Formidable Force (IRE)
Formidable Force won one of five starts, the success coming in a Class 5 handicap at Lingfield over 6f-7f on good to firm in Jun 2024. The gelding, by Sea The Stars out of a mare by Arch, has three places from his five runs. He finished third of 11 at Pontefract in Aug 2024 when beaten favourite and last raced off his career-high mark of 79.
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 3 (60%)Placed
- −1.25£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 1.26Fair A/E n=5 · 1.07 incl. margin
- 79Highest OR
- 91dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 111B | 101 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 99B | 95.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 111B | 92 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,938 runs since Jan 2008 (1,110 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,503 | 284 | 18.9% | +3.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 2,646 | 421 | 15.9% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 1,238 | 205 | 16.6% | +0.9 | — |
| Soft | 1,524 | 186 | 12.2% | −3.5 | — |
| Heavy | 453 | 42 | 9.3% | −6.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,555 | 422 | 16.5% | +0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | −0.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 772 | 113 | 14.6% | −1.1 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,095 | 335 | 16% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4,411 | 757 | 17.2% | +1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,889 | 262 | 13.9% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 584 | 73 | 12.5% | −3.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 139 | 16 | 11.5% | −4.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Karnavaal (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Amaan (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karnavaal (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Amaan (GB) | 4 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Awqaat (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Lady's Court (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Dawson | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug 24+60d | Pontefract | Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap Hampered start - settled towards back - pushed along over a furlong out - finished strongly to snatch third close home | 3/11 | hd | 9-11 | 79 | 111B | 98A | Ray Dawson | 3/1F |
| 08 Jun 24+52d | Lingfield | Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap | 1/9 | 9-6 | 72 | 91A | 99A | Ray Dawson | 11/4F | |
| 17 Apr 24+155d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Zero% Mission Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/13 | 2¼ | 9-3 | — | 99B | 91A | Daniel Muscutt | 4/1 |
| 14 Nov 23+95d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Set Deposit Limits At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/12 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 92A | 87A | Hector Crouch | 5/1 |
| 11 Aug 23 | Newmarket | Maritime Cargo Services Road Haulage British EBF 'Newcomers' Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 6/10 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 73A | 81A | Daniel Muscutt | 18/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Formidable Force (IRE) won?
- Formidable Force (IRE) won 1 of 5 archived starts between 2023 and 2024, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 3 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trained Formidable Force (IRE)?
- Formidable Force (IRE) was trained by James Ferguson on the most recent run on record, at Pontefract on 7 August 2024.
- Who is Formidable Force (IRE)'s sire?
- Formidable Force (IRE) is by Sea The Stars (IRE) out of Qareenah (USA), whose sire is Arch.
- What is Formidable Force (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 79, from the run on 7 August 2024. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Formidable Force (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Sea The Stars (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.7% of 9,938 runs since Jan 2008 (1,110 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
- Who are Formidable Force (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Qareenah (USA), Formidable Force (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Karnavaal (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Amaan (GB)). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.