Incursion (GB)
Incursion (GB) is 2 from 17. Hasn't won since Sep 2006. Last raced off 71, 27lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–17Wins / Runs
- 11.8%Strike rate
- 8 (47.1%)Placed
- −8.50£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 1.10Fair A/E n=17 · 0.94 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 31dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 973 runs since Jan 2008 (62 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 6.4% from 125. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13.9% from 158.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | −1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 223 | 17 | 7.6% | −1.8 | 0 from 5 |
| Good | 267 | 32 | 12% | +2.6 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 125 | 8 | 6.4% | −3 | 1 from 7 |
| Soft | 115 | 11 | 9.6% | +0.2 | — |
| Heavy | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | +8.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 186 | 14 | 7.5% | −1.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | −0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 266 | 20 | 7.5% | −1.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 158 | 22 | 13.9% | +4.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 99 | 5 | 5.1% | −4.3 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 186 | 19 | 10.2% | +0.8 | 2 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 146 | 14 | 9.6% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 74 | 6 | 8.1% | −1.3 | — |
| Over 3m | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | +4.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Welsh Dream (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m3½f–2m5f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Welsh Dream (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welsh Dream (GB) | 26 | 2 | 2m2f–2m5f | Class 3 |
| Taragan (GB) | 3 | 1 | 1m3½f | Class 6 |
| Pont Toto (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Rhondda Valley (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Garw Valley (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.50 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catterick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Musselburgh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Chester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Nicholls | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Victoria Behan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Jan-Erik Neuroth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mrs S Bosley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gerard Tumelty | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| David Kinsella | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Thornton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Eddie Ahern | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darryll Holland | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.50 |
| 2005 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 15 | 1 | 7% | −11.50 |
| Hurdle | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 06+10d | Ayr | KPMG Handicap | PU/9 | — | 9-12 | 71 | — | Adrian Nicholls | 3/1F |
| 05 Sep 06+8d | Catterick | Swale Handicap | 1/11 | 9-7 | 69 | 79C | Victoria Behan | 5/2F | |
| 28 Aug 06+8d | Epsom Downs | totepool Amateur Derby Handicap | 2/10 | ½ | 10-5 | 68 | 72C | Jan-Erik Neuroth | 5/1 |
| 20 Aug 06+12d | Bath | Bathwick Tyres Lady Riders' Derby Handicap | 2/14 | ¾ | 9-9 | 68 | 66C | Mrs S Bosley | 11/1 |
| 08 Aug 06+35d | Catterick | Book Tickets On-Line At catterickbridge.co.uk Handicap | 3/9 | shd | 8-12 | 68 | 62C | Adrian Nicholls | 20/1 |
| 04 Jul 06+14d | Thirsk | Ladies Day Handicap | 5/6 | ¾ | 9-3 | 70 | 64C | Adrian Nicholls | 10/1 |
| 20 Jun 06+13d | Ascot | Ascot Stakes (Handicap) | 27/29 | 8 | 8-3 | 72 | 50C | Adrian Nicholls | 66/1 |
| 07 Jun 06+16d | Ripon | Ripon Farm Services Handicap | 2/6 | 2½ | 9-10 | 72 | 81C | Adrian Nicholls | 13/2 |
| 22 May 06+15d | Musselburgh | Talk 107 Handicap | 5/8 | 3½ | 9-0 | 75 | 50C | Victoria Behan | 8/1 |
| 07 May 06+3d | Hamilton | Ian Stevenson Handicap | 11/14 | 1 | 9-3 | 77 | 62C | Adrian Nicholls | 16/1 |
| 04 May 06+196d | Musselburgh | Forth One Handicap | 3/6 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 77 | 78C | Adrian Nicholls | 33/1 |
| 20 Oct 05+26d | Haydock | Racing Post 'Hands And Heels' Conditionals' Handicap Hurdle | 1/11 | 11-2 | 98 | 113C | Gerard Tumelty | 4/1J | |
| 24 Sep 05+42d | Haydock | Betfredcasino.com Handicap | 15/17 | 1 | 9-2 | 79 | 58C | David Kinsella | 66/1 |
| 13 Aug 05+13d | Bangor-on-Dee | Wrexham Maiden Hurdle | 2/14 | 15 | 11-0 | — | 121C | Robert Thornton | 11/8F |
| 31 Jul 05+72d | Chester | Warwick International Handicap | 6/10 | shd | 9-10 | 80 | 69C | Eddie Ahern | 13/2 |
| 20 May 05+14d | Goodwood | Avtrade Handicap | 3/12 | 1¼ | 9-1 | 79 | 74C | Kerrin McEvoy | 20/1 |
| 06 May 05 | Chester | Handicap | 9/13 | 4 | 8-12 | 81 | 57C | Darryll Holland | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Incursion (GB) won?
- Incursion (GB) won 2 of 17 archived starts between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 11.8%. Placed 8 times in total (47.1% of starts).
- Who trained Incursion (GB)?
- Incursion (GB) was trained by David Nicholls on the most recent run on record, at Ayr on 15 September 2006.
- Who is Incursion (GB)'s sire?
- Incursion (GB) is by Inchinor (GB) out of Morgannwg (IRE), whose sire is Simply Great.
- What going does Incursion (GB) prefer?
- Incursion (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Incursion (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 71, from the run on 15 September 2006. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Incursion (GB)'s sire's record?
- Inchinor (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 973 runs since Jan 2008 (62 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 6.4% from 125. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13.9% from 158.
- Who are Incursion (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Morgannwg (IRE), Incursion (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Welsh Dream (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Welsh Dream (GB)). The wins came over 1m3½f–2m5f. As at Oct 2026.