What is Gavin Cromwell's strike rate?

Gavin Cromwell has won 474 of 4,644 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gavin Cromwell do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 22 wins from 141 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Gavin Cromwell?

Keith Donoghue, with 1,246 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 173 (13.9%).

Is Gavin Cromwell in form?

In the last 14 days: 26 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 15.4%. That is above the baseline of 10.2% since 2022.

What is Gavin Cromwell's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 4,640 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Gavin Cromwell

4,644 runners in the last 5 seasons · 558 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.5% of 1,198 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

474–4,644

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=4,644

1,369 (30%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=4,640 · 0.79 incl. margin

−1,678.08

£1 level stake

n=4,644 at SP · −36.1%

£11.2m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 930 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (119 runs). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,644 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Fresh horses: 10.7% 32.9% when favourite Keith Donoghue: 13.9% from 1,246 New recruits: 18.5% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 18.5% (n=119, Fair A/E 1.46). Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 26 runners in the last 14 days (15.4%, 5.2pts above the 10.2% baseline). Keith Donoghue rides 27% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.9% vs 10.2%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. 69 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £364,314). The stable star of the record: Final Orders (GB) — 10 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.7%+0.5

n=812 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −203.61

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.5%+8.3

n=119 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +7.66

Debutants · first career start

9%−1.2

n=357 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −34.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.7%−0.5

n=217 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −89.42

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.5%+1.3

n=174 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −40.40

When favourite

32.9%

n=499 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −51.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.6%−2.6

n=1,075 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −435.32

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.6%−0.6

n=448 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −173.15

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.5% vs 10.2% · n=454

With new recruits 18.5% vs 10.2% · n=119

With Mark Walsh 19.2% vs 10.2% · n=73

With Eoin Staples 17.2% vs 10.2% · n=99

With Patrick M O'Brien 3.3% vs 10.2% · n=90

With Mr D G Lavery 16.7% vs 10.2% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,897 189 10% −842.43

Flat 1,381 120 8.7% −365.10

Chase 1,171 140 12% −405.13

NH Flat 195 25 12.8% −65.42

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,807 170 9.4% −755.49

Good 1,152 134 11.6% −276.74

Good to Soft 705 71 10.1% −327.71

Heavy 665 74 11.1% −187.72

Standard (AW) 264 20 7.6% −117.42

Good to Firm 51 5 9.8% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 362 33 9.1% −202.30

Punchestown 353 42 11.9% −121.99

Navan 273 25 9.2% −81.71

Leopardstown 260 17 6.5% −111.53

Dundalk (AW) 254 20 7.9% −107.42

Naas 243 23 9.5% −88.74

Galway 206 15 7.3% −100.84

Cork 191 22 11.5% −6.70

Gowran Park 183 20 10.9% −41.50

Curragh 176 15 8.5% −5.62

Down Royal 168 14 8.3% −82.16

Limerick 150 20 13.3% −70.81

Downpatrick 141 22 15.6% −28.37

Killarney 141 8 5.7% −93.08

Listowel 139 13 9.4% −50.97

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 516 48 9.3% −208.90

Class 2 79 13 16.5% −6.45

Class 3 32 5 15.6% +0.00

Class 4 19 1 5.3% −16.38

Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 602 182 30.2% 1.09 −77.03

2nd–3rd fav 1,092 166 15.2% 0.96 −231.55

4th–6th fav 1,242 92 7.4% 0.98 −346.50

7th+ in betting 1,708 34 2% 0.67 −1,023.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.5% completed · 3,068 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,171 82.3% 56 35 113 2 1

Hurdle 1,897 90.7% 44 25 99 5 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Earls (IRE)from Garvan Donnelly 46 7 17 12 Oct 26

Final Orders (GB)from Garvan Donnelly 40 10 17 26 Aug 26

Je T'ai Porte (IRE)from M Halford 40 5 15 7 Feb 26

Dutch Schultz (GB)from Ralph Beckett 39 3 12 7 Jun 26

Pachmena (IRE)from John James Feane · then Matthew J Smith 39 2 10 8 Jul 25

Global Export (IRE)from James M Barrett 38 3 12 22 Mar 25

Path D'oroux (FR) 36 4 11 25 Sep 26

Breezy Zoff (IRE)from Mark L Fagan 35 2 12 22 Oct 24

Railway Hurricane (IRE)then Paul W Flynn 34 2 12 17 Jan 25

In The Trenches (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy · then Jennie Candlish 32 1 15 3 Aug 26

Theonewedreamof (IRE)then Dan Skelton 32 5 12 25 Apr 25

Macinamillion (IRE)then Raymond Hurley 31 3 8 9 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 558 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 17 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Garvan Donnelly (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 26 15.4% · +5.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days15.4%

5-season base10.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

131299129811912910

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKeith Donoghue

27% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Keith Donoghue 1,246 173 13.9% −485.39

G. F. Carroll 673 66 9.8% −213.61

Robert Whearty 340 24 7.1% −92.29

Conor Stone-Walsh 324 25 7.7% −95.10

Kieren Buckley 271 15 5.5% −169.68

Sean Flanagan 263 32 12.2% −63.64

L P Dempsey 153 13 8.5% −71.63

Mr D G Lavery 108 18 16.7% +5.55

Eoin Staples 99 17 17.2% +42.37

Patrick M O'Brien 90 3 3.3% −71.75

Conor Maxwell 80 3 3.8% −48.00

Mark Walsh 73 14 19.2% −14.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

829

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£17.2m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 125 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) — Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Grade 1

£364,314

Espoir D'allen (FR) — Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 1

£253,434

Flooring Porter (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2022 · Grade 1

£182,878

Notable horses

Final Orders (GB) Darver Star (IRE) Political Policy (IRE) Flooring Porter (IRE) Jeremys Flame (IRE) Brides Hill (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 12.7% · 25–197

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,941 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 5.7% · 5–87

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,259 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Westerner (GB) 11.6% · 10–86

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,825 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Golden Horn (GB) 7.4% · 6–81

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,734 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Shirocco (GER) 9.2% · 7–76

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,163 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Getaway (GER) 9.3% · 7–75

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,202 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,202 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 September 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Elzaam Express (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 17th 33/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loosen And Limber (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 80/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Golden Gift (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 18/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Unstoppable Army (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 66/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Winnie's Wish (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 8/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Snellen (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Trigo Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 10/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) The Ocean Queen (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Viola Young (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 22/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Even Par (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 25/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Jade Fox (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 100/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Whispered Verdict (GER)J: Mr D G Lavery Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 18/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Caprison (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 5th 125/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Fiveandahalf (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 6/5F

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lunar Stride (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle19f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/2

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Me Wee Nanny Fran (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran SU 66/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Flying Fortress (GB)J: Robert Whearty On-Course Vets Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 20/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Nustty (FR)J: Jack Kearney Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 11/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Earls (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Guinness Handicap7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 11/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Espritroyale (IRE)J: Jared Huggan TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 17/2

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Seven Towers (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Friends Of Castlemagner LGFA Rated Novice Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 7 ran SU 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gavin Cromwell's strike rate?: Gavin Cromwell has won 474 of 4,644 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gavin Cromwell do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 22 wins from 141 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gavin Cromwell?: Keith Donoghue, with 1,246 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 173 (13.9%).
Is Gavin Cromwell in form?: In the last 14 days: 26 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 15.4%. That is above the baseline of 10.2% since 2022.
What is Gavin Cromwell's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 4,640 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.