What is David Noonan's strike rate?

David Noonan has won 106 of 1,421 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Noonan do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 10 wins from 68 rides (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Noonan ride most for?

Jane Williams, with 302 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (13.9%).

Is David Noonan in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.5% since 2022.

What is David Noonan's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 1,420 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Noonan

1,421 rides in the last 5 seasons · 614 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

106–1,421

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=1,421

296 (21%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=1,420 · 0.79 incl. margin

−503.56

£1 level stake

n=1,420 at SP · −35.5%

£1.67m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 280 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (107 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,421 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Mar Fresh horses: 7.6% 36.6% when favourite Jane Williams: 13.9% from 302 LTO winners: 13.1% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hereford (14.7%, n=68) and Huntingdon (15.2%, n=33) — all clear of the rider's 7.5% baseline. It is weakest at Stratford (0% over 56 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.1% (n=107, Fair A/E 0.80), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=185, Fair A/E 0.73). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 7.5pts below the 7.5% baseline). Jane Williams supplies 21% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.9% vs 7.5%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 3 (12.7%, n=166). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Dec 2019, £73,151). The standout partner of the record: Mr Clarkson (IRE) — 5 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.9%−1.6

n=547 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −165.93

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.1%+5.6

n=107 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −42.31

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.6%+0.1

n=341 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −78.67

When favourite

36.6%

n=71 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −4.32

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.7%−4.8

n=185 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −97.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−1.9

n=36 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −14.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jane Williams 13.9% vs 7.5% · n=302

At Hereford 14.7% vs 7.5% · n=68

At Stratford 0% vs 7.5% · n=56

At Worcester 1.2% vs 7.5% · n=84

At Huntingdon 15.2% vs 7.5% · n=33

In Class 3 12.7% vs 7.5% · n=166

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 60.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 837 52 6.2% −376.01

Chase 503 47 9.3% −143.68

NH Flat 78 7 9% +19.13

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 624 36 5.8% −251.92

Good to Soft 378 32 8.5% −151.48

Soft 307 28 9.1% −61.30

Heavy 82 10 12.2% −8.86

Good to Firm 27 0 0% −27.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 118 7 5.9% −74.57

Exeter 115 13 11.3% −2.50

Taunton 103 10 9.7% +9.86

Chepstow 95 12 12.6% −38.89

Wincanton 85 3 3.5% −53.50

Worcester 84 1 1.2% −81.90

Ffos Las 78 7 9% −40.83

Uttoxeter 68 4 5.9% −13.12

Hereford 68 10 14.7% −22.29

Stratford 56 0 0% −56.00

Market Rasen 45 5 11.1% +29.11

Warwick 45 2 4.4% −32.67

Ludlow 42 3 7.1% −15.50

Plumpton 36 1 2.8% −31.67

Cheltenham 36 1 2.8% −31.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 590 53 9% −205.00

Class 5 509 24 4.7% −182.34

Class 3 166 21 12.7% −28.63

Class 2 97 6 6.2% −51.09

Class 1 58 2 3.4% −36.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 78 27 34.6% 1.05 −6.82

2nd–3rd fav 253 34 13.4% 0.80 −89.74

4th–6th fav 476 35 7.4% 1.03 −48.00

7th+ in betting 613 10 1.6% 0.67 −359.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.2% completed · 1,340 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 503 79.3% 21 5 77 0 1

Hurdle 837 82.3% 9 7 129 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Coastguard Station (IRE) 18 3 6 23 Aug 26

Torrent (GB) 15 2 10 10 Oct 26

Saint Segal (FR) 15 3 9 21 Apr 25

Boys Of Wexford (GB) 14 1 4 6 Sep 25

Despereaux (FR) 14 2 4 6 Apr 25

Getuptheyard (IRE) 13 0 3 11 Oct 26

Moorland Rambler (GB) 12 2 3 28 Feb 25

In Rem (FR) 12 1 4 29 Oct 24

Pepe Le Moko (FR) 11 2 4 24 Mar 25

Jaminska (FR) 11 2 6 20 Mar 25

Jupiter Allen (FR) 11 4 5 11 Mar 25

Yggdrasil (FR) 11 2 4 10 Feb 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 614 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 16 0% · −7.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base7.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

10121065520541010

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJane Williams

21% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 1.00

TrainerRWSR£1

Jane Williams 302 42 13.9% −48.52

Nigel Hawke 226 9 4% −111.55

Henry Oliver 108 10 9.3% −41.25

David Pipe 102 8 7.8% −31.32

Tom Gretton 68 4 5.9% −18.50

Tim Vaughan 38 3 7.9% −29.46

Gary Moore 36 3 8.3% −4.00

Tom Symonds 33 0 0% −33.00

Max Young 30 1 3.3% +11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

268

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.47m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 42 wins

Warthog (FR) — Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Dec 2019 · Grade 3

£73,151

Le Patron (FR) — Betfair Henry Viii Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Sandown · Dec 2023 · Grade 1

£45,774

Fountains Windfall (GB) — Gaskells Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2017 · Grade 3

£39,389

Notable horses

Mr Clarkson (IRE) Favori De Sivola (FR) Ashcott Boy (GB) Le Cameleon (GB) Jupiter Allen (FR) Rejaah (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 14% · 7–50

Progeny have won 15% of 5,361 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,641 runs since 2008 (727 horses).

Getaway (GER) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,010 runs since 2016 (1,032 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Diamond Boy (FR) 2.8% · 1–36

Progeny have won 11.9% of 2,300 runs since 2016 (288 horses).

Castle Du Berlais (FR) 27.3% · 9–33

Progeny have won 12.9% of 519 runs since 2022 (106 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 165.

Manatee (GB) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 10.2% of 284 runs since 2021 (69 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,569 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,569 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 May 2013 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Colonial Empire (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Dandara Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran PU 40/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Lord Snootie (IRE)T: Christian Williams Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Raging Al (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Weddings At Fontwell Park Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 11/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury The Flaggy Shore (IRE)T: Ben Clarke Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 11/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Deauville Lady (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 66/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Riseandcall (IRE)T: Ben Clarke Free Tips On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 100/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Jet Steel (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran F 16/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Boston Run (IRE)T: Pat Phelan John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran UR 100/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Thunderous Sea (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Calme Olympien (FR)T: Tim Vaughan Final Fence Open 30th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 15/2

01 Nov 26 Worcester Locked Down Lad (GB)T: Joe Tickle Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 10/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester A Perfect Day (IRE)T: Ben Clarke Fbc Manby Bowdler 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Dance Rules (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 5th 17/2

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Barrow Hill Lad (GB)T: Ben Clarke bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 25/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Seedling (GB)T: Ben Clarke Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Queens Venture (IRE)T: Dean Summersby 2026/27 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 6th 12/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Knowstone (IRE)T: Nigel Hawke Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 150/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Silver Whisper (GB)T: Ben Clarke British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 5th 80/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Bells Of Ufford (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Unflappable (GB)T: Ben Clarke Hereford Halloween Family Raceday 26th October Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 11/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Noonan's strike rate?: David Noonan has won 106 of 1,421 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Noonan do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 10 wins from 68 rides (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Noonan ride most for?: Jane Williams, with 302 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (13.9%).
Is David Noonan in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.5% since 2022.
What is David Noonan's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 1,420 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.