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Trainer profile

Sarah Humphrey

297 runners in the last 5 seasons · 49 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
39–297
Wins / Runs
13.1%
Strike rate
n=297
74 (25%)
Placed
1.35
n=297 · 1.19 incl. margin
−4.94
£1 level stake
n=297 at SP · −1.7%
£476k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.35).

Deterministic profile computed from 297 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr James Best: 10.2% from 59
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.45). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.55 and +11.00 to a £1 stake over 102 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. James Best rides 20% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.2% vs 13.1%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (20.5%, n=39) and in Chase races (18.1%, n=138). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 6.5% over 77 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices' Chase at Sandown (Feb 2024, £57,620). The stable star of the record: Glimpse Of Gold (GB) — 7 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.8%−1.3
n=102 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +11.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.3%−9.8
n=30 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −19.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−13.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−13.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=7 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −1.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.9%−2.2
n=92 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −5.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+6.9
n=5 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 24.4% vs 13.1% · n=41
With new recruits 3.3% vs 13.1% · n=30
Over 2m5f – 3m 6.5% vs 13.1% · n=77
Beyond 3m 20.5% vs 13.1% · n=39
In Chase races 18.1% vs 13.1% · n=138
On Good to Soft going 7.8% vs 13.1% · n=90
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 144 14 9.7% −17.25
Chase 138 25 18.1% +27.31
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 160 24 15% +20.93
Good to Soft 90 7 7.8% −27.75
Soft 32 6 18.8% +8.80
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 5 1 20% −0.67
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +0.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fakenham 52 9 17.3% +16.10
Huntingdon 48 9 18.8% +3.83
Plumpton 23 5 21.7% +41.00
Market Rasen 19 1 5.3% −11.00
Uttoxeter 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Worcester 16 1 6.3% −10.50
Southwell 15 1 6.7% −8.00
Fontwell 12 1 8.3% −1.00
Sedgefield 11 2 18.2% +9.50
Stratford 9 2 22.2% −1.70
Warwick 9 1 11.1% −2.50
Lingfield 7 0 0% −7.00
Bangor-on-Dee 6 0 0% −6.00
Catterick 5 1 20% +0.00
Sandown 4 3 75% +17.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 128 15 11.7% −13.17
Class 5 104 17 16.3% +31.93
Class 3 42 4 9.5% −24.20
Class 2 13 2 15.4% −0.50
Class 1 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 4 44.4% 1.25 +2.90
2nd–3rd fav 66 14 21.2% 1.10 −1.34
4th–6th fav 144 18 12.5% 1.66 +24.50
7th+ in betting 78 3 3.8% 1.36 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.9% completed · 282 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 138 83.3% 3 0 20 0 0
Hurdle 144 80.6% 4 0 24 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gloire D'athon (FR)from Henry De Bromhead 22 5 7 14 Mar 25
Jacks Touch (IRE)from Leonard Whitmore 17 3 6 13 Feb 26
Glimpse Of Gold (GB)from Tim Vaughan 17 3 5 16 Jun 23
Flamelco (FR)from Gary & Josh Moore 16 3 5 4 Apr 26
Redbridge Rosie (IRE) 14 0 2 2 Dec 24
Templier (IRE)from Katie Stephens 14 3 7 12 Apr 24
Synchronist (IRE) 12 2 3 17 Oct 26
Nickle Back (IRE) 12 3 5 8 Dec 24
Another Mystery (GB)from Lucy Wadham 11 1 3 4 Oct 26
Milan Bridge (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 9 2 2 8 Jul 25
Le Tueur (IRE)from Peter Bowen 9 2 4 19 Dec 23
All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 49 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Amy Murphy (2) and Charlie Longsdon (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Quinn (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
13814251011001391414
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Best
20% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.11
RiderRWSR£1
James Best 59 6 10.2% −8.20
Jamie Gambin 39 5 12.8% +19.75
Jay Tidball 30 2 6.7% −22.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
128
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.05m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 22 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nickle Back (IRE) — Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Sandown · Feb 2024 · Grade 1
£57,620
Gloire D'athon (FR) — Bet365 Josh Gifford Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2023 · Class 2
£21,260
Gloire D'athon (FR) — Clarke Chase (Handicap Chase) (For The Sir Stanley And Lady Clarke Challenge Trophy) (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · May 2023 · Class 2
£20,812

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,930 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.
Doctor Dino (FR) 22.7% · 5–22
Progeny have won 16% of 3,191 runs since 2008 (490 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.8% from 692. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Jeremy (USA) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Passing Glance (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,539 runs since 2008 (291 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Falco (USA) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,582 runs since 2008 (208 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.3% from 332. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.6% from 286. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6% from 134.
Milan (GB) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,856 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,274 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,274 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Apr 26 Haydock Minella Crooner (IRE)J: James Best Unibet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 66/1
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Tigga Time (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Last Resort Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sarah Humphrey's strike rate?
Sarah Humphrey has won 39 of 297 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah Humphrey do best at?
Huntingdon by strike rate: 9 wins from 48 runners (18.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sarah Humphrey?
James Best, with 59 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.2%).
Is Sarah Humphrey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sarah Humphrey's Fair A/E?
1.35, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).