What is Danny Gilligan's strike rate?

Danny Gilligan has won 158 of 1,477 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Danny Gilligan do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 11 wins from 61 rides (18%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Danny Gilligan ride most for?

Gordon Elliott, with 657 rides since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (12.2%).

Is Danny Gilligan in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2022.

What is Danny Gilligan's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 1,477 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Danny Gilligan

1,477 rides in the last 5 seasons · 784 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 93% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

158–1,477

Wins / Runs

10.7%

Strike rate

n=1,477

447 (30%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=1,477 · 0.87 incl. margin

−430.01

£1 level stake

n=1,477 at SP · −29.1%

£3.97m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 300 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (151 rides). Rides mostly for Gordon Elliott — 44% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,477 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.9% 34.3% when favourite Gordon Elliott: 12.2% from 657 First rides: 10.8% LTO winners: 16.6% Claiming: 11.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (20%, n=50) and Down Royal (18%, n=61) — all clear of the rider's 10.7% baseline. It is weakest at Clonmel (2.6% over 39 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.6% (n=151, Fair A/E 1.05). Gordon Elliott supplies 44% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.2%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tote Galway Plate at Galway (Aug 2023, £159,300).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.8%+0.1

n=784 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −162.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.6%+5.9

n=151 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −25.68

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.9%+1.2

n=303 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −29.54

When favourite

34.3%

n=134 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −5.29

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.2%+0.5

n=490 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −123.85

Big fields · 14+ runners

8%−2.7

n=686 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −218.21

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.1%−2.6

n=211 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −8.89

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Sligo 20% vs 10.7% · n=50

With Paul John Gilligan 3.4% vs 10.7% · n=89

At Down Royal 18% vs 10.7% · n=61

At Clonmel 2.6% vs 10.7% · n=39

On last-time-out winners 16.6% vs 10.7% · n=151

With debutants 3.7% vs 10.7% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 957 105 11% −293.51

Chase 413 46 11.1% −71.33

Flat 105 6 5.7% −65.92

NH Flat 2 1 50% +0.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 513 44 8.6% −151.59

Good 420 48 11.4% −141.38

Good to Soft 318 42 13.2% −44.90

Heavy 209 22 10.5% −84.39

Standard (AW) 12 2 16.7% −2.75

Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 130 10 7.7% −82.34

Fairyhouse 111 11 9.9% +46.99

Navan 73 10 13.7% −3.55

Galway 71 6 8.5% −16.17

Leopardstown 70 4 5.7% −48.67

Ballinrobe 66 11 16.7% −11.07

Limerick 62 10 16.1% +11.13

Down Royal 61 11 18% −13.18

Killarney 61 5 8.2% −41.43

Kilbeggan 59 8 13.6% −0.59

Cork 56 5 8.9% −33.67

Downpatrick 55 6 10.9% −22.93

Wexford 55 7 12.7% −26.00

Cheltenham 54 5 9.3% −16.00

Naas 51 2 3.9% −36.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 240 18 7.5% −29.39

Class 2 25 5 20% +2.08

Class 4 21 3 14.3% −7.00

Class 5 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 3 10 2 20% +4.50

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 155 49 31.6% 1.13 −13.21

2nd–3rd fav 354 68 19.2% 1.21 −6.30

4th–6th fav 446 27 6.1% 0.82 −191.50

7th+ in betting 522 14 2.7% 0.89 −219.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.2% completed · 1,370 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 413 87.2% 18 7 25 3 0

Hurdle 957 91.5% 22 13 43 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jazzy Matty (FR) 12 2 4 22 Aug 26

Giant Haystacks (IRE) 11 1 3 8 Nov 26

Riaan (IRE) 10 1 4 18 Jul 26

Howdoyalikeherhome (IRE) 9 1 4 6 Jul 26

Western Fold (IRE) 8 4 5 5 Apr 26

Drumgill (IRE) 8 3 5 8 Nov 25

Beacon Edge (IRE) 8 1 2 4 Apr 25

Watch The Weather (GB) 7 1 3 26 Sep 26

Affinity Rock (IRE) 7 1 3 20 Aug 26

Maxxum (IRE) 7 2 2 29 Jul 26

King Of Kingsfield (IRE) 7 0 1 2 Jul 26

Dee Capo (FR) 7 2 3 2 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 784 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 15 13.3% · +2.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13.3%

5-season base10.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

12711131116111381097

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGordon Elliott

44% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

Gordon Elliott 657 80 12.2% −133.16

Cian Collins 151 18 11.9% −42.62

Ross O'Sullivan 98 13 13.3% −26.24

Paul John Gilligan 89 3 3.4% −64.00

Paul W Flynn 36 5 13.9% −11.34

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

158

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.97m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 51 wins

Ash Tree Meadow (FR) — Tote Galway Plate (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Galway · Aug 2023 · Grade 3

£159,300

Western Fold (IRE) — Tote Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Galway · Jul 2025 · Grade 3

£159,300

Jazzy Matty (FR) — Debenhams Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Class 1

£84,405

Notable horses

Western Fold (IRE) Drumgill (IRE) Arctic Ambition (IRE) Wodhooh (FR) Raise You Up (IRE) The Big Chap (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,856 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,084 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 10% of 6,287 runs since 2012 (538 horses).

Westerner (GB) 24.2% · 8–33

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,872 runs since 2009 (946 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Doctor Dino (FR) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,240 runs since 2013 (500 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 565. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Getaway (GER) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,477 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,477 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 April 2022 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Fuusland (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 17/2

10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gratitudeforgrace (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 14/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Rock On Suzie (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Matchbook 50/50 Series Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 20/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Born De Ceres (FR)T: Paul John Gilligan Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 7th 20/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Bombay Pat (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Matchbook 50/5 Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 1st 5/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Giant Haystacks (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Mongey Communications Novice Handicap Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 9/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Kala Conti (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Racing Post Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/6F

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Croke Park (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott BetVictor, Remembering Envoi Allen Champion Steeplechase (Grade 1)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 5th 33/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Drop A Threat (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 12 ran 9th 9/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Arch Empire (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 9th 14/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) S T Hamo (IRE)T: A. McCann Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 9/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Port Authority (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott BetVictor Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) El Cairos (FR)T: Gordon Elliott bottlegreen Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran F 6/4J

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Annie Button (IRE)T: Peter John Flood Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 5th 15/2

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Water Mill (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Doctor Elvis (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 3/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Brother Walfrid (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Supermac's Rated Novice Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 5/2

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Talk In The Park (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 6/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Will Do (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Gerry Coyne Memorial Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 3/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Fuusland (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 100/30

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Danny Gilligan's strike rate?: Danny Gilligan has won 158 of 1,477 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Danny Gilligan do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 11 wins from 61 rides (18%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Danny Gilligan ride most for?: Gordon Elliott, with 657 rides since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (12.2%).
Is Danny Gilligan in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2022.
What is Danny Gilligan's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 1,477 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.