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Jockey profile

Luke Leadbitter

151 rides in the lifetime window · 62 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2015 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–151
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=151
34 (23%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=150 · 0.69 incl. margin
−60.75
£1 level stake
n=151 at SP · −40.2%
£129k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Rode mostly for Declan Carroll — 71% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 151 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Declan Carroll: 7.5% from 107
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 7.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −54.25 to a £1 stake over 138 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Declan Carroll supplied 71% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.85). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.62 across 57 rides (7% strike, −22.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.5%−0.8
n=62 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −24.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+17.7
n=16 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +8.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−7.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −0.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.2%−0.1
n=138 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −54.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.7%−2.6
n=43 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 9.8% vs 7.3% · n=51
On first rides for the horse 6.5% vs 7.3% · n=62 · A/E 0.75
In Class 6 7% vs 7.3% · n=57 · A/E 0.62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 42 3 7.1% −23.75
Good to Firm 41 3 7.3% −4.00
Standard (AW) 31 2 6.5% −22.50
Good to Soft 18 1 5.6% −15.00
Soft 13 2 15.4% +10.50
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 21 1 4.8% −17.00
Thirsk 15 0 0% −15.00
Beverley 14 2 14.3% +3.00
Doncaster 10 1 10% −3.50
Catterick 10 1 10% +11.00
Newcastle 9 1 11.1% −6.00
York 8 0 0% −8.00
Pontefract 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Redcar 5 1 20% +12.00
Ayr 5 1 20% −1.25
Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00
Chester 4 0 0% −4.00
Haydock 4 0 0% −4.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 57 4 7% −22.25
Class 5 51 5 9.8% −11.00
Class 4 28 1 3.6% −21.50
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.55 +1.75
2nd–3rd fav 37 4 10.8% 0.72 −14.50
4th–6th fav 44 3 6.8% 0.83 −4.00
7th+ in betting 61 1 1.6% 0.43 −44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Illustrious Prince (IRE) 17 2 5 4 Oct 13
Whozthecat (IRE) 11 1 3 2 May 15
My Destination (IRE) 9 0 4 15 Jul 14
Pull The Pin (IRE) 9 1 5 9 Jul 13
Save The Bees (GB) 7 1 2 16 May 15
Green Park (IRE) 7 0 1 19 Oct 13
Kimbali (IRE) 6 2 2 25 Oct 14
Deepest Blue (GB) 6 0 2 22 Aug 13
Hagree (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Apr 15
Wor Lass (GB) 3 1 2 25 Aug 14
Rutland Panther (GB) 3 0 1 1 Aug 14
Secret City (IRE) 3 0 1 23 Apr 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 62 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000900277460·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDeclan Carroll
71% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.85
TrainerRWSR£1
Declan Carroll 107 8 7.5% −48.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
11
Archived wins
£129k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 6 wins
Whozthecat (IRE) — Boylesports.com Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jul 2013
£60,000
Hefner (IRE) — European Association Of Racing Schools Apprentice Handicap (Str) Doncaster · Oct 2013 · Class 4
£6,469
Illustrious Prince (IRE) — Chichester Observer Apprentice Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2012 · Class 5
£3,235
Notable horses
Illustrious Prince (IRE) Kimbali (IRE) Whozthecat (IRE) Pull The Pin (IRE) Save The Bees (GB) Wor Lass (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Acclamation (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
One Cool Cat (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,592 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 605.
Kheleyf (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Royal Applause (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Shinko Forest (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 151 · newest first

The latest 50 of 151 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 July 2012 to 21 May 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 May 15 Nottingham Mysterial (GB)T: Declan Carroll 32red.com HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 16 ran 6th 20/1
16 May 15 Doncaster Save The Bees (GB)T: Declan Carroll Crownhotel-bawtry.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 17th 20/1
09 May 15 Thirsk Bold Captain (IRE)T: John Quinn Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 22/1
04 May 15 Beverley Monsieur Jimmy (GB)T: Declan Carroll White Rabbit Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 6/1
02 May 15 Doncaster Whozthecat (IRE)T: Declan Carroll betdaq.com Serious About Horses HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 8/1
29 Apr 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Glasgon (GB)T: Declan Carroll Sika Liquid Plastics Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 5/1
29 Apr 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Hagree (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Brc Roofing HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 5/2J
28 Apr 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Pull The Plug (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Autosales Ltd For Mitsubishi In Wolverhampton Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 3/1J
11 Apr 15 Newcastle Hagree (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Investing For The Future Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 7th 8/1
30 Jan 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Company Secretary (USA)T: Jo Hughes Coral Casino Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 4/1F
29 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Hagree (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Ladbrokes Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1
25 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Kimbali (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Free Bets Galore At bookies.com Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 8/1
25 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Whozthecat (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Download The Free App At bookmakers.co.uk HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 33/1
21 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Llewellyn (GB)T: Declan Carroll Download Our iPhone App Now HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 20/1
21 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Save The Bees (GB)T: Declan Carroll Wolverhampton Holiday Inn HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1
18 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Pull The Plug (IRE)T: Declan Carroll bet365 Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 11/1
10 Oct 14 York Whozthecat (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Future Cleaning Services Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 2nd 50/1
15 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Tortoise (GB)T: Richard Guest Download Our iPhone App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 25/1
10 Sep 14 Carlisle Conjuror's Bluff (GB)T: Fred Watson Bet & Watch With Racing Uk's App HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 100/1
10 Sep 14 Carlisle Spokesperson (USA)T: Fred Watson Happy Birthday John Houghton 80 Today HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luke Leadbitter's strike rate?
Luke Leadbitter has won 11 of 151 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Luke Leadbitter ride most for?
Declan Carroll, with 107 rides since 2008 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.5%).
What is Luke Leadbitter's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 150 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).