Skip to content
Jockey profile

Leigh Roche

1,545 rides in the last 5 seasons · 905 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
88–1,545
Wins / Runs
5.7%
Strike rate
n=1,545
268 (17%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=1,545 · 0.88 incl. margin
−349.82
£1 level stake
n=1,545 at SP · −22.6%
£1.56m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 310 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (87 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,545 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Sep 17% when favourite M D O'Callaghan: 6.8% from 207 LTO winners: 11.5% Rides the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (15.8%, n=38), clear of the rider's 5.7% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 55 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.5% (n=87, Fair A/E 1.16). M D O'Callaghan supplies 13% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 0.81). The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (10.5%, n=95). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes at Curragh (Sep 2021, £147,500). The standout partner of the record: Patrickswell (IRE) — 7 wins from 42 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.6%−0.1
n=846 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −249.13
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.5%+5.8
n=87 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −27.40
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.7%+0.0
n=282 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −14.50
When favourite
17%
n=47 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −18.82
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.6%−1.1
n=785 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −164.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.4%−2.3
n=59 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −50.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 14.4% vs 5.7% · n=125
At Killarney 15.8% vs 5.7% · n=38
On last-time-out winners 11.5% vs 5.7% · n=87
At Fairyhouse 0% vs 5.7% · n=55
With first-time headgear 0.9% vs 5.7% · n=107
On Good to Soft going 10.5% vs 5.7% · n=95
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 489 34 7% +56.00
Soft 411 23 5.6% −136.62
Standard (AW) 362 16 4.4% −179.82
Heavy 148 5 3.4% −98.50
Good to Soft 95 10 10.5% +49.12
Good to Firm 40 0 0% −40.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 361 16 4.4% −178.82
Curragh 232 11 4.7% +11.00
Naas 122 5 4.1% −87.00
Leopardstown 105 4 3.8% −43.00
Gowran Park 102 5 4.9% −49.00
Navan 90 5 5.6% −47.00
Cork 80 5 6.3% −20.00
Down Royal 60 5 8.3% +2.50
Galway 60 3 5% −26.00
Fairyhouse 55 0 0% −55.00
Roscommon 45 1 2.2% −32.00
Killarney 38 6 15.8% +85.00
Bellewstown 36 4 11.1% +21.50
Tramore 27 7 25.9% +43.50
Tipperary 27 2 7.4% −17.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 59 2 3.4% −50.62
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 62 11 17.7% 0.79 −18.32
2nd–3rd fav 143 21 14.7% 1.02 −22.00
4th–6th fav 298 29 9.7% 1.33 −21.50
7th+ in betting 1,042 27 2.6% 1.15 −288.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rockbury Lad (GB) 21 1 6 30 Jan 26
Back Down Under (IRE) 20 1 10 18 Jul 26
Nibras Rainbow (IRE) 13 3 7 20 Oct 26
Twilight Jet (IRE) 12 2 3 12 Oct 24
Darkdeserthighway (IRE) 11 1 3 16 Jan 26
Facethepuckout (IRE) 10 1 3 11 Oct 25
Zephron (GB) 9 1 2 23 Jul 25
Samrogue (IRE) 8 1 2 6 Dec 24
Fastnet Crown (IRE) 8 1 2 27 Sep 22
Happy Henry (IRE) 7 2 4 21 Oct 26
Only One Scobie (IRE) 7 1 1 2 Sep 26
Thyer (GB) 7 0 2 31 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 905 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 13
Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1303567777353
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardM D O'Callaghan
13% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.81
TrainerRWSR£1
M D O'Callaghan 207 14 6.8% −115.12
D K Weld 80 7 8.8% −20.38
Paul W Flynn 75 7 9.3% +75.00
Jarlath P Fahey 51 4 7.8% −0.50
Padraig Roche 49 1 2% −40.00
W McCreery 43 4 9.3% +3.50
Noel Meade 39 4 10.3% +3.50
Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch 38 3 7.9% −5.50
Ross O'Sullivan 37 1 2.7% −8.00
Miss Natalia Lupini 31 3 9.7% −18.15
Eddie & Patrick Harty 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
366
Archived wins
12
Pattern / graded wins
£6.61m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 36 wins
Super King (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes Curragh · Sep 2021
£147,500
Lustown Baba (IRE) — Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Race Final (Plus 10) Naas · Oct 2019
£71,160
Nans View (IRE) — Guinness Handicap (Premier Handicap) Galway · Aug 2025
£64,900
Notable horses
Patrickswell (IRE) Grey Danube (IRE) Have A Nice Day (GB) Twilight Jet (IRE) Aspen Belle (IRE) Fastnet Crown (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,248 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Cotai Glory (GB) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,964 runs since 2021 (390 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.5% from 1,427. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.
Camacho (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Australia (GB) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,676 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Elzaam (AUS) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,530 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 327.
Showcasing (GB) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,654 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,453 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,453 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 July 2008 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Activity (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 125/1
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jackandthefox (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Elmakaya (IRE)T: D K Weld Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 7/2
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)T: J A Nash Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 13th 500/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Perry Mason (GB)T: Maurice Andrew Ahern Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 20th 13/2
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Breaking Dawn (GB)T: M D O'Callaghan Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 5th 40/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Byzantine Gold (IRE)T: A. Slattery Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 19th 200/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 150/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Arizona Storm (IRE)T: J A Nash Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 250/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Mogwli (IRE)T: W. McCreery See You At The GR1 Double Header 21 & 22 November Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)7f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 12/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Tide Of Fortune (IRE)T: Richard Brabazon Premiere Weekend Two-Day Ticket Just €35 Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 9/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Angel Invincible (IRE)T: Daniel McLoughlin Win A Trip To Lapland At Punchestown On Sun 22 November Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 150/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Savannah Sun (IRE)T: Martin Hassett Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 300/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Rio Doce (IRE)T: John Andrew Kinsella Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 3rd 18/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Happy Henry (IRE)T: W. McCreery Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 7/2J
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Allirelandmaterial (IRE)T: W. McCreery Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 6th 40/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Gonirianbotharleat (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 7th 66/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Tequila Belle (IRE)T: A. Slattery Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 9/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Nibras Rainbow (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 11th 22/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Rejoinder (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Leigh Roche's strike rate?
Leigh Roche has won 88 of 1,545 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Leigh Roche do best at?
Killarney by strike rate: 6 wins from 38 rides (15.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Leigh Roche ride most for?
M D O'Callaghan, with 207 rides since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (6.8%).
Is Leigh Roche in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Leigh Roche's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 1,545 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).