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Horse profile

If You Believe (IRE)

5yo gelding · Trainer Gavin Cromwell · Owner Owen Daley
by Success Days (IRE) out of Graces Island (IRE) (Trans Island)
3 runs · 3 courses · from Apr 2025
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out Won at Galway (IRE) Last run 26 Oct 2026 · 1st of 10
KTB Profile

If You Believe is a gelding by Success Days out of Graces Island. He has won one of three starts, all over 1m5f – 2m on turf. His win came at Galway in Oct 2026 in the Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle on heavy ground. He won last time out at Galway in Oct 2026.

Based on 3 archived runs · run-style from 2 commented runs since Apr 2025 · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 153 the best of the last 2 graded (A or B) runs · Galway (IRE), 26 Oct 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 153A · median 133.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 8 Nov 2025
Heavy1——1 run · —
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 8 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m2153A133.51 run · —

Of 3 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 3 runs · as at 3 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 151B the best of the last 2 rated runs · Galway (IRE), 26 Oct 2026

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 66C the best of the last 1 rated run · Punchestown, 29 Apr 2025

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 151B · median 139.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 8 Nov 2025
Heavy1——1 run · —
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 8 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m2151B139.51 run · —
Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 3 runs · as at 3 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 10% of 60 runs since Apr 2024 (17 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm100%−10—
Good1616.3%−3.7—
Good to Soft12325%+15—
Soft2314.3%−5.70 from 2
Heavy8112.5%+2.51 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
6f – 7f400%−10—
1m – 1m1f6116.7%+6.7—
1m2f – 1m4f600%−10—
1m5f – 2m21523.8%+13.81 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f2100%−10—
2m5f – 3m200%−10—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2024 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Graces Island (IRE) (Trans Island)

1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Yesnosorry (IRE)110——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 1 100% +2.75

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Galway (IRE) 1 1 100% +2.75
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Keith Donoghue 2 1 50% +1.75
Mr D G Lavery 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 1 1 100% +2.75
2025 2 0 0% −2.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 2 1 50% +1.75
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 1 run
26 Oct 26+354d Galway (IRE) Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle 2m½f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran pursued runaway front-runner - moved to front before 5th - shaken up after 2 out then strong finish on the run-in to win 1/10 11-12 153A151B Keith Donoghue 11/4
2025 · 2 runs
06 Nov 25+191d Clonmel Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle 2m½f · Soft · 9 ran Sat close to the front pack early despite a couple of untidy jumps - held 3rd spot at halfway - driven from two out but unable to close - stayed on same gear to finish 4th 4/9 hd 11-12 114A128A Keith Donoghue 5/1
29 Apr 25 Punchestown Goffs Defender Bumper 2m½f · Yielding · 18 ran Sat just off the front group - third at halfway - shared the front around 3f out - pressed but lost the advantage 2f out and could not find more thereafter 10/18 1 11-10 —66C Mr D G Lavery 11/1

Quick answers

How many races has If You Believe won?
If You Believe (IRE) won 1 of 3 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 1 time in total (33.3% of starts).
Who trains If You Believe?
If You Believe (IRE) is trained by Gavin Cromwell, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 26 October 2026.
Who is If You Believe's sire?
If You Believe (IRE) is by Success Days (IRE) out of Graces Island (IRE), whose sire is Trans Island.
What is If You Believe's sire's record?
Success Days (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10% of 60 runs since Apr 2024 (17 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are If You Believe's siblings?
Out of Graces Island (IRE), If You Believe (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from April 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.