Incertaine (GB)
Incertaine (GB) is 1 from 9, the win coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Nov 2019. Last raced off 87, 8lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–9Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 1 (11.1%)Placed
- −2.50£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 2.25Fair A/E n=9 · 1.95 incl. margin
- 95Highest OR
- 82dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 82
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 82B | 69 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 96C | 78 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 96C | 82.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 60B | 58.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 9 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since Jan 2008 (1,463 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | −5.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 552 | 66 | 12% | +0.7 | — |
| Good | 5,168 | 647 | 12.5% | +1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 3,288 | 386 | 11.7% | +0.4 | — |
| Soft | 5,029 | 501 | 10% | −1.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 2,716 | 303 | 11.2% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 73 | 2 | 2.7% | −8.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 58 | 3 | 5.2% | −6.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3,855 | 401 | 10.4% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5,469 | 599 | 11% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5,801 | 697 | 12% | +0.7 | 1 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 1,649 | 205 | 12.4% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Cabaret Queen (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 2m3½f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 1 (Cabaret Queen (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabaret Queen (GB) | 26 | 5 | 2m4½f–3m | Class 1 |
| Internal Transfer (GB) | 15 | 3 | 2m3½f–2m6½f | — |
| Floki (GB) | 9 | 2 | 2m4f–2m5f | Class 3 |
| Militaire (GB) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Cabaret Prince (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Jack In A Box (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wetherby | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hughes | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Robert Dunne | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Alan Johns | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Noonan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 20+54d | Wetherby | Happy St Patrick's Day Novices' Handicap Hurdle | PU/8 | — | 11-2 | 87 | — | — | Brian Hughes | 8/1 |
| 23 Jan 20+35d | Wetherby | Join Racing Tv Now Novices' Handicap Hurdle | 6/12 | ¾ | 11-2 | 88 | — | 90C | Brian Hughes | 25/1 |
| 19 Dec 19+28d | Hereford | Cotswold Mini Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 6/10 | 4½ | 11-0 | 88 | — | 82C | Robert Dunne | 11/1 |
| 21 Nov 19+236d | Market Rasen | Pertemps Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 1/5 | 10-8 | 85 | 96C | 92B | Brian Hughes | 11/2 | |
| 30 Mar 19+26d | Stratford | Happy Birthday Sarah Kelly Handicap Hurdle | 10/14 | 4½ | 11-1 | 90 | 69C | 83C | Alan Johns | 40/1 |
| 04 Mar 19+80d | Fakenham | SV Harvey & Son Builders Ltd Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 6/8 | 3¼ | 11-7 | 95 | 82B | 90A | David Noonan | 16/1 |
| 14 Dec 18+15d | Bangor-on-Dee | Cliftons Of Wrexham Novices' Hurdle | 15/18 | ½ | 10-5 | — | — | 83C | Alan Johns | 250/1 |
| 29 Nov 18+182d | Warwick | Better Value On Colossus Pools Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle | 9/16 | hd | 10-12 | — | 60B | 87A | Robert Dunne | 100/1 |
| 31 May 18 | Ffos Las | Ted Hopkins Mares' Novices' Hurdle | 6/9 | 16 | 10-12 | — | 57C | 86C | Robert Dunne | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Incertaine (GB) won?
- Incertaine (GB) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2018 and 2020, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 1 time in total (11.1% of starts).
- Who trained Incertaine (GB)?
- Incertaine (GB) was trained by Tom Gretton on the most recent run on record, at Wetherby on 17 March 2020.
- Who is Incertaine (GB)'s sire?
- Incertaine (GB) is by Milan (GB) out of La Dame Brune (FR), whose sire is Mansonnien.
- What going does Incertaine (GB) prefer?
- Incertaine (GB) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Incertaine (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 17 March 2020. The highest on record is 95.
- What is Incertaine (GB)'s sire's record?
- Milan (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since Jan 2008 (1,463 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Incertaine (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of La Dame Brune (FR), Incertaine (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Cabaret Queen (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 1 (Cabaret Queen (GB)). The wins came over 2m3½f–3m. As at Oct 2026.