He Can't Dance (IRE)
He Can't Dance is a gelding by Jukebox Jury out of Fairy Tale who has three wins from 11 starts on turf. He won the Pepsi Max Hurdle at Down Royal over 2m5f – 3m on good ground in May 2026 when leading, his third success after wins in a maiden hurdle at Limerick on heavy and a bumper at Navan on soft. All three wins came at 2m5f – 3m or shorter. He last ran off an official rating of 125.
- 3–11Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 10 (90.9%)Placed
- −4.66£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.01Fair A/E n=11 · 0.85 incl. margin
- 126Highest OR
- 51dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 135
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 119B | 81.5 | 2 runs · 119 / 103 |
| Heavy | 3 | 135A | 110 | 3 runs · 135 / 110 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 124B | 98.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 135A | 103.5 | 5 runs · 135 / 109 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 124B | 76 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
Of 11 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Dec 2024
- Prominent 6 (55%) · 0 wins
- Led 5 (45%) · 3 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.4% of 2,238 runs since Aug 2016 (256 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 10.3% from 155.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 60 | 10 | 16.7% | +3.3 | — |
| Good | 629 | 82 | 13% | −0.4 | 1 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 470 | 50 | 10.6% | −2.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 662 | 102 | 15.4% | +2 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 262 | 41 | 15.6% | +2.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 155 | 16 | 10.3% | −3.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −13.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 63 | 4 | 6.3% | −7.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 96 | 10 | 10.4% | −3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 146 | 18 | 12.3% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 669 | 93 | 13.9% | +0.5 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 751 | 106 | 14.1% | +0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 430 | 57 | 13.3% | −0.1 | 2 from 7 |
| Over 3m | 81 | 13 | 16% | +2.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Aug 2016 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Musique De Fee (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 2m5f–3m3f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Musique De Fee (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musique De Fee (IRE) | 27 | 5 | 2m5f–3m3f | Class 2 |
| Matty's Mate (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Royal Tale (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.50 |
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.78 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.78 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Limerick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 2 | 29% | −1.88 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.78 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kennedy | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.50 |
| Mr H C Swan | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.78 |
| Danny Gilligan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| James Smith | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.78 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 3 | 2 | 67% | +2.12 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.12 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.22 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 8 | 2 | 25% | −2.88 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.78 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 May 26+18d | Down Royal | Pepsi Max Hurdle Set the pace from the off - scrambled slightly at the 8th - urged forward after 3 out - two lengths clear approaching 2 out - challenger drew level at the last - dug in under pressure to regain command close home | 1/6 | 11-0 | 125 | 98A | 138B | James Smith | 13/8 | |
| 16 Apr 26+12d | Limerick | Monk Bar Maiden Hurdle Shared front spot early before going clear - challenged approaching straight - pushed along before two out - drew away before the last - stayed on well to prevail | 1/7 | 11-12 | 123 | 135A | 139B | Jack Kennedy | 6/4 | |
| 04 Apr 26+61d | Fairyhouse | Tom Quinlan Electrical Maiden Hurdle Handy in front rank - hit the front from the off - urged when clumsy two out and quickly matched - lost the advantage before the last - couldn't find extra to threaten - stayed on at one speed for second | 2/25 | 3½ | 11-12 | 125 | 119B | 137A | Jack Kennedy | 3/1 |
| 02 Feb 26+16d | Leopardstown | Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed) Sat behind the front group early - mid-pack around halfway then urged into contention after two out - unable to close in fourth before the last - stayed on at one speed to finish third | 3/21 | 15 | 10-9 | 125 | 109B | 132A | Danny Gilligan | 7/1 |
| 17 Jan 26+28d | Navan | NavanRacecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle Sat close to pace early - hampered after the 1st and dropped back - settled midfield - pushed along into 6th two out - moved up to 3rd but couldn't threaten the front pair at the last - stayed on steadily to finish third | 3/12 | ¾ | 11-12 | 126 | 110A | 128A | Jack Kennedy | 13/8F |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 25+27d | Thurles | Horse & Jockey Hotel Rated Novice Hurdle Travelled keenly up with the pace - hit the front from the 3rd - clipped the second-last and needed urging soon after - held a length advantage at the last - driven out and battled to the line but caught close home | 2/9 | ½ | 12-0 | — | 87A | 149B | Jack Kennedy | 5/2F |
| 23 Nov 25+28d | Punchestown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle Went straight to front - fumbled fence 4th - reeled in 2 out then quickly overtaken - slipped back to 3rd turning for home - unable to threaten pair ahead by last - stayed on one gear to finish third | 3/14 | 11 | 11-12 | — | — | 131A | Danny Gilligan | 4/1 |
| 26 Oct 25+228d | Galway | Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle Shared front spot early - hit the front after the 1st then lost command 5 out - pushed along and slipped to 3rd before 2 out with a small stumble - couldn't find more into the straight and slipped away from the front group - stayed on at one speed from the last | 3/8 | 25 | 11-12 | — | 73C | 109C | Jack Kennedy | 11/8F |
| 12 Mar 25+39d | Cheltenham | Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Tracked front-runner early - pushed along with 2f left and slipped back to third - held no more in reserve inside final furlong finishing eighth | 8/17 | 1¼ | 11-7 | 123 | 124B | 138A | Mr H C Swan | 33/1 |
| 01 Feb 25+56d | Leopardstown | Paddy Power Play Card (C & G) I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 2) Sat close to front group - third at halfway - driven to gain ground and go up early in straight - hit front for a moment approaching final two furlongs - asked for more but couldn't better winner inside closing stages - stayed on same gait for third | 3/9 | hd | 11-10 | — | 67A | 141A | Mr H C Swan | 3/1 |
| 2024 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 07 Dec 24 | Navan | Skryne GAA Day Out At Navan Racecourse Flat Race Set the pace from the off - cruising with two furlongs left - nudged for effort and asked for more approaching the final furlong - kept finding through the closing stages to score | 1/7 | 12-0 | — | 76B | 143A | Mr H C Swan | 2/9F | |
Quick answers
- How many races has He Can't Dance won?
- He Can't Dance (IRE) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 10 times in total (90.9% of starts).
- Who trains He Can't Dance?
- He Can't Dance (IRE) is trained by Gordon Elliott, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 May 2026.
- Who is He Can't Dance's sire?
- He Can't Dance (IRE) is by Jukebox Jury (IRE) out of Fairy Tale (FR), whose sire is Spanish Moon.
- What going does He Can't Dance prefer?
- He Can't Dance (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is He Can't Dance's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 125, from the run on 4 May 2026. The highest on record is 126.
- What is He Can't Dance's sire's record?
- Jukebox Jury (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.4% of 2,238 runs since Aug 2016 (256 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 10.3% from 155.
- Who are He Can't Dance's siblings?
- Out of Fairy Tale (FR), He Can't Dance (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Musique De Fee (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Musique De Fee (IRE)). The wins came over 2m5f–3m3f. As at Nov 2026.