What is Brendan Powell's strike rate?

Brendan Powell has won 244 of 2,083 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Brendan Powell do best at?

Ascot by strike rate: 12 wins from 59 rides (20.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Brendan Powell ride most for?

Joe Tizzard, with 1,098 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 157 (14.3%).

Is Brendan Powell in form?

In the last 14 days: 19 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.7% since 2022.

What is Brendan Powell's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 2,079 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Brendan Powell

2,083 rides in the last 5 seasons · 648 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 6 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

244–2,083

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=2,083

671 (32%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=2,079 · 0.81 incl. margin

−617.47

£1 level stake

n=2,083 at SP · −29.6%

£4.89m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 420 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (238 rides). Rides mostly for Joe Tizzard — 53% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,083 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Nov Fresh horses: 12.1% 36.5% when favourite Joe Tizzard: 14.3% from 1,098 LTO winners: 21.4% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (24.1%, n=54) and Ascot (20.3%, n=59) — all clear of the rider's 11.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.4% (n=238, Fair A/E 1.11), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.7% (n=241, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.63 and −62.25 to a £1 stake over 117 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joe Tizzard supplies 53% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.3% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 3 (17.1%, n=327). 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2020, £61,897). The standout partner of the record: Triple Trade (GB) — 8 wins from 28 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.9%−5.8

n=558 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −311.09

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.4%+9.7

n=238 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −20.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.1%+0.4

n=471 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −127.48

When favourite

36.5%

n=211 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −16.83

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.7%−8.0

n=241 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −150.26

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.8%−4.9

n=117 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −62.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.4% vs 11.7% · n=238

At Ffos Las 24.1% vs 11.7% · n=54

On first rides for the horse 5.9% vs 11.7% · n=558

At Ascot 20.3% vs 11.7% · n=59

In Class 3 17.1% vs 11.7% · n=327

With headgear back on 3.9% vs 11.7% · n=51

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.2% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,078 118 10.9% −310.90

Chase 837 116 13.9% −206.90

NH Flat 159 9 5.7% −98.67

Flat 9 1 11.1% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 882 116 13.2% −222.30

Good to Soft 596 52 8.7% −179.58

Soft 437 48 11% −179.64

Heavy 119 19 16% −24.07

Good to Firm 47 9 19.1% −9.88

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 189 23 12.2% −70.84

Fontwell 158 22 13.9% +55.39

Newton Abbot 156 22 14.1% −51.61

Exeter 143 15 10.5% −40.88

Plumpton 133 20 15% −42.78

Taunton 121 11 9.1% −73.35

Cheltenham 102 7 6.9% −54.34

Chepstow 100 6 6% −65.00

Newbury 89 10 11.2% −29.92

Kempton 86 12 14% −37.39

Worcester 75 5 6.7% −49.87

Uttoxeter 65 7 10.8% +18.16

Hereford 61 10 16.4% −14.84

Ascot 59 12 20.3% −6.57

Stratford 55 5 9.1% −23.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 779 85 10.9% −223.75

Class 5 607 63 10.4% −178.81

Class 3 327 56 17.1% −64.20

Class 2 197 29 14.7% −49.79

Class 1 172 11 6.4% −99.92

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 244 87 35.7% 1.06 −14.43

2nd–3rd fav 596 89 14.9% 0.83 −176.04

4th–6th fav 748 64 8.6% 1.06 −89.00

7th+ in betting 495 4 0.8% 0.28 −338.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.6% completed · 1,915 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 837 82.7% 29 16 100 0 0

Hurdle 1,078 86.1% 19 13 117 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Triple Trade (GB) 27 8 14 25 Oct 26

Scarface (IRE) 26 4 12 2 Feb 26

Kauto The King (FR) 25 4 8 14 Nov 24

Bourbali (FR) 24 5 12 3 Jan 26

Eldorado Allen (FR) 23 2 7 10 Apr 26

Ilovethenightlife (GB) 23 5 7 3 Feb 26

The Changing Man (IRE) 23 4 15 29 Nov 25

War Lord (GER) 23 2 5 20 Oct 25

Jpr One (IRE) 22 7 10 23 Oct 26

Investment Manager (GB) 21 5 9 11 Oct 25

Gyenyame (GB) 20 2 11 14 Oct 26

West Orchard (IRE) 20 1 6 16 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 648 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 19 10.5% · −1.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10.5%

5-season base11.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111111911121092114168

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJoe Tizzard

53% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 0.97

TrainerRWSR£1

Joe Tizzard 1,098 157 14.3% −209.68

Colin Tizzard 144 23 16% −37.04

Henrietta C Knight 139 12 8.6% −61.29

David Bridgwater 88 5 5.7% −24.45

Oliver Sherwood 42 5 11.9% −14.75

Neil Mulholland 42 4 9.5% −15.50

Clare Ellam 42 3 7.1% −4.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

574

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.37m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 62 wins

The Conditional (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Grade 3

£61,897

Jpr One (IRE) — BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race) Exeter · Nov 2024 · Grade 2

£59,440

Alexei (GER) — Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2025 · Class 1

£56,950

Notable horses

Triple Trade (GB) Jpr One (IRE) Bourbali (FR) Investment Manager (GB) Kauto The King (FR) Ilovethenightlife (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 18.7% · 17–91

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,054 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Getaway (GER) 7.9% · 7–89

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Milan (GB) 14.1% · 11–78

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,883 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Westerner (GB) 19.7% · 14–71

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,861 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Shirocco (GER) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,192 runs since 2010 (922 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 10.6% · 5–47

Progeny have won 13.6% of 2,250 runs since 2016 (256 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,549 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,549 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2011 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Diamond Days (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran F 5/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Knickerbockerglory (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Pricedup Bog From 10am Castletown Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 16/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Ballyteige (IRE)T: Sam Allwood Pricedup Now With Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 33/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Colombe D'or (FR)T: Joe Tizzard Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 7/2

31 Oct 26 Ascot Rightsotom (GER)T: Joe Tizzard Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 12th 28/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot No Way Jay (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard 1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 7/4

31 Oct 26 Ascot Queensbury Boy (IRE)T: Mickey Bowen Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 4th 17/2

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Loustic Du Chatel (FR)T: Henrietta C Knight Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 11th 3/1F

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Crimson Ocean (GB)T: Dan Horsford Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Affinitive (IRE)T: Henrietta C Knight Quinnbet Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 8/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Ugo Bingo (FR)T: Joe Tizzard bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Valiant Soldier (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard Dandara Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/2

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Baile An Or (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 5/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Straw Merchant (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard Thankyou & Farewell Dr. Tim Tilsley Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Mask Of Zorro (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard Sky Sports Racing Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 5/2

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Opening Bid (GB)T: Joe Tizzard Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 3/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Crystal Orchard (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard St. Austell Brewery Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 11/2

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Thesoldiersminit (IRE)T: Sam Allwood High Gosforth Park Golf Club Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

26 Oct 26 Hereford Thatsnotmyname (GB)T: Dan Horsford tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran F 100/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Rivers Corner (GB)T: Joe Tizzard Christmas Jumper & Student Raceday 3rd December Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 3) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 3) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Brendan Powell's strike rate?: Brendan Powell has won 244 of 2,083 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brendan Powell do best at?: Ascot by strike rate: 12 wins from 59 rides (20.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Brendan Powell ride most for?: Joe Tizzard, with 1,098 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 157 (14.3%).
Is Brendan Powell in form?: In the last 14 days: 19 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.7% since 2022.
What is Brendan Powell's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 2,079 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.