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Horse profile

Its Gonnahappen (IRE)

6yo gelding (at last run, Dec 2022) · Last trainer Sarah Humphrey · Last owner Liz Reid And Partners
by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Royal Choice (IRE) (King's Theatre)
4 runs · 4 courses · from Mar 2021
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 6 Dec 2022 — 1,421 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Dec 2022 · 11th of 11 Won at Gowran Park Last raced off OR 110
KTB Profile

Its Gonnahappen won the Goresbridge Maiden Hurdle at Gowran Park in Mar 2021 on heavy ground over 1m5f to 2m. The gelding, by Flemensfirth out of a King's Theatre mare, has one win and one place from four turf starts and reached a highest official rating of 118. He last ran at Uttoxeter in Dec 2022, finishing 11 of 11 in a Class 4 handicap chase off a mark of 110. Aged 6 at his last run in Dec 2022.

Based on 4 archived runs · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 141 the best of the last 1 graded (A or B) run · Gowran Park, 12 Mar 2021

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 141B · median 102
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Good to Soft1———
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m1———
1m5f – 2m1———

Of 4 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 141A the best of the last 2 rated runs · Gowran Park, 12 Mar 2021 Official rating 110 at the last run, 6 Dec 2022

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 141A · median 119.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Good to Soft1———
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m1———
1m5f – 2m1———

Of 4 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Flemensfirth (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 17,281 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm3800%−11.8—
Good to Firm522509.6%−2.2—
Good4,05344110.9%−0.90 from 1
Good to Soft2,93335412.1%+0.30 from 1
Soft5,87675112.8%+1—
Heavy3,81744911.8%01 from 2
Standard (AW)4224.8%−7—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
1m – 1m1f200%−11.8—
1m2f – 1m4f2514%−7.8—
1m5f – 2m4,48454712.2%+0.41 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f6,08172411.9%+0.10 from 1
2m5f – 3m5,25762211.8%00 from 1
Over 3m1,43215310.7%−1.10 from 1

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Royal Choice (IRE) (King's Theatre)

5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Special John (IRE) (3 wins).

The wins came over 2m–3m2½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Special John (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Special John (IRE)1333m–3m2½fClass 5
Rioga Choice (IRE)1012m—
Kates Choice (IRE)1512m4fClass 5
My Uncas (IRE)90——
Royal Tiara (IRE)40——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Heavy 2 1 50% +24.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 1 100% +25.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00
Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m5f – 2m 1 1 100% +25.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jay Tidball 1 0 0% −1.00
Kevin Brogan 1 0 0% −1.00
James Best 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr H D Dunne 1 1 100% +25.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2022 2 0 0% −2.00
2021 2 1 50% +24.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 3 1 33% +23.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2022 · 2 runs
06 Dec 22+309d Uttoxeter quinnbet.com Handicap Chase Class 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11/11 21 11-2 11063C98C Jay Tidball 28/1
31 Jan 22+54d Plumpton Betting.Bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 3 · 25f · Good · 10 ran PU/10 — 11-0 113—— Kevin Brogan 12/1
2021 · 2 runs
08 Dec 21+271d Lingfield Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU/11 — 11-10 118—— James Best 18/1
12 Mar 21 Gowran Park Goresbridge Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) 16f · Heavy · 16 ran 1/16 11-9 —141B141A Mr H D Dunne 25/1

Quick answers

How many races has Its Gonnahappen won?
Its Gonnahappen (IRE) won 1 of 4 archived starts between 2021 and 2022, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 1 time in total (25% of starts).
Who trained Its Gonnahappen?
Its Gonnahappen (IRE) was trained by Sarah Humphrey on the most recent run on record, at Uttoxeter on 6 December 2022.
Who is Its Gonnahappen's sire?
Its Gonnahappen (IRE) is by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Royal Choice (IRE), whose sire is King's Theatre.
What is Its Gonnahappen's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 110, from the run on 6 December 2022. The highest on record is 118.
What is Its Gonnahappen's sire's record?
Flemensfirth (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 17,281 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Its Gonnahappen's siblings?
Out of Royal Choice (IRE), Its Gonnahappen (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Special John (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Special John (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–3m2½f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from March 2021. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.