Horse profile
Lastchancelucas (GB)
4yo gelding (at last run, Oct 2014) · Last trainer Declan Carroll · Last owner C H Stephenson Partners
by Ishiguru (USA) out of Light of Aragon (GB) (Aragon)
23 runs · 10 courses · from May 2012
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 10 Oct 2014 — 4,394 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2014 · 10th of 12
3 wins · Thirsk, York & Pontefract
Last raced off OR 72
KTB Profile
Lastchancelucas (GB) is 3 from 23. Hasn't won since May 2014. All 3 wins have come over trips under 6f. Last raced off 72, 15lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 23 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 15lb off peak
- 3–23Wins / Runs
- 13%Strike rate
- 4 (17.4%)Placed
- +98.00£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 1.67Fair A/E n=23 · 1.41 incl. margin
- 87Highest OR
- 41dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating72↓ 15lb off peak
72
72–87
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Ishiguru (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since Jan 2008 (156 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 70 | 8 | 11.4% | +1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 655 | 67 | 10.2% | −0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 586 | 60 | 10.2% | −0.2 | 2 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 298 | 33 | 11.1% | +0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 310 | 33 | 10.6% | +0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 89 | 15 | 16.9% | +6.5 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,191 | 117 | 9.8% | −0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 727 | 84 | 11.6% | +1.2 | 3 from 12 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,393 | 131 | 9.4% | −1 | 0 from 11 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 487 | 57 | 11.7% | +1.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 321 | 40 | 12.5% | +2.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 155 | 10 | 6.5% | −3.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 67 | 5 | 7.5% | −2.9 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | +1.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +3.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Light of Aragon (GB) (Aragon)
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgie Bee (GB) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Harmony Wold (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Liverti (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 2 | 22% | +11.00 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | +98.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 11 | 2 | 18% | +101.00 |
| Class 3 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +0.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontefract | 4 | 1 | 25% | +97.00 |
| Thirsk | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| York | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Chester | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Beverley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 12 | 3 | 25% | +109.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Hart | 14 | 3 | 21% | +107.00 |
| Neil Farley | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Luke Leadbitter | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Duran Fentiman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tony Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 13 | 2 | 15% | +97.00 |
| Blinkers | 9 | 1 | 11% | +2.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −2.00 |
| 2013 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2012 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +107.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 14+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes Handicap | 10/12 | hd | 9-4 | 72 | 65A | Jason Hart | 16/1 |
| 25 Sep 14+15d | Pontefract | 100% Racing Uk Profits Returned To Racing Handicap | 5/13 | 2¼ | 9-3 | 74 | 78A | Neil Farley | 12/1 |
| 10 Sep 14+39d | Doncaster | Magical Moments On Canvas Handicap | 16/20 | ¾ | 9-0 | 77 | 64A | Jason Hart | 20/1 |
| 02 Aug 14+22d | Thirsk | Collect Totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap | 4/11 | 4 | 8-12 | 78 | 76A | Luke Leadbitter | 10/1 |
| 11 Jul 14+6d | York | Acturis Handicap | 10/10 | 6 | 8-11 | 80 | 40A | Duran Fentiman | 16/1 |
| 05 Jul 14+21d | Beverley | Coachman Caravans Quality Handicap | 8/14 | nse | 9-9 | 80 | 84A | Tony Hamilton | 25/1 |
| 14 Jun 14+15d | Chester | Lambrini Handicap | 8/8 | 8 | 8-12 | 81 | 38A | Luke Leadbitter | 7/1 |
| 30 May 14+13d | Haydock | Halliwell Jones For Approved Used Cars Handicap | 7/9 | hd | 9-2 | 82 | 74A | Jason Hart | 11/2 |
| 17 May 14+14d | Thirsk | Happy Birthday Mike Wood Handicap | 5/15 | ¾ | 9-1 | 82 | 83A | Jason Hart | 7/2F |
| 03 May 14+17d | Thirsk | Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap | 1/18 | 8-11 | 78 | 102A | Jason Hart | 10/1 | |
| 16 Apr 14+11d | Beverley | World's First Easter Egg Tree Handicap | 9/12 | 2¾ | 8-4 | 80 | 50A | Neil Farley | 25/1 |
| 05 Apr 14+6d | Newcastle | Vertem Asset Management Handicap | 4/11 | nk | 8-4 | 80 | 81A | Jason Hart | 25/1 |
| 30 Mar 14+160d | Doncaster | William Hill Bet On The Move Handicap | 17/18 | nse | 8-4 | 80 | 46C | Neil Farley | 33/1 |
| 21 Oct 13+23d | Pontefract | totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Handicap | 9/13 | 1¾ | 9-2 | 82 | 61A | Neil Farley | 17/2 |
| 28 Sep 13+11d | Chester | Winter Wonderland At Chester Racecourse Handicap | 13/13 | ¾ | 9-1 | 84 | 53A | Jason Hart | 5/1C |
| 17 Sep 13+9d | Thirsk | Anderson Barrowcliff Centenary Stakes (handicap) | 6/13 | ½ | 9-1 | 85 | 89A | Jason Hart | 13/2 |
| 08 Sep 13+22d | York | Hanson Springs 50th Anniversary Handicap | 6/12 | ¾ | 8-11 | 85 | 78A | Jason Hart | 17/2 |
| 17 Aug 13+71d | Chester | Bryden Handicap | 2/7 | hd | 9-2 | 83 | 106A | Neil Farley | 4/1 |
| 07 Jun 13+21d | Pontefract | Mr Wolf Sprint Handicap | 6/11 | nk | 9-2 | 85 | 80A | Jason Hart | 25/1 |
| 17 May 13+349d | York | Ralph Raper Memorial Handicap | 10/17 | 1¾ | 8-13 | 87 | 70A | Jason Hart | 16/1 |
| 02 Jun 12+17d | Epsom Downs | Investec Woodcote Stakes (Listed) | 5/7 | 4½ | 9-0 | — | 68A | Jason Hart | 13/2 |
| 16 May 12+14d | York | Ripleycollection.com E.b.f. Novice Stakes | 1/8 | 8-12 | — | 94A | Jason Hart | 8/1 | |
| 02 May 12 | Pontefract | Williamhill.com/british Stallion Studs E.b.f. Maiden Stakes | 1/10 | 8-10 | — | 104A | Jason Hart | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lastchancelucas (GB) won?
- Lastchancelucas (GB) won 3 of 23 archived starts between 2012 and 2014, a strike rate of 13%. Placed 4 times in total (17.4% of starts).
- Who trained Lastchancelucas (GB)?
- Lastchancelucas (GB) was trained by Declan Carroll on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 October 2014.
- Who is Lastchancelucas (GB)'s sire?
- Lastchancelucas (GB) is by Ishiguru (USA) out of Light of Aragon (GB), whose sire is Aragon.
- What going does Lastchancelucas (GB) prefer?
- Lastchancelucas (GB) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Lastchancelucas (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 10 October 2014. The highest on record is 87.
- What is Lastchancelucas (GB)'s sire's record?
- Ishiguru (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since Jan 2008 (156 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.
- Who are Lastchancelucas (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Light of Aragon (GB), Lastchancelucas (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.