Lucks Certain (IRE)
Lucks Certain (IRE) is yet to win from 11 starts. Last raced off a career-high mark of 102.
- 0–11Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 102Highest OR
- 18dBetween runs (median)longest 487 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 5.3% of 283 runs since May 2008 (25 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 7 | 0 | 0% | −5.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 56 | 1 | 1.8% | −3.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 46 | 1 | 2.2% | −3.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 35 | 1 | 2.9% | −2.4 | — |
| Soft | 33 | 0 | 0% | −5.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | +0.6 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 89 | 11 | 12.4% | +7.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 25 | 1 | 4% | −1.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 73 | 7 | 9.6% | +4.3 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 60 | 4 | 6.7% | +1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 41 | 1 | 2.4% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 46 | 1 | 2.2% | −3.1 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 27 | 1 | 3.7% | −1.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 0 | 0% | −5.3 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −5.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Mister Fizzbomb (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m4f–1m4½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Mister Fizzbomb (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mister Fizzbomb (IRE) | 58 | 4 | 1m4f–1m4½f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Maxwell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| J R Barry | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Keagan Latham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Curtis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Gray | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael Hussey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Willie Supple | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| None | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 10 Mar 12+17d | Gowran Park | Goresbridge Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 8/20 | 7 | 11-2 | 102 | 96C | Conor Maxwell | 25/1 |
| 22 Feb 12+18d | Punchestown | Festival Party Pack From 19 Maiden Hurdle | 6/14 | 2 | 11-0 | — | 110A | Conor Maxwell | 33/1 |
| 04 Feb 12+186d | Fairyhouse | Racegoer's Package 25 Hurdle | 6/11 | 9½ | 11-1 | — | 101A | Conor Maxwell | 100/1 |
| 2011 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 02 Aug 11+53d | Roscommon | Dysart Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 14/17 | 7 | 11-7 | — | 72C | J R Barry | 40/1 |
| 10 Jun 11+13d | Wexford | Wellingtonbridge Novice Hurdle | 6/6 | 23 | 10-12 | — | 72C | J R Barry | 100/1 |
| 28 May 11+16d | Navan | Racing Again June 10th Handicap (50-80) | 10/13 | 1¼ | 8-1 | 52 | 47A | Ben Curtis | 22/1 |
| 12 May 11+32d | Gowran Park | Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60) | 15/17 | 3 | 9-2 | 55 | 40C | Shane Gray | 12/1 |
| 10 Apr 11+21d | Leopardstown | Follow Leopardstown On Facebook Handicap (50-85) | 10/17 | ½ | 8-4 | 58 | 58A | Michael Hussey | 25/1 |
| 20 Mar 11+487d | Curragh | Big Bad Bob Maiden | 13/27 | 1¾ | 10-4 | — | 74A | Keagan Latham | 100/1 |
| 2009 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 18 Nov 09+13d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden | 8/14 | 12 | 9-3 | — | 52C | Willie Supple | 33/1 |
| 05 Nov 09 | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden | 10/16 | 1 | 9-0 | — | 52C | Keagan Latham | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucks Certain won?
- Lucks Certain (IRE) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts between 2009 and 2012.
- Who trained Lucks Certain?
- Lucks Certain (IRE) was trained by E D Delany on the most recent run on record, at Gowran Park on 10 March 2012.
- Who is Lucks Certain's sire?
- Lucks Certain (IRE) is by Lucky Owners (NZ) out of Crocus (IRE), whose sire is Mister Baileys.
- What is Lucks Certain's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 10 March 2012. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Lucks Certain's sire's record?
- Lucky Owners (NZ)'s progeny in our archive have won 5.3% of 283 runs since May 2008 (25 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Lucks Certain's siblings?
- Out of Crocus (IRE), Lucks Certain (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Mister Fizzbomb (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Mister Fizzbomb (IRE)). The wins came over 1m4f–1m4½f. As at Nov 2026.