What is Eddie Ahern's strike rate?

Eddie Ahern has won 376 of 3,278 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Eddie Ahern do best at?

Newmarket by strike rate: 17 wins from 86 rides (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Eddie Ahern ride most for?

John Dunlop, with 307 rides since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (13.4%).

What is Eddie Ahern's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,260 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Eddie Ahern

3,278 rides in the lifetime window · 2,034 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2013 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

376–3,278

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=3,278

1,014 (31%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,260 · 0.84 incl. margin

−752.39

£1 level stake

n=3,278 at SP · −23.0%

£5.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 550 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (354 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,278 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 33.1% when favourite John Dunlop: 13.4% from 307 LTO winners: 17.8% Group/Graded: 14.9% Rode the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Warwick (22%, n=50) and Newmarket (19.8%, n=86) — all clear of the rider's 11.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.8% (n=354, Fair A/E 1.10), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.9% (n=635, Fair A/E 1.12). John Dunlop supplied 9% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.4%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Watership Down Stud Sales Race at Newbury (Sep 2005, £142,700). The standout partner of the record was Spanish Duke (IRE) — 5 wins from 13 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.7%−0.8

n=1,898 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −413.96

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.8%+6.3

n=354 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −39.31

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.3%−2.2

n=473 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −39.40

When favourite

33.1%

n=375 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −34.30

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.9%−3.6

n=635 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −130.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.9%+3.4

n=255 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −27.05

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Sir Henry Cecil 21.9% vs 11.5% · n=105

With William Haggas 22.4% vs 11.5% · n=67

At Warwick 22% vs 11.5% · n=50

With J R Jenkins 2.4% vs 11.5% · n=85

On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 11.5% · n=354

At Newmarket 19.8% vs 11.5% · n=86

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,274 376 11.5% −748.39

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,246 141 11.3% −317.60

Good to Firm 828 104 12.6% −201.17

Good 599 73 12.2% +18.17

Good to Soft 278 33 11.9% −73.30

Soft 220 15 6.8% −118.87

Firm 66 7 10.6% −40.62

Heavy 41 3 7.3% −19.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 481 45 9.4% −129.31

Lingfield (AW) 368 44 12% −124.59

Wolverhampton (AW) 283 42 14.8% −13.87

Goodwood 186 12 6.5% −98.75

Windsor 141 11 7.8% −72.25

Newbury 126 14 11.1% −26.17

Ascot 117 13 11.1% +3.50

Newmarket 115 11 9.6% −19.12

Yarmouth 112 7 6.3% −80.78

Sandown 109 9 8.3% +3.61

Haydock 90 6 6.7% −64.19

Salisbury 90 6 6.7% −55.58

Newmarket 86 17 19.8% +18.80

Bath 86 15 17.4% +1.38

York 85 15 17.6% +20.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,086 123 11.3% −383.16

Class 6 680 69 10.1% −195.34

Class 4 679 78 11.5% −167.59

Class 2 294 33 11.2% +96.25

Class 1 255 38 14.9% −27.05

Class 3 247 33 13.4% −45.57

Class 7 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 452 134 29.6% 1.05 −69.05

2nd–3rd fav 826 128 15.5% 0.96 −146.84

4th–6th fav 1,023 84 8.2% 1.01 −133.50

7th+ in betting 977 30 3.1% 0.80 −403.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Times Up (GB) 14 4 8 14 Sep 12

Spanish Duke (IRE) 13 5 7 29 Sep 12

Berling (IRE) 12 3 5 27 Sep 12

Downhiller (IRE) 12 2 5 22 Aug 12

Palavicini (USA) 12 3 6 14 Jul 11

Mountain Range (IRE) 11 1 1 26 Sep 12

Squad (GB) 10 0 3 16 Jan 13

Camache Queen (IRE) 10 1 4 20 Sep 12

Greensward (GB) 9 1 3 18 May 13

Rockfella (GB) 9 2 2 11 Aug 12

Downhill Skier (IRE) 9 1 4 6 Aug 11

Roar of Applause (GB) 9 4 6 5 Oct 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,034 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10151013121213121091014

