Jack Kennedy
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 400 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 30% (372 rides). Rides mostly for Gordon Elliott — 91% of rides in the window. The rider is in form now — 6 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Down Royal (36.3%, n=91) and Thurles (30.5%, n=82) — all clear of the rider's 20% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (9.7% over 93 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 30.1% (n=372, Fair A/E 1.20), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 16.3% (n=737, Fair A/E 1.18). Right now the rider is firing: 6 winners from 22 rides in the last 14 days (27.3%, 7.3pts above the 20% baseline). Gordon Elliott supplies 91% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (19.9%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (32.3%, n=31). 177 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Wellchild Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2021, £263,766). The standout partner of the record: Apple's Jade (FR) — 7 wins from 14 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Dec.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 20% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 20% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,401 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,401 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 May 2015 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 11 runs (won 5, 2 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 12 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 3) · to 1 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jack Kennedy's strike rate?
- Jack Kennedy has won 401 of 2,001 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 20% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Kennedy do best at?
- Down Royal by strike rate: 33 wins from 91 rides (36.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jack Kennedy ride most for?
- Gordon Elliott, with 1,827 rides since 2022 — 91% of the total. That pairing has won 364 (19.9%).
- Is Jack Kennedy in form?
- In the last 14 days: 22 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 27.3%. That is above the baseline of 20% since 2022.
- What is Jack Kennedy's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 2,001 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.