Holywell Bay (GB)
Holywell Bay is a filly by Expert Eye out of a Bahamian Bounty mare who was yet to win from four starts on the all-weather. She raced three times over 6f to 7f and once over 1m to 1m1f, all on standard going, without placing. Her highest official rating was 45, which she carried when finishing 10 of 10 at Chelmsford City in a Class 6 handicap in Feb 2025. She last ran off an OR of 45.
- 0–4Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −4.00£1 level staken=4 at SP
- 45Highest OR
- 18dBetween runs (median)
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 50
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 53C | 36 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 50A | 22 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since Dec 2024
- Held up 3 (75%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 2,207 runs since Mar 2022 (197 horses).
Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 404.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 380 | 34 | 8.9% | −1.2 | — |
| Good | 500 | 50 | 10% | −0.1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 225 | 19 | 8.4% | −1.7 | — |
| Soft | 238 | 24 | 10.1% | 0 | — |
| Heavy | 80 | 14 | 17.5% | +7.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 781 | 83 | 10.6% | +0.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 133 | 14 | 10.5% | +0.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 913 | 77 | 8.4% | −1.7 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 540 | 57 | 10.6% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 404 | 53 | 13.1% | +3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 163 | 18 | 11% | +0.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 49 | 3 | 6.1% | −4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 2 | 40% | +29.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2022 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Shifter (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Shifter (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shifter (GB) | 36 | 5 | 1m–1m2f | Class 5 |
| Agent Shiftwell (GB) | 18 | 2 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Pretty Shiftwell (GB) | 16 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Capellina (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Hogan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chloe Lyons | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Feb 25+29d | Chelmsford City (AW) | 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 Handicap (Div 1) Towards the back throughout - moved right 4f out but still a long way adrift entering the final 2f - allowed to coast home 10th | 10/10 | 20 | 9-0 | 45 | 17C | 25C | Dylan Hogan | 100/1 |
| 15 Jan 25+9d | Southwell (AW) | BetMGM: Its Showtime Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Shifted left at the off - settled in rear group - urged forward before halfway with little response - well beaten in the end | 10/10 | 4 | 9-0 | — | 22C | 28C | Dylan Hogan | 400/1 |
| 06 Jan 25+18d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Sat behind pace and moved into second with 5f left - driven and fading into the turn then hampered a furlong out - drifted left and dropped away in the closing stages to finish 10th | 10/10 | 7 | 8-1 | — | 50A | 25A | Chloe Lyons | 250/1 |
| 2024 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 19 Dec 24 | Chelmsford City (AW) | CCR 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Held up towards the back of the pack - dropped away with two furlongs left - finished a distant twelfth | 12/13 | 1 | 8-11 | — | 53C | 46C | Dylan Hogan | 125/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Holywell Bay won?
- Holywell Bay (GB) has yet to win, from 4 archived starts between 2024 and 2025.
- Who trained Holywell Bay?
- Holywell Bay (GB) was trained by Julia & Shelley Birkett on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 13 February 2025.
- Who is Holywell Bay's sire?
- Holywell Bay (GB) is by Expert Eye (GB) out of Holley Shiftwell (GB), whose sire is Bahamian Bounty.
- What is Holywell Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 13 February 2025. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Holywell Bay's sire's record?
- Expert Eye (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 2,207 runs since Mar 2022 (197 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 404.
- Who are Holywell Bay's siblings?
- Out of Holley Shiftwell (GB), Holywell Bay (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Shifter (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Shifter (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m2f. As at Nov 2026.