If You Say Run (IRE)
If You Say Run (IRE) is 5 from 16. Hasn't won since Oct 2019.
- 5–16Wins / Runs
- 31.3%Strike rate
- 10 (62.5%)Placed
- −2.83£1 level staken=16 at SP
- 0.93Fair A/E n=16 · 0.82 incl. margin
- 144Highest OR
- 43dBetween runs (median)longest 231 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 129
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 5 | 130B | 115 | — |
| Good | 4 | 140C | 128.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 91C | 50.5 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 129A | 90.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 130B | 88 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 140C | 128.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 126A | 108.5 | — |
Of 16 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 16 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since Sep 2014 (787 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 119 | 18 | 15.1% | +4.3 | — |
| Good | 2,974 | 378 | 12.7% | +1.9 | 2 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 1,818 | 179 | 9.8% | −1 | 2 from 6 |
| Soft | 2,742 | 259 | 9.4% | −1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 1,214 | 124 | 10.2% | −0.6 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 1 | 10% | −0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 16 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,049 | 199 | 9.7% | −1.1 | 2 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3,212 | 324 | 10.1% | −0.7 | 2 from 9 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,826 | 341 | 12.1% | +1.3 | 1 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 769 | 95 | 12.4% | +1.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Sep 2014 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Row (IRE) | 35 | 0 | — | — |
| Craignure (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Sir Vinnie (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 6 | 2 | 33% | +0.67 |
| Good | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 4 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +3.17 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.50 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wincanton | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Chepstow | 2 | 2 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.67 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 2 | 22% | −2.33 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 7 | 3 | 43% | −1.33 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.50 |
| Bryony Frost | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 10 | 4 | 40% | +1.50 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.33 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.33 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.50 |
| 2017 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 3 | 27% | −2.00 |
| Chase | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.33 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has If You Say Run won?
- If You Say Run (IRE) won 5 of 16 archived starts between 2017 and 2020, a strike rate of 31.3%. Placed 10 times in total (62.5% of starts).
- Who trained If You Say Run?
- If You Say Run (IRE) was trained by Paul Nicholls on the most recent run on record, at Bangor-on-Dee on 7 February 2020.
- Who is If You Say Run's sire?
- If You Say Run (IRE) is by Mahler (GB) out of De Lissa (IRE), whose sire is Zaffaran.
- What going does If You Say Run prefer?
- If You Say Run (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is If You Say Run's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 137, from the run on 7 February 2020. The highest on record is 144.
- What is If You Say Run's sire's record?
- Mahler (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since Sep 2014 (787 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
- Who are If You Say Run's siblings?
- Out of De Lissa (IRE), If You Say Run (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.