdle at Ascot in Feb 2025 on good ground off 126, and a Class 3 beginners chase at Carlisle in Feb 2026 on good to soft off 127. Ridden prominently in his last run at Cheltenham in Mar 2026, he finished 10 of 17 in the National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices Handicap Chase off a career-high mark of 133.
- 3–11Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 5 (45.5%)Placed
- −4.26£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.28Fair A/E n=11 · 1.15 incl. margin
- 133Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 110
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 5 | 110A | 87 | 4 · 110 / 92 |
| Good | 4 | 125A | 93.5 | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 125A | 91.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 110A | 87 | 3 · 110 / 87 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 97A | 89 | 2 · 97 / 89 |
Of 11 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs
- Prominent 4 (57%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (14%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (14%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (14%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.9% of 1,250 runs since Jan 2008 (197 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 2 | 25% | +12.1 | — |
| Good | 450 | 57 | 12.7% | −0.2 | 2 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 319 | 41 | 12.9% | 0 | 1 from 7 |
| Soft | 336 | 44 | 13.1% | +0.2 | — |
| Heavy | 135 | 17 | 12.6% | −0.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +12.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 462 | 52 | 11.3% | −1.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 536 | 72 | 13.4% | +0.5 | 2 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 210 | 30 | 14.3% | +1.4 | 1 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | +1.8 | 0 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 7 | 1 | 14% | −5.17 |
| Good | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.91 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 6 | 2 | 33% | −2.26 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Carlisle | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.17 |
| Ascot | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.91 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.17 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.91 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.17 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.17 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 2 | 40% | −0.09 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 26+35d | Cheltenham | National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Handy early - stumbled 5th and fumbled 4 out - pushed along 3 out - lost place before 2 out - already beaten when down last | 10/17 | 10 | 11-3 | 133 | 81C | 117C | Brendan Powell | 33/1 |
| 03 Feb 26+25d | Carlisle | racingtv.com 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Chase (GBB Race) Jumped to the front - untidy at the 1st - blundered and lost the advantage at the 4th - regained the lead at the 10th - four lengths to the good by the 13th - in command from 3 out - eight lengths ahead at the last - slowed right down on the run-in to win with plenty in hand | 1/4 | 11-5 | 127 | 87C | 141B | Brendan Powell | 5/6F | |
| 09 Jan 26+27d | Exeter | PricedUp Daily Racing Boosts Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Handy early - shared front spot from the 1st - fell at the 6th | F/6 | — | 11-7 | 127 | — | — | Brendan Powell | 11/2 |
| 13 Dec 25+19d | Cheltenham | Michael Eakins Senior Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Up with the front group early - stumbled on coming down at the 8th - dropped back and ridden 14th and not jumping cleanly at the following fence - well behind with an error 4 out - detached 3 out and well held in 5th | 5/8 | 19 | 11-7 | 128 | 97A | 117B | Brendan Powell | 4/1 |
| 24 Nov 25+22d | Kempton | CopyBet Acca Boost Up To 100% Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the early gallop before yielding the front at the 3rd - remained handy through the race - pushed along around the home turn - kept up a steady effort to finish third | 3/7 | 1½ | 11-7 | 128 | 86A | 134B | Brendan Powell | EvensF |
| 02 Nov 25+233d | Carlisle | PricedUp.Bet Gordon Richards Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Handy in the pack early - clipped a fence 10th then urged on 4 out - shaken up to move into third 2 out - stayed on for third but no match for the leading two | 3/12 | 6 | 11-10 | 129 | 110A | 143A | Brendan Powell | 15/2 |
| 14 Mar 25+27d | Cheltenham | Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Shared the front early - dropped to 2nd then sat 4th in touch with the pack - urged along and faded fast approaching 3 out - eased and pulled up before the final fence | PU/20 | — | 11-7 | 129 | — | — | Brendan Powell | 50/1 |
| 15 Feb 25+49d | Ascot | Betfair Racing Podcasts Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - driven out approaching the home turn to open a decisive advantage - kept finding more to the line | 1/4 | 11-7 | 126 | 70C | 138B | Brendan Powell | 2/1 | |
| 28 Dec 24+36d | Newbury | Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Settled off the pace early - dropped back before the 4th - scratchy over the 7th - far adrift with three to jump and finished no threat | 7/7 | 19 | 11-7 | 126 | 82C | 115C | Brendan Powell | 14/1 |
| 22 Nov 24+28d | Ascot | Safer Gambling Week 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled 2nd - needed driving before 4 out - hard at work and mounting a serious challenge after 3 out - hit the front by a slim margin on the home turn - stretched out 2 out - vigorous ride before the last - pulled well ahead on the run-in and handed a quiet finish | 1/3 | 11-4 | — | 101C | 137C | Brendan Powell | 10/11F | |
| 25 Oct 24 | Cheltenham | Alastair Down Press Room Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled towards the back of the field - improved into clear third at the final obstacle - finished third beaten just over 14 lengths | 3/8 | 12 | 11-0 | — | 125A | 124A | Brendan Powell | 8/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has First Confession (IRE) won?
- First Confession (IRE) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 5 times in total (45.5% of starts).
- Who trains First Confession (IRE)?
- First Confession (IRE) is trained by Joe Tizzard, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 March 2026.
- Who is First Confession (IRE)'s sire?
- First Confession (IRE) is by Affinisea (IRE) out of Lough Derg Lily (IRE), whose sire is Presenting.
- What going does First Confession (IRE) prefer?
- First Confession (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is First Confession (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 133, from the run on 10 March 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is First Confession (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Affinisea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.9% of 1,250 runs since Jan 2008 (197 horses), Flat and jumps together.