Lucia Molly (IRE)
Lucia Molly is a filly by Profitable out of a Galileo mare who has placed on all six starts without winning. She finished third of 14 at Dundalk on the AW in Oct 2025 off an official rating of 75 and had earlier been second of 14 at Down Royal in Sep 2025. All her runs have come over 6f to 1m1f on good to soft or standard ground. Her official rating reached a highest ever mark of 77.
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 6 (100%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=6 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 17dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 84
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 103C | 84 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 84A | 78.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 103C | 84 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs since Jul 2025
- Mid-division 3 (50%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (33%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (17%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,443 runs since Mar 2021 (358 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 20 | 2 | 10% | +0.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 646 | 60 | 9.3% | −0.2 | — |
| Good | 1,016 | 110 | 10.8% | +1.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 414 | 31 | 7.5% | −2 | — |
| Soft | 556 | 50 | 9% | −0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 154 | 11 | 7.1% | −2.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,637 | 159 | 9.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,140 | 135 | 11.8% | +2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,282 | 212 | 9.3% | −0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 706 | 55 | 7.8% | −1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 258 | 17 | 6.6% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 45 | 4 | 8.9% | −0.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 0 | 0% | −9.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Too Bright (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m3½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Shes Perfect (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Too Bright (IRE) | 32 | 3 | 1m4f–2m3½f | — |
| Macho Time (IRE) | 23 | 3 | 6f–1m | Class 4 |
| Caius College Girl (IRE) | 29 | 2 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Invested (IRE) | 8 | 2 | 6f–7f | Class 5 |
| Shes Perfect (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 7f | Class 3 |
| Sueboys (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Peveril Point (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Caffrey | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Rory Cleary | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leigh Roche | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 25+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Sat behind front group early - fourth at halfway then pushed along and hit front for a moment inside final furlong - unable to match winner in closing stages and eased back to finish third | 3/14 | nk | 8-13 | 75 | 73B | 71A | Adam Caffrey | 16/5 |
| 05 Sep 25+21d | Down Royal | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Made all - matched at halfway - pushed along 2f out - back in front 1.5f out - challenged hard - lost advantage inside final furlong and battled on to finish second | 2/14 | 1¾ | 8-10 | 77 | 103C | 75A | Shane Foley | 2/1F |
| 15 Aug 25+12d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden Sat handy behind front-runner - travelled keenly - 4th at halfway - urged forward with 2f left - driven approaching final furlong and stayed on same rate to finish 2nd | 2/9 | 3¼ | 8-8 | 77 | 84A | 81A | Rory Cleary | 3/1 |
| 03 Aug 25+17d | Galway | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Settled midfield early - upped the effort behind the front group by halfway - urged into 3rd with 2f left - hit the front approaching the final furlong before being overhauled - held on for a clear-cut second | 2/9 | 1½ | 8-8 | — | — | 81A | Rory Cleary | 7/1 |
| 17 Jul 25+14d | Leopardstown | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Settled in the pack early - 5th at halfway - moving well into the straight - urged forward 2f out and up to 2nd inside final furlong - stayed on well to finish third | 3/15 | shd | 8-10 | — | 84C | 81A | Leigh Roche | 16/1 |
| 03 Jul 25 | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Settled midpack and 5th at halfway - pushed along inside the final two furlongs and drifted right while moving into 3rd but couldn't reach the leaders - stayed on at one speed to finish third | 3/9 | 3¼ | 8-13 | — | 55A | 65A | Adam Caffrey | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucia Molly won?
- Lucia Molly (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts in 2025. Placed 6 times in total (100% of starts).
- Who trained Lucia Molly?
- Lucia Molly (IRE) was trained by Adrian McGuinness on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 10 October 2025.
- Who is Lucia Molly's sire?
- Lucia Molly (IRE) is by Profitable (IRE) out of Galeaza (GB), whose sire is Galileo.
- What is Lucia Molly's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 75, from the run on 10 October 2025. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Lucia Molly's sire's record?
- Profitable (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,443 runs since Mar 2021 (358 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Lucia Molly's siblings?
- Out of Galeaza (GB), Lucia Molly (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Too Bright (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Shes Perfect (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–2m3½f. As at Nov 2026.