What is Shane Foley's strike rate?

Shane Foley has won 314 of 3,093 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Foley do best at?

Leopardstown by strike rate: 39 wins from 286 rides (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Foley ride most for?

Mrs J. Harrington, with 1,764 rides since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 200 (11.3%).

Is Shane Foley in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Shane Foley's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 3,090 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Foley

3,093 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,164 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

314–3,093

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=3,093

956 (31%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=3,090 · 0.76 incl. margin

−850.56

£1 level stake

n=3,093 at SP · −27.5%

£10.6m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 620 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (286 rides). Rides mostly for Mrs J. Harrington — 57% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,093 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.7% 25% when favourite Mrs J. Harrington: 11.3% from 1,764 LTO winners: 13.6% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leopardstown (13.6%, n=286), clear of the rider's 10.2% baseline. It is weakest at Listowel (4.3% over 70 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=286, Fair A/E 0.98). Mrs J. Harrington supplies 57% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.3%, A/E 0.94). 107 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (IRE) (Sep 2026, £725,001). The standout partner of the record: Banna Boirche (IRE) — 7 wins from 29 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.9%−2.3

n=1,031 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −327.29

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.6%+3.4

n=286 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −43.64

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.7%+0.5

n=561 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −59.62

When favourite

25%

n=300 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −96.64

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.7%−2.5

n=1,184 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −354.55

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.5%+0.3

n=391 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +14.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With K J Condon 18.8% vs 10.2% · n=32

With John C McConnell 2.9% vs 10.2% · n=35

At Listowel 4.3% vs 10.2% · n=70

With debutants 6.1% vs 10.2% · n=329

With Daniel James Murphy 15.6% vs 10.2% · n=64

At Leopardstown 13.6% vs 10.2% · n=286

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,094 110 10.1% −240.14

Soft 831 84 10.1% −295.64

Standard (AW) 464 47 10.1% −151.85

Good to Soft 288 28 9.7% −92.93

Heavy 267 27 10.1% −41.52

Good to Firm 149 18 12.1% −28.48

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 474 34 7.2% −175.75

Dundalk (AW) 445 42 9.4% −150.51

Leopardstown 286 39 13.6% +59.67

Gowran Park 256 27 10.5% −23.00

Naas 251 27 10.8% −65.74

Cork 178 13 7.3% −61.34

Navan 165 16 9.7% −73.67

Galway 117 14 12% −21.22

Killarney 115 15 13% −35.77

Roscommon 110 12 10.9% −39.84

Bellewstown 89 11 12.4% −12.27

Fairyhouse 81 5 6.2% −56.00

Listowel 70 3 4.3% −61.68

Down Royal 66 4 6.1% −46.75

Tipperary 60 7 11.7% −5.57

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 391 41 10.5% +14.09

Class 2 42 4 9.5% −20.83

Class 3 19 4 21.1% −10.84

Class 4 17 6 35.3% +8.78

Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 364 90 24.7% 0.90 −101.14

2nd–3rd fav 780 116 14.9% 0.93 −176.62

4th–6th fav 1,042 73 7% 0.89 −290.80

7th+ in betting 907 35 3.9% 1.13 −282.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Polar Bear (IRE) 20 2 7 30 Mar 26

Dark Viper (GB) 19 2 12 18 Oct 26

Thrifty Of Digby (IRE) 19 5 9 12 Sep 26

Hurricane Ivor (IRE) 17 2 6 27 Sep 25

Norwalk Havoc (GB) 16 3 7 28 Jul 26

Iron Fist (IRE) 14 2 7 18 Oct 26

Hotazhell (GB) 13 5 7 12 Sep 26

Mo Ghille Mar (IRE) 13 2 5 13 Sep 25

Vega's Muse (GB) 12 1 4 3 Sep 26

Taipan (FR) 12 2 6 31 Jul 26

Trevaunance (IRE) 12 1 5 17 Aug 24

Green Impact (IRE) 11 3 5 12 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,164 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

01110910111210109137

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMrs J. Harrington

57% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Mrs J. Harrington 1,764 200 11.3% −475.29

James McAuley 129 10 7.8% −65.50

G. O'Leary 115 8 7% −61.17

Ross O'Sullivan 104 11 10.6% −32.80

Daniel James Murphy 64 10 15.6% +19.66

John Joseph Murphy 52 6 11.5% +28.50

Mark Fahey 38 2 5.3% −23.25

Ciaran Murphy 38 2 5.3% −20.00

John C McConnell 35 1 2.9% −27.50

K J Condon 32 6 18.8% +1.10

K R Burke 30 3 10% −19.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

1,165

Archived wins

107

Pattern / graded wins

£28.1m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 94 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hotazhell (GB) — Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown (IRE) · Sep 2026 · Group 1

£725,001

Galeron (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2022

£611,000

Magical Lagoon (IRE) — Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) Curragh · Jul 2022 · Group 1

£285,000

Notable horses

Banna Boirche (IRE) Strait Of Zanzibar (USA) Russian Soul (IRE) Bold Thady Quill (IRE) Castle Guest (IRE) Success Days (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 6.3% · 6–96

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,214 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Dark Angel (IRE) 9.9% · 7–71

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Lucky Vega (IRE) 10.6% · 7–66

Progeny have won 16.3% of 528 runs since 2025 (103 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 21.6% from 102.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 4.5% · 3–66

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,214 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,197.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 8.1% · 5–62

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,983 runs since 2020 (391 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 260.

Frankel (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 18% of 7,536 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,286 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,286 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 March 2007 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Real Encounter (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 5/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Always Changing (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Arctic Force (IRE)T: K. R. Burke racingtv.com/Freetrial British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 1/1F

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Drummond Hill (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 11/2

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Might Just Be (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 7/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Possum (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 5/2

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Nautic Star (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 6/4F

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Bad Boy Rizz (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 5/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Aedhmar (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 11/10F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Pallatine Hills (IRE)T: Eddie & Patrick Harty Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 14th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Cracking Cloud (GB)T: Ross O'Sullivan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 13th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Chattering Classes (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 16/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Sounds Great (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 2nd 9/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Motta Alta (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap6f · Yielding · 17 ran 12th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) One Flash (IRE)T: Adrian Sexton 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Emberelle (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Handsoffshesmine (IRE)T: A. Slattery Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Colfer Hill (IRE)T: K J Condon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 125/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bear Right (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 7th 13/2

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Dark Viper (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 12th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Shane Foley's strike rate?: Shane Foley has won 314 of 3,093 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Foley do best at?: Leopardstown by strike rate: 39 wins from 286 rides (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Foley ride most for?: Mrs J. Harrington, with 1,764 rides since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 200 (11.3%).
Is Shane Foley in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane Foley's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 3,090 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.