What is Gerard Tumelty's strike rate?

Gerard Tumelty has won 55 of 933 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gerard Tumelty do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Gerard Tumelty ride most for?

Alan King, with 194 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (9.8%).

What is Gerard Tumelty's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 933 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Gerard Tumelty

933 rides in the lifetime window · 496 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2017 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

55–933

Wins / Runs

5.9%

Strike rate

n=933

167 (18%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=933 · 0.79 incl. margin

−149.25

£1 level stake

n=933 at SP · −16.0%

£279k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 933 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 16.2% when favourite Alan King: 9.8% from 194 First rides: 6% Claiming: 6.1% Rode the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wincanton (12.8%, n=47) and Worcester (13.2%, n=38) — all clear of the rider's 5.9% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −31.00 to a £1 stake over 232 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alan King supplied 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.8% vs 5.9%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.1%, n=31) and in Class 5 (10.5%, n=275). The market has also underrated the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 1.54 across 171 rides (10.5% strike, +91.75 to a £1 stake).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6%+0.1

n=465 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −42.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

4.2%−1.7

n=48 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −33.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.9%−2.0

n=232 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −31.00

When favourite

16.2%

n=37 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −14.50

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.1%+0.2

n=360 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −109.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4%−1.9

n=299 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −113.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.9

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 16.1% vs 5.9% · n=31

With debutants 13.3% vs 5.9% · n=83

At Wincanton 12.8% vs 5.9% · n=47

At Worcester 13.2% vs 5.9% · n=38

In Class 5 10.5% vs 5.9% · n=275

In NH Flat races 10.5% vs 5.9% · n=171

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 581 29 5% −225.00

Chase 179 8 4.5% −14.00

NH Flat 171 18 10.5% +91.75

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 321 27 8.4% +90.00

Good to Soft 242 12 5% −135.25

Soft 187 10 5.3% −6.00

Good to Firm 90 3 3.3% −59.00

Heavy 76 3 3.9% −22.00

Standard (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Towcester 59 5 8.5% −15.25

Fontwell 57 2 3.5% −23.00

Huntingdon 56 3 5.4% −27.50

Chepstow 53 0 0% −53.00

Plumpton 51 3 5.9% +1.00

Uttoxeter 47 2 4.3% +46.00

Wincanton 47 6 12.8% +2.50

Taunton 43 2 4.7% −4.00

Hereford 41 0 0% −41.00

Worcester 38 5 13.2% +110.75

Warwick 33 3 9.1% −6.00

Kempton 33 1 3% −25.50

Exeter 32 2 6.3% −22.50

Bangor-on-Dee 28 2 7.1% +26.00

Market Rasen 28 2 7.1% −16.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 435 17 3.9% −214.25

Class 5 275 29 10.5% +159.25

Class 6 108 6 5.6% +2.75

Class 3 87 3 3.4% −69.00

Class 2 20 0 0% −20.00

Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 6 12.5% 0.52 −25.50

2nd–3rd fav 118 18 15.3% 1.01 −13.25

4th–6th fav 239 17 7.1% 1.08 −62.50

7th+ in betting 528 14 2.7% 1.01 −48.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

71.1% completed · 760 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 179 52% 4 10 69 0 3

Hurdle 581 76.9% 11 11 108 0 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pattara (GB) 15 1 2 31 Aug 16

Headly's Bridge (IRE) 14 1 7 27 Dec 13

Shilpa (IRE) 12 2 2 4 Mar 13

Western Pride (GB) 11 1 1 4 Apr 12

Fine By Me (IRE) 11 2 3 25 Mar 11

Waddingtown Hero (IRE) 10 2 4 21 Aug 15

Dream Performance (IRE) 10 2 2 23 Apr 12

Roseville (IRE) 10 0 2 15 Apr 09

Petit Fleur (GB) 9 0 0 9 Feb 11

Goochypoochyprader (GB) 8 2 4 10 Apr 14

Clonusker (IRE) 8 2 3 10 Mar 14

No Principles (GB) 8 1 3 8 Dec 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 496 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

