What is Joe Tizzard's strike rate?

Joe Tizzard has won 234 of 1,657 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joe Tizzard do best at?

Ascot by strike rate: 13 wins from 53 runners (24.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Joe Tizzard?

Brendan Powell, with 1,074 runners since 2022 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 148 (13.8%).

Is Joe Tizzard in form?

In the last 14 days: 23 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.1% since 2022.

What is Joe Tizzard's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,651 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Joe Tizzard

1,657 runners in the last 5 seasons · 183 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.2% of 401 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

234–1,657

Wins / Runs

14.1%

Strike rate

n=1,657

564 (34%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,651 · 0.87 incl. margin

−282.93

£1 level stake

n=1,657 at SP · −17.1%

£4.56m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 330 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 17% (71 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,657 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 39.9% when favourite Brendan Powell: 13.8% from 1,074 New recruits: 16.7% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ascot (24.5%, n=53), Plumpton (22.3%, n=94) and Warwick (22.6%, n=31) — all clear of the yard's 14.1% baseline. It is weakest at Stratford (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 10% (n=90, Fair A/E 0.91). Brendan Powell rides 65% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.8%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 7.2% over 152 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the My Pension Expert Clarence House Chase at Cheltenham (Jan 2024, £59,798). The stable star of the record: Scarface (IRE) — 7 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.5%−0.6

n=394 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −39.12

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.7%+2.6

n=102 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −25.37

Debutants · first career start

13.4%−0.7

n=82 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −7.92

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.9%+2.8

n=71 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +4.49

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−8.2

n=17 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −9.50

When favourite

39.9%

n=208 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +12.10

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.5%−0.6

n=274 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −100.63

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%−4.1

n=90 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −10.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.1% vs 14.1% · n=234

At Ascot 24.5% vs 14.1% · n=53

At Stratford 3.2% vs 14.1% · n=31

At Plumpton 22.3% vs 14.1% · n=94

In Class 1 7.2% vs 14.1% · n=152

At Warwick 22.6% vs 14.1% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 790 122 15.4% −176.90

Hurdle 732 99 13.5% −79.36

NH Flat 103 11 10.7% −4.17

Flat 32 2 6.3% −22.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 675 109 16.1% −157.00

Good to Soft 512 58 11.3% −12.98

Soft 311 38 12.2% −98.23

Heavy 113 21 18.6% +1.91

Good to Firm 30 6 20% −10.13

Standard (AW) 15 2 13.3% −5.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 208 27 13% −7.42

Newton Abbot 184 34 18.5% −30.28

Exeter 175 20 11.4% −48.40

Taunton 116 15 12.9% −43.98

Fontwell 104 19 18.3% +81.89

Chepstow 97 8 8.2% −59.84

Plumpton 94 21 22.3% −1.12

Cheltenham 86 7 8.1% −19.34

Kempton 76 9 11.8% −37.31

Newbury 69 9 13% −2.92

Ascot 53 13 24.5% −1.07

Sandown 44 4 9.1% −25.12

Hereford 36 8 22.2% +5.36

Warwick 31 7 22.6% +7.82

Worcester 31 3 9.7% −15.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 580 86 14.8% +8.71

Class 5 401 54 13.5% −120.62

Class 3 317 51 16.1% −66.65

Class 2 195 30 15.4% −40.95

Class 1 152 11 7.2% −60.92

Class 6 12 2 16.7% −2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 239 94 39.3% 1.20 +21.50

2nd–3rd fav 538 88 16.4% 0.91 −127.93

4th–6th fav 567 44 7.8% 0.88 −82.50

7th+ in betting 313 8 2.6% 0.72 −94.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.9% completed · 1,522 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 790 80.1% 24 16 116 1 0

Hurdle 732 88% 13 10 63 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Striking A Pose (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 35 4 10 23 Jun 26

Scarface (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 30 7 14 14 Oct 26

Belgarum (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 30 5 9 13 Jul 26

Sherborne (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 29 7 12 14 Oct 26

Triple Trade (GB)from Colin Tizzard 28 6 12 15 Apr 26

Bourbali (FR)from Colin Tizzard 28 2 10 23 Mar 26

West Orchard (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 27 5 11 11 Oct 26

Kauto The King (FR)from Colin Tizzard 27 5 8 14 Nov 24

Bertie Wooster (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 25 1 9 17 Oct 26

Moonlight Artist (GB) 25 2 6 17 Apr 26

Copperhead (GB)from Colin Tizzard 25 5 10 29 Mar 26

Ryder's Rock (GB) 25 2 9 24 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 183 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Colin Tizzard (33); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 23 13% · −1.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13%

5-season base14.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1514121118187172713199

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrendan Powell

65% of all rides
13.8% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Brendan Powell 1,074 148 13.8% −223.10

Freddie Gingell 274 51 18.6% +18.50

Harry Kimber 79 9 11.4% −34.90

Harry Cobden 34 4 11.8% +17.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

234

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.56m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 62 wins

Elixir De Nutz (FR) — My Pension Expert Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2024 · Grade 1

£59,798

Jpr One (IRE) — BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race) Exeter · Nov 2024 · Grade 2

£59,440

Alexei (GER) — Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2025 · Class 1

£56,950

Notable horses

Scarface (IRE) Sherborne (IRE) Triple Trade (GB) Belgarum (IRE) Kauto The King (FR) West Orchard (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 12.5% · 15–120

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 16.5% · 14–85

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Westerner (GB) 21% · 17–81

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Shirocco (GER) 12.5% · 10–80

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Milan (GB) 15.3% · 9–59

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,657 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,657 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2022 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Irish Ocean (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Sky Sports Racing Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Bertie Wooster (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Dgm Robotic Mowers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran PU 3/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Arbitration (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 6th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Horethorne (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Squib (GB)J: Brendan Powell British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 6th 20/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Diamond Days (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 8/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell I Shut That D'or (FR)J: Brendan Powell tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Living In Luxury (IRE)J: Brendan Powell BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/2

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Gingerbred (GB)J: Brendan Powell Enigma Flooring Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 10/11F

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Scarface (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell Adept GRP Cabinets Native River Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran PU 17/2

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Gyenyame (GB)J: Brendan Powell Adept GRP Cabinets Native River Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Sherborne (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell RWK Goodman Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 6 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Chase Series)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Siam Park (IRE)J: Brendan Powell PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 5/2F

12 Oct 26 Worcester Sweet Caryline (GB)J: Brendan Powell FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 15/2

11 Oct 26 Chepstow West Orchard (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 16/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Ugo Bingo (FR)J: Brendan Powell Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 6/4F

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Walkinthemournes (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 12/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Rightsotom (GER)J: Brendan Powell Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle Race (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 14th 33/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Baile An Or (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Dragonbet Backing Welsh Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 22/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Reel Orange (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell Alan Bushell Racing Remembers Alan Davies Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joe Tizzard's strike rate?: Joe Tizzard has won 234 of 1,657 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joe Tizzard do best at?: Ascot by strike rate: 13 wins from 53 runners (24.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Joe Tizzard?: Brendan Powell, with 1,074 runners since 2022 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 148 (13.8%).
Is Joe Tizzard in form?: In the last 14 days: 23 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.1% since 2022.
What is Joe Tizzard's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,651 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.