Island Confusion (IRE)
Island Confusion (IRE) is 1 from 10, the win coming at Class 6 level. Hasn't won since Feb 2013.
- 1–10Wins / Runs
- 10%Strike rate
- 6 (60%)Placed
- −4.00£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 0.45Fair A/E n=10 · 0.40 incl. margin
- 119Highest OR
- 41dBetween runs (median)longest 567 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Of 1 run looked at, 1 has no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 1 run · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since Jan 2008 (317 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 14.2% from 162.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 12 | 0 | 0% | −11.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 162 | 23 | 14.2% | +3 | — |
| Good | 810 | 83 | 10.2% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 474 | 57 | 12% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 847 | 92 | 10.9% | −0.3 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 501 | 58 | 11.6% | +0.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | +4.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +5.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 885 | 96 | 10.8% | −0.4 | 1 from 10 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,000 | 107 | 10.7% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 747 | 88 | 11.8% | +0.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 168 | 21 | 12.5% | +1.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ayr | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Buchanan | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Graham Watters | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Harry Skelton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Chase | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Island Confusion won?
- Island Confusion (IRE) won 1 of 10 archived starts between 2013 and 2017, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 6 times in total (60% of starts).
- Who trained Island Confusion?
- Island Confusion (IRE) was trained by Dan Skelton on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle on 7 January 2017.
- Who is Island Confusion's sire?
- Island Confusion (IRE) is by Heron Island (IRE) out of Anshan Gail (IRE), whose sire is Anshan.
- What going does Island Confusion prefer?
- Island Confusion (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Island Confusion's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 114, from the run on 7 January 2017. The highest on record is 119.
- What is Island Confusion's sire's record?
- Heron Island (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since Jan 2008 (317 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 14.2% from 162.