458663786666

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAlan King

21% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Alan King 194 19 9.8% −41.75

Julian Smith 74 4 5.4% +13.00

Simon Earle 50 3 6% +38.75

Richard Price 42 1 2.4% +25.00

Charlie Morlock 39 1 2.6% −33.50

Andy Turnell 32 3 9.4% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

102

Archived wins

£526k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Haut de Gamme (FR) — Antigua & Barbuda Handicap Hurdle Wetherby · Jan 2006 · Class 2

£11,315

Fine By Me (IRE) — Totesport 0800 221 221 Handicap Chase Warwick · Dec 2009 · Class 3

£11,090

Kalmo Bay (FR) — Ramside Event Catering Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase Hexham · Nov 2007 · Class 4

£6,506

Notable horses

Tallow Bay (IRE) Shilpa (IRE) Fine By Me (IRE) Waddingtown Hero (IRE) Dream Performance (IRE) Goochypoochyprader (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 5.4% · 2–37

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Oscar (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Classic Cliche (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Shernazar (GB) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).

Sovereign Water (FR) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 11.3% of 292 runs since 2008 (34 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,369 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,369 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 March 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Mar 17 Exeter Canford Chimes (IRE)T: Alan King Higos For Your Thatch Insurance Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 7/4F

22 Feb 17 Doncaster Canford Chimes (IRE)T: Alan King BetBright Best For Festival Betting Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16.5f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 20/1

26 Dec 16 Wincanton Jalamie (IRE)T: Giles Smyly Solstice Kitchens Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 16/1

31 Aug 16 Newton Abbot Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams Roa/racing Post Owner's Jackpot Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 12/1

21 Jul 16 Worcester Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams 7bets4free.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 16 ran 6th 16/1

26 Dec 15 Huntingdon Shot In The Dark (IRE)T: Jonathan Geake Racing Fx Online Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 22/1

05 Nov 15 Towcester Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams Haygain Hay Steamers Clean Healthy Hay Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 11/1

29 Sep 15 Southwell Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams Ladbrokes Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 6/1

31 Aug 15 Huntingdon Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams McCarthy & Stone - Retirement Living Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 7/1

21 Aug 15 Bangor-on-Dee Waddingtown Hero (IRE)T: Andy Turnell Mint Staffing Solutions Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 4/1F

27 Jul 15 Newton Abbot Gale Force Oscar (IRE)T: Sean Curran Paul Sherriff 60th Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 22/1

23 Jul 15 Worcester Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams bettinggods.com Free Racing Tips Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 8th 33/1

23 Jul 15 Worcester Fort Gabriel (FR)T: Fiona Kehoe For Great Service Visit Volkswagen Worcester Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 150/1

20 Jul 15 Cartmel Gale Force Oscar (IRE)T: Sean Curran Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 12/1

15 Jul 15 Uttoxeter Sunny Bank (GB)T: Alan Coogan PSP Wealth Management Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran PU 50/1

30 Jun 15 Stratford Pattara (GB)T: Noel Williams Happy Travels Doug And Jean Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 13 ran PU 33/1

30 Jun 15 Stratford Sunny Bank (GB)T: Alan Coogan 19th Of July Is Ladies Day Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 66/1

18 Jun 15 Ffos Las Waddingtown Hero (IRE)T: Andy Turnell Llanmoor Homes Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 4/1

11 Jun 15 Worcester Gale Force Oscar (IRE)T: Andy Turnell myracing.com For Free Tips Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 6/1

31 May 15 Fakenham Gale Force Oscar (IRE)T: Andy Turnell Light Dragoons Handicap Chase (For The Prince Of Wales Cup)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran UR 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerard Tumelty's strike rate?: Gerard Tumelty has won 55 of 933 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerard Tumelty do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Gerard Tumelty ride most for?: Alan King, with 194 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (9.8%).
What is Gerard Tumelty's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 933 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.