What is Robert Thornton's strike rate?

Robert Thornton has won 412 of 2,805 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robert Thornton do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 25 wins from 124 rides (20.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robert Thornton ride most for?

Alan King, with 1,962 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 315 (16.1%).

What is Robert Thornton's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 2,799 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robert Thornton

2,805 rides in the lifetime window · 1,036 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2014 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

412–2,805

Wins / Runs

14.7%

Strike rate

n=2,805

1,087 (39%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=2,799 · 0.78 incl. margin

−926.38

£1 level stake

n=2,805 at SP · −33.0%

£6.13m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 400 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (467 rides). Rode mostly for Alan King — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,805 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar 36% when favourite Alan King: 16.1% from 1,962 LTO winners: 21.4% Rode the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (33.3%, n=60), clear of the rider's 14.7% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (7.1% over 240 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.4% (n=467, Fair A/E 0.99), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.2% (n=167, Fair A/E 0.62). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 12.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −262.35 to a £1 stake over 680 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alan King supplied 70% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (16.1%, A/E 0.91). The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (21.5%, n=219). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 8.4% over 250 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy at Cheltenham (Mar 2008, £205,272). The standout partner of the record was Voy Por Ustedes (FR) — 11 wins from 29 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.1%−1.6

n=905 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −303.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.4%+6.7

n=467 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −112.26

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.6%−2.1

n=680 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −262.35

When favourite

36%

n=494 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −70.86

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.7%−5.0

n=807 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −316.22

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.2%−7.5

n=167 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −72.03

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Plumpton 33.3% vs 14.7% · n=60

At Cheltenham 7.1% vs 14.7% · n=240

On last-time-out winners 21.4% vs 14.7% · n=467

In Group / Graded races 7.2% vs 14.7% · n=167

Off a 8-14-day break 21.5% vs 14.7% · n=219

In Class 2 8.4% vs 14.7% · n=250

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,666 255 15.3% −543.35

Chase 794 112 14.1% −267.26

NH Flat 338 45 13.3% −108.77

Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,083 160 14.8% −394.49

Good to Soft 736 109 14.8% −186.42

Soft 470 66 14% −194.74

Good to Firm 286 37 12.9% −97.25

Heavy 197 35 17.8% −39.58

Standard (AW) 31 4 12.9% −13.00

Firm 2 1 50% −0.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 240 17 7.1% −122.70

Newbury 186 16 8.6% −97.87

Kempton 139 16 11.5% −79.16

Uttoxeter 132 22 16.7% −36.00

Huntingdon 130 23 17.7% −26.86

Fontwell 124 25 20.2% −30.30

Warwick 114 23 20.2% −25.08

Wincanton 111 19 17.1% −45.14

Aintree 103 14 13.6% −6.58

Exeter 94 19 20.2% −1.64

Chepstow 92 10 10.9% −54.94

Ascot 91 9 9.9% −44.17

Southwell 90 11 12.2% −42.85

Market Rasen 83 9 10.8% −47.04

Stratford 81 14 17.3% −19.01

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,099 194 17.7% −293.46

Class 3 575 92 16% −169.35

Class 1 414 40 9.7% −142.47

Class 5 278 37 13.3% −101.68

Class 2 250 21 8.4% −142.03

Class 6 187 28 15% −75.39

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 579 197 34% 1.00 −79.04

2nd–3rd fav 1,005 155 15.4% 0.89 −260.34

4th–6th fav 786 53 6.7% 0.83 −285.00

7th+ in betting 435 7 1.6% 0.38 −302.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.1% completed · 2,460 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 794 75.3% 39 20 133 3 1

Hurdle 1,666 85.3% 37 9 192 3 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Oh Crick (FR) 25 5 8 6 Feb 14

Medermit (FR) 23 6 14 13 Mar 14

Raya Star (IRE) 20 5 11 14 Mar 14

Walkon (FR) 17 4 9 8 Feb 14

Blazing Bailey (GB) 17 5 7 3 Mar 12

Prince du Seuil (FR) 15 4 7 2 May 12

Rustarix (FR) 15 3 7 25 Mar 12

Norman The Great (GB) 15 1 10 6 May 11

Noticeable (IRE) 15 4 7 20 Apr 10

Midnight Sail (GB) 14 4 6 19 Apr 14

Turn Over Sivola (FR) 14 2 8 3 Apr 14

Araldur (FR) 14 3 9 16 Nov 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,036 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

