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Trainer profile

Tom Gretton

370 runners in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
29–370
Wins / Runs
7.8%
Strike rate
n=370
86 (23%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=367 · 0.72 incl. margin
−183.34
£1 level stake
n=370 at SP · −49.6%
£326k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 370 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 37.5% when favourite David Noonan: 5.9% from 68 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=76, Fair A/E 0.41). David Noonan rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (14.1%, n=92) and in Chase races (13.1%, n=183). The market has also underrated the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 1.27 across 132 runners (12.1% strike, +7.01 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.2% over 91 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.52 across 171 runners (2.9% strike, −104.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Little Jimmy (GB) — 8 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.5%−0.3
n=93 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −16.62
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.8
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+2.2
n=20 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
37.5%
n=32 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +0.83
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−3.9
n=76 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −66.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 14.1% vs 7.8% · n=92
In Chase races 13.1% vs 7.8% · n=183
On Soft going 2.2% vs 7.8% · n=91
In Hurdle races 2.9% vs 7.8% · n=171
On Good going 12.1% vs 7.8% · n=132
Beyond 3m 13.3% vs 7.8% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 183 24 13.1% −62.72
Hurdle 171 5 2.9% −104.62
Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 132 16 12.1% +7.01
Good to Soft 101 7 6.9% −78.00
Soft 91 2 2.2% −87.05
Heavy 31 4 12.9% −10.30
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Stratford 33 3 9.1% −17.75
Fakenham 29 5 17.2% −10.75
Market Rasen 23 2 8.7% −17.87
Plumpton 23 1 4.3% −18.00
Southwell 21 1 4.8% −18.12
Leicester 20 1 5% −16.00
Huntingdon 20 4 20% −4.50
Warwick 20 2 10% +3.62
Bangor-on-Dee 14 1 7.1% −11.62
Hereford 14 3 21.4% +28.50
Fontwell 12 0 0% −12.00
Ffos Las 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Uttoxeter 11 0 0% −11.00
Ludlow 11 0 0% −11.00
Catterick 10 1 10% −8.43

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 203 20 9.9% −64.60
Class 4 127 9 7.1% −78.74
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 6 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 2 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 37 15 40.5% 1.30 +6.71
2nd–3rd fav 64 9 14.1% 0.80 −22.05
4th–6th fav 125 2 1.6% 0.23 −113.00
7th+ in betting 144 3 2.1% 0.87 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.9% completed · 354 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 183 80.3% 2 6 27 0 1
Hurdle 171 79.5% 6 1 28 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jukebox D'eddy (FR) 26 3 8 6 Apr 26
One Last Glance (GB) 21 3 14 6 Mar 26
Getbazoutofhere (GB) 19 2 9 17 Apr 25
Crac De Megaudais (FR) 16 2 2 17 Oct 26
Reforme (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 15 1 4 19 Jun 26
Mcgrath From Clune (IRE)from Robert Tyner 15 1 2 16 Jun 26
Stick With Me Sam (FR) 15 3 5 21 Mar 26
Fancy Stuff (IRE)from Dan Skelton 15 3 5 20 Nov 25
Sadler's Bay (GB)then Richard J Bandey 14 0 8 10 Feb 25
Jumbo Veste Verte (FR) 13 0 0 19 Apr 25
Harkangel (GB) 12 1 2 5 Dec 24
Moon Eagle (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 12 1 2 3 Nov 24
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
9361510800016410
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Noonan
18% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.95
RiderRWSR£1
David Noonan 68 4 5.9% −18.50
Robert Dunne 56 3 5.4% −15.38
Lee Edwards 42 3 7.1% −10.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
69
Archived wins
£725k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 10 wins
Kauto Riko (FR) — Smarkets Handicap Chase Haydock · Dec 2018 · Class 3
£9,747
Kauto Riko (FR) — Bathwick Tyres Bridgwater Handicap Chase Taunton · Jan 2018 · Class 3
£9,357
One Last Glance (GB) — Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase Fakenham · Jan 2025 · Class 5
£7,922
Notable horses
Little Jimmy (GB) Lickpenny Larry (GB) Kauto Riko (FR) Armedanddangerous (IRE) Jackthejourneyman (IRE) One Last Glance (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 9.1% · 4–44
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Passing Glance (GB) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Fly With Me (FR) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 13% of 200 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Clovis Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 9.4% of 754 runs since 2008 (111 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.6% from 151. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.7% from 140.
Gentlewave (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,651 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 430.
Universal (IRE) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 11% of 971 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,129 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,129 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 November 2009 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Assured (GB)J: Mr James Hills Sw Hire Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 125/1
17 Oct 26 Stratford Crac De Megaudais (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/1
05 Oct 26 Stratford Three Of Spades (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 125/1
01 Oct 26 Nottingham Assured (GB)J: Taryn Langley Watch Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 9th 80/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Liasse D'argent (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 6th 25/1
11 Aug 26 Nottingham Assured (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Get Best Odds With Oddschecker Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 125/1
15 Jul 26 Bath Assured (GB)J: Finley Marsh Novacast Don't Come Last Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 14f · Firm · 5 ran 5th 66/1
19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Chateau Du Lys (GB)J: William Maggs Dan Shipping Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 6 ran PU 33/1
19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Reforme (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell GP Shipping Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 66/1
16 Jun 26 Stratford Mcgrath From Clune (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Racing To School Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 250/1
31 May 26 Fakenham Chateau Du Lys (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Book Your Function At fakenhamracecourse.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/2
30 May 26 Stratford Liasse D'argent (FR)J: Conor O'Farrell Happy 70th Birthday Rich Wilding Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 28/1
30 May 26 Stratford Ja Klipdrift (GER)J: Conor O'Farrell Julie Satterley Waving Goodbye To 49 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 150/1
25 May 26 Huntingdon Crac De Megaudais (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Get Best Odds With Oddschecker Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 11/4
22 May 26 Bath Assured (GB)J: Jason Watson Download The Fairplay App HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 66/1
19 May 26 Huntingdon Chateau Du Lys (GB)J: David Noonan Tattersalls Online Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 5th 18/1
16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Lilycala (GB)J: Aidan Weaver Family Fun Day 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 200/1
12 May 26 Hereford Liasse D'argent (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Ludford Car Parts Group Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 22/1
11 May 26 Southwell Mcgrath From Clune (IRE)J: Aidan Weaver Proudly Supporting Mental Health Awareness Week Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 80/1
11 May 26 Southwell Crac De Megaudais (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Dog Friendly Raceday Tues 2nd June Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Gretton's strike rate?
Tom Gretton has won 29 of 370 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Gretton do best at?
Stratford by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Gretton?
David Noonan, with 68 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.9%).
Is Tom Gretton in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Gretton's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 367 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).