Duran Fentiman
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 290 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (89 rides). Rides mostly for Tim Easterby — 88% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Beverley (9.8%, n=143), clear of the rider's 5.5% baseline. It is weakest at Leicester (0% over 37 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.79), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.5% (n=241, Fair A/E 0.69). Tim Easterby supplies 88% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 0.85). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10.6%, n=123) and over 1m5f – 2m (10.3%, n=58). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.42 across 309 rides (2.6% strike, −185.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totepool.com Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2012, £125,386). The standout partner of the record: East Street Revue (GB) — 7 wins from 53 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,386 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,386 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 15 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Duran Fentiman's strike rate?
- Duran Fentiman has won 81 of 1,460 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Duran Fentiman do best at?
- Beverley by strike rate: 14 wins from 143 rides (9.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Duran Fentiman ride most for?
- Tim Easterby, with 1,291 rides since 2022 — 88% of the total. That pairing has won 71 (5.5%).
- Is Duran Fentiman in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Duran Fentiman's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 1,449 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.