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Dunlop

9% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.00

TrainerRWSR£1

John Dunlop 307 41 13.4% −72.28

Brian Meehan 144 27 18.8% +15.21

J W Hills 111 10 9% −50.99

Sir Henry Cecil 105 23 21.9% +27.14

Denis Coakley 97 12 12.4% −17.25

James Fanshawe 96 13 13.5% +15.54

Richard Hannon Snr 94 11 11.7% −7.37

J R Jenkins 85 2 2.4% −78.75

Ed Dunlop 82 12 14.6% −30.44

Robert Cowell 80 11 13.8% −21.58

Amanda Perrett 71 4 5.6% −25.09

Walter Swinburn 68 10 14.7% +17.83

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

727

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.71m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 140 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Expensive (GB) — Watership Down Stud Sales Race Newbury · Sep 2005 · Class 2

£142,700

Overturn (IRE) — John Smith's Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Newcastle · Jun 2010 · Class 2

£107,888

Caracciola (GER) — Totesport.com Cesarewitch Heritage Handicap Newmarket · Oct 2008 · Class 2

£99,696

Notable horses

Spanish Duke (IRE) Dansant (GB) Areyoutalkingtome (GB) Times Up (GB) Wannabe Posh (IRE) Expensive (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 16.1% · 10–62

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 6.6% · 4–61

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Dansili (GB) 16.9% · 10–59

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Oasis Dream (GB) 20% · 10–50

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,014 runs since 2008 (1,510 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Cape Cross (IRE) 6.3% · 3–48

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,533 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,533 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 21 May 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 May 13 Brighton Hill Of Dreams (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Atkinsons Chartered Accountants' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 8/1

18 May 13 Newmarket Correspondent (GB)T: Brian Meehan Coral King Charles II Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 22/1

18 May 13 Newmarket Melody Of Love (GB)T: Ann Duffield coral.co.uk Sprint Trophy (Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 33/1

18 May 13 Newmarket Tiger Cliff (IRE)T: Sir Henry Cecil Download Coral App From The App Store HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 1st 5/1

18 May 13 Newmarket Greensward (GB)T: Mike Murphy Join coral.co.uk And Get 50 Free Bet HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 12th 33/1

17 May 13 Newbury Spirit Of Xaar (IRE)T: Linda Jewell Scope Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 33/1

17 May 13 Newbury Incorporate (GB)T: Pat Eddery Spinal Cord Injury Awareness Day HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 20/1

17 May 13 Newbury Almalekiah (IRE)T: J S Moore Bathwick Tyres Carnarvon Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 66/1

17 May 13 Newbury Speculative Bid (IRE)T: Gerard Butler Hildon Maiden StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 40/1

16 May 13 Newmarket Phosphorescence (IRE)T: Sir Henry Cecil Jane Rutherford Memorial E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 13th 25/1

16 May 13 Salisbury Zain Zone (IRE)T: Gerard Butler Dougland Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 25/1

15 May 13 York Novirak (IRE)T: James Fanshawe Constant Security HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 3rd 10/1

13 May 13 Windsor Bombardier (GB)T: James Fanshawe Download Coral Mobile From The App Store Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 15 ran 7th 66/1

11 May 13 Lingfield Lutine Bell (GB)T: Mike Murphy Betfred TV HandicapClass 3 · 7.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 8/1

25 Apr 13 Lingfield (AW) Dividend Dan (IRE)T: Mike Murphy Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 16/1

25 Apr 13 Lingfield (AW) Homeboy (IRE)T: Marcus Tregoning Marriottlingfield.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 16/1

24 Apr 13 Epsom Downs Novirak (IRE)T: James Fanshawe Investec Great Metropolitan HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

23 Apr 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Sweet Vintage (IRE)T: Mark Brisbourne 32redbet.com HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 9/1

20 Apr 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Time To Dance (GB)T: Joseph Tuite 32red Casino HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 11/2

20 Apr 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Elle Rebelle (GB)T: Mark Brisbourne 32red Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Eddie Ahern's strike rate?: Eddie Ahern has won 376 of 3,278 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Eddie Ahern do best at?: Newmarket by strike rate: 17 wins from 86 rides (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Eddie Ahern ride most for?: John Dunlop, with 307 rides since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (13.4%).
What is Eddie Ahern's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,260 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.