151616131217131212171414

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAlan King

70% of all rides
16.1% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Alan King 1,962 315 16.1% −609.60

Richard Lee 87 10 11.5% −10.38

Neil Mulholland 42 7 16.7% −19.04

J J Lambe 36 8 22.2% +8.34

Richard Phillips 35 2 5.7% −19.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

680

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.2m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 124 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Katchit (IRE) — Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2008 · Class 1

£205,272

Voy Por Ustedes (FR) — Seasons Holidays Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2007 · Class 1

£176,762

My Way De Solzen (FR) — Ladbrokes World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2006 · Class 1

£131,146

Notable horses

Voy Por Ustedes (FR) Katchit (IRE) Blazing Bailey (GB) My Way De Solzen (FR) Oh Crick (FR) Medermit (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 22.7% · 20–88

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Alflora (IRE) 4.8% · 2–42

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Overbury (IRE) 16.7% · 7–42

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Night Shift (USA) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).

Nikos (GB) 20.5% · 8–39

Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,533 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,533 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 25 April 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Apr 14 Chepstow Say When (GB)T: Alan King Braceys 'The Friendly Builders Merchant' 'National Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran F 25/1

25 Apr 14 Chepstow Seventh Sign (GB)T: Alan King Dunraven Windows Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 8/1

25 Apr 14 Chepstow Bendant (GB)T: Debra Hamer Braceys Builders Merchant Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 11/2

25 Apr 14 Chepstow Ned Stark (IRE)T: Alan King Evan And Megan Brace Memorial Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 4/6F

23 Apr 14 Taunton Prettyasapicture (GB)T: Alan King Bathwick Tyres Salisbury Mares' Standard Open National Hunt Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 11/4F

23 Apr 14 Taunton Fountains Flypast (GB)T: Anthony Honeyball Bathwick Tyres Bridgwater Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran PU 13/2

22 Apr 14 Ludlow Midnight Cataria (GB)T: Alan King Racinguk.com/anywhere: 3 Devices, 1 Price Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 8th 7/1

21 Apr 14 Chepstow Simply Charles (IRE)T: Hilary Parrott Bath Ales Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 5/1

21 Apr 14 Chepstow Noble Perk (GB)T: Adrian Wintle Real Radio Breakfast With Jagger And Woody Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 5/1

21 Apr 14 Chepstow Our Pollyanna (IRE)T: Alan King Jenkins Of Nantyfyllon Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 11/2

21 Apr 14 Chepstow Memberof (FR)T: Alan King Chillimint 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 11/1

19 Apr 14 Haydock Howwrongcanyoube (GB)T: Alan King Book Your Christmas Party At Haydock Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1

19 Apr 14 Haydock Midnight Sail (GB)T: Alan King totescoop6 The Millionaire Maker Handicap Chase (Jockey Club Grassroots Chase Series Final)Class 2 · 21.5f · Good · 19 ran 6th 16/1

17 Apr 14 Cheltenham Gabriella Rose (GB)T: Alan King 'Kingsway Claims' Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good · 15 ran 7th 17/2

17 Apr 14 Cheltenham L'unique (FR)T: Alan King OLBG.com Supports Mares' Jump Racing Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good · 19 ran 2nd 8/1

17 Apr 14 Cheltenham The Pirate's Queen (IRE)T: Alan King Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/4F

16 Apr 14 Cheltenham Pantxoa (FR)T: Alan King Weatherite Novices' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/4

16 Apr 14 Cheltenham Phone Home (IRE)T: Nick Mitchell Messier-bugatti-dowty Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 12th 50/1

15 Apr 14 Exeter Kincora Fort (IRE)T: Noel Williams Connolly's Red Mills Bumper Challenge Intermediate Open NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 6 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 8/1

15 Apr 14 Exeter Money For Nothing (GB)T: Alan King South West Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Thornton's strike rate?: Robert Thornton has won 412 of 2,805 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Thornton do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 25 wins from 124 rides (20.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robert Thornton ride most for?: Alan King, with 1,962 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 315 (16.1%).
What is Robert Thornton's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 2,799 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.