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Horse profile

Keel Strand (FR)

5yo gelding (at last run, Sep 2025) · Last trainer Paul Nicholls · Last owner P J Vogt
by Authorized (IRE) out of Avoca Dancer (IRE) (Compton Place)
8 runs · 5 courses · from Oct 2024
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 16 Sep 2025 — 406 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Sep 2025 · 2nd of 11 3 wins · Newton Abbot Beaten favourite LTO Last raced off OR 113
KTB Profile

Keel Strand won three of eight starts over hurdles all on turf. All three wins came at Newton Abbot on good ground including two handicaps over 2m5f – 3m and over 3m in Jun 2025 and Jul 2025. He usually led and did so when finishing second of 11 as beaten favourite in the Class 4 handicap at Uttoxeter in Sep 2025. The gelding aged 5 at his last run in Sep 2025 last raced off a career-high mark of 113.

Based on 8 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Wins on good or faster

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 127 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Uttoxeter, 16 Sep 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 8 figures · best 131B · median 103.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Good5127A106—
Good to Soft3131B94—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m5127A106—
Over 3m1———
2m1f – 2m4f1———
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 130A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Uttoxeter, 16 Sep 2025 Official rating 113 at the last run, 16 Sep 2025

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 8 figures · best 130A · median 113
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
Good5130A123—
Good to Soft3100A92—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 28 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m5130A116—
Over 3m1———
2m1f – 2m4f1———
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 7 analysed runs since Oct 2024

  • Prominent 3 (43%) · 1 win
  • Led 3 (43%) · 2 wins
  • Held up 1 (14%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 13.5% of 7,026 runs since Jan 2008 (543 horses).

Weakest on standard (aw) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm2400%−13.5—
Good to Firm5987612.7%−0.8—
Good1,78525514.3%+0.83 from 5
Good to Soft1,11015614.1%+0.60 from 3
Soft1,70024614.5%+1—
Heavy76511915.6%+2.1—
Standard (AW)1,043979.3%−4.2—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f800%−13.5—
6f – 7f267176.4%−7.1—
1m – 1m1f681629.1%−4.4—
1m2f – 1m4f1,70121912.9%−0.6—
1m5f – 2m2,16535016.2%+2.70 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f1,47020413.9%+0.40 from 1
2m5f – 3m6087312%−1.52 from 5
Over 3m1262519.8%+6.31 from 1

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Avoca Dancer (IRE) (Compton Place)

5 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Cordey Dancer (FR) (1 win).

The wins came over 1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Cordey Dancer (FR)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Cordey Dancer (FR)1111m4fClass 6
My Bella (FR)90——
Ginger Ninja (FR)80——
Rio Dancer (FR)130——
Dancing Star (FR)40——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 5 3 60% +1.92
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 6 2 33% −0.75
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +0.67

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Newton Abbot 3 3 100% +3.92
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00
Wincanton 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 5 2 40% −1.33
Over 3m 1 1 100% +2.25
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Harry Cobden 5 2 40% +0.25
Jay Tidball 2 1 50% −0.33
Ben Bromley 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Tongue tie 5 3 60% +1.92
None 3 0 0% −3.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2025 6 3 50% +0.92
2024 2 0 0% −2.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 7 3 43% −0.08
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2025 · 6 runs
16 Sep 25+51d Uttoxeter Boots Opticians Uttoxeter Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran Front early then surrendered the lead - back in front 3 out - challenged strongly from the last - collared near the line to go down by a short head 2/11 nk 11-6 113127A130A Jay Tidball 7/2F
27 Jul 25+23d Uttoxeter Stan Price Memorial Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 2 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran Settled close to the front - dropped back three out under pressure - weakened before the final fence - finished fifth 5/6 hd 10-2 11393A110B Harry Cobden 7/4F
04 Jul 25+10d Newton Abbot Weatherbys Racing Bank Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran Settled second early - made ground on pacesetter by 7th - hit the front 3 out - matched stride 2 out - edged clear near the line under pressure - held on gamely to score 1/4 12-1 103121C123C Jay Tidball 4/6F
24 Jun 25+20d Newton Abbot EBCS Leisure Giddy Up Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran Made the running early - lost the advantage past the 6th - back in front 3 out - overtaken after the second-last - regained control soon after - challenged strongly but kept finding more - comfortably clear of the runner-up at the line 1/10 11-7 103101A125A Harry Cobden 9/4F
04 Jun 25+105d Newton Abbot Racing Partnership Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran In front early - lost spot 4th then regained advantage - fended off rival at final obstacle - kept finding more to win 1/7 11-2 —106A116B Harry Cobden EvensF
19 Feb 25+64d Ludlow Luke Watson Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran Set the pace early under pressure - lost front spot after 4 out - dropped away quickly - finished well held in 5th 5/7 13 11-6 —94A92B Harry Cobden 11/2
2024 · 2 runs
17 Dec 24+66d Wincanton TrustATrader Apply Today Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran Settled towards the back early - made progress into contention approaching 2 out but couldn't find extra up the straight - crossed the line in 4th 4/13 1 10-9 —131B100A Ben Bromley 14/1
12 Oct 24 Chepstow Unibet Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran Sat close to the front early - went in front after 6 furlongs then lost that spot approaching the 3f marker - given the whip and faded away from there finishing seventh 7/9 nk 11-1 —65C92C Harry Cobden 9/2

Quick answers

How many races has Keel Strand won?
Keel Strand (FR) won 3 of 8 archived starts between 2024 and 2025, a strike rate of 37.5%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
Who trained Keel Strand?
Keel Strand (FR) was trained by Paul Nicholls on the most recent run on record, at Uttoxeter on 16 September 2025.
Who is Keel Strand's sire?
Keel Strand (FR) is by Authorized (IRE) out of Avoca Dancer (IRE), whose sire is Compton Place.
What going does Keel Strand prefer?
Keel Strand (FR) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Keel Strand's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 113, from the run on 16 September 2025. That is also the highest on record.
What is Keel Strand's sire's record?
Authorized (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.5% of 7,026 runs since Jan 2008 (543 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Who are Keel Strand's siblings?
Out of Avoca Dancer (IRE), Keel Strand (FR) has 5 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Cordey Dancer (FR) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Cordey Dancer (FR)). The wins came over 1m4f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from October 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.