What is Willie Supple's strike rate?

Willie Supple has won 74 of 1,261 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Willie Supple do best at?

Cork by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 rides (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Willie Supple ride most for?

P D Deegan, with 378 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (9.8%).

What is Willie Supple's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 1,261 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Willie Supple

1,261 rides in the lifetime window · 664 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2015 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

74–1,261

Wins / Runs

5.9%

Strike rate

n=1,261

254 (20%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=1,261 · 0.71 incl. margin

−488.86

£1 level stake

n=1,261 at SP · −38.8%

£1.47m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (90 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,261 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Sep 21.1% when favourite P D Deegan: 9.8% from 378 LTO winners: 12.2% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Cork (12.8%, n=47), clear of the rider's 5.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.2% (n=90, Fair A/E 1.18), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.8% (n=107, Fair A/E 0.39). P D Deegan supplied 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.8% vs 5.9%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (10.1%, n=139). The record read poorly on Firm going — 0% over 38 rides, 5.9pts below the baseline. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Moyglare Stud Stakes at Curragh (IRE) (Aug 2006, £168,600). Seasonally, the rider fired Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.5%−1.4

n=603 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −237.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.2%+6.3

n=90 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −13.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.5%−1.4

n=221 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −74.00

When favourite

21.1%

n=38 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −12.19

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−1.2

n=683 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −334.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.8%−3.1

n=107 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −66.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 12.2% vs 5.9% · n=90

At Cork 12.8% vs 5.9% · n=47

With P D Deegan 9.8% vs 5.9% · n=378

On Firm going 0% vs 5.9% · n=38

With headgear back on 0% vs 5.9% · n=37

Off a 31-60-day break 10.1% vs 5.9% · n=139

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 274 18 6.6% −72.37

Soft 271 14 5.2% −113.00

Good 267 12 4.5% −148.67

Standard (AW) 229 20 8.7% −36.70

Good to Soft 99 5 5.1% −28.62

Heavy 83 5 6% −51.50

Firm 38 0 0% −38.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 222 20 9% −29.70

Curragh 192 9 4.7% −69.00

Leopardstown 124 5 4% −58.00

Navan 81 1 1.2% −64.00

Naas 71 6 8.5% −39.37

Gowran Park 59 5 8.5% +5.00

Tipperary 52 2 3.8% −38.50

Fairyhouse 51 1 2% −48.62

Galway 48 4 8.3% −20.17

Cork 47 6 12.8% +25.00

Roscommon 35 2 5.7% −22.50

Ballinrobe 31 1 3.2% −26.50

Killarney 29 1 3.4% −18.00

Limerick 27 0 0% −27.00

Down Royal 26 2 7.7% +10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 107 3 2.8% −66.00

Class 5 20 3 15% +12.00

Class 4 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 2 10 1 10% −4.50

Class 3 7 1 14.3% +2.00

Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 55 13 23.6% 1.04 −3.69

2nd–3rd fav 149 21 14.1% 1.08 −23.67

4th–6th fav 341 20 5.9% 0.81 −162.50

7th+ in betting 716 20 2.8% 0.83 −299.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fit The Cove (IRE) 13 1 4 26 Jul 11

Celtic Soprano (IRE) 12 4 6 9 Oct 11

Le Citadel (USA) 12 3 4 1 Jun 09

Expire (IRE) 11 1 7 10 Jul 11

Enjoy Your Life (IRE) 9 1 3 8 Aug 10

Reverence (GB) 9 2 4 10 Jul 10

Bobbyscot (IRE) 9 1 6 23 May 10

My St Clair (IRE) 9 0 2 25 Oct 09

Darasal Wane (IRE) 8 1 4 16 Oct 11

Naseem Sea (IRE) 8 1 3 7 Oct 11

Daisy Buchanan (IRE) 8 1 2 25 Oct 10

Moonreach (IRE) 8 1 4 12 May 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 664 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

··96656713300

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP D Deegan

30% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 1.19

TrainerRWSR£1

P D Deegan 378 37 9.8% −9.44

Mrs John Harrington 55 3 5.5% −30.50

H Rogers 47 3 6.4% −4.00

W McCreery 43 2 4.7% −13.25

Francis Ennis 41 4 9.8% −2.00

Eric Alston 37 4 10.8% −9.50

David P Myerscough 33 2 6.1% −24.50

Mark Loughnane 32 1 3.1% −11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

191

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.64m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 61 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Miss Beatrix (IRE) — Moyglare Stud Stakes (Fillies) Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2006 · Group 1

£168,600

Thakafaat (IRE) — Ribblesdale Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) York · Jun 2005 · Group 2

£81,252

Bandari (IRE) — Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) York · Jun 2005 · Group 2

£81,200

Notable horses

Celtic Soprano (IRE) Le Citadel (USA) Ferneley (IRE) Poppyfield (GER) San Antonio (GB) Roicead (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Rio (GB) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Fashiyev (USA) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.

Kheleyf (USA) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Zafeen (FR) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,586 runs since 2009 (142 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.2% from 360.

Alhaarth (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Celtic Swing (GB) 26.3% · 5–19

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,951 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,951 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 9 September 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Sep 15 Doncaster Longside (GB)T: James Eustace Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 9th 33/1

10 Sep 14 Doncaster Mixed Message (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 6th 11/1

11 Sep 13 Doncaster Dana's Present (GB)T: George Baker Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 12/1

23 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) J'amour Dance (GB)T: Anthony Mulholland www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1

23 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Curious Ciara (IRE)T: Anthony Mulholland www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 33/1

23 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Sli Na Fiarana (GB)T: Mrs Denise Foster Happy Christmas To All Our Patrons Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

16 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Forever Hope (GB)T: Thomas Cleary Group Bookings At Dundalk Rated Race10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

16 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Casela Park (IRE)T: Jaclyn Tyrrell www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 33/1

16 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Princess Severus (IRE)T: Mrs John Harrington Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Rated Race8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 14/1

09 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Mulleady (IRE)T: A J Martin Group Discounts At Dundalk Maiden12f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1

09 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Fammi Sognare (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Follow Dundalk On Facebook Handicap (60-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 40/1

09 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Amhrann Ellen (IRE)T: William J Fitzpatrick www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-75)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 22/1

09 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Mctaggart (IRE)T: William Coleman O'Brien Bookings At dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 14/1

09 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Crystal Wings (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1

02 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Trans City (IRE)T: J A Nash www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1

02 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Liberty's Gift (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Winter Racing At Dundalk Handicap (55-75)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 16/1

02 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Princess Severus (IRE)T: Mrs John Harrington Gary Wiltshire - 'Winning It Back' Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

02 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) A Little Help (GB)T: Steven E Ryder Christmas Parties At Dundalk Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 16/1

02 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Honourable Emperor (IRE)T: Noel Meade Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 33/1

25 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Abrahams Blessing (IRE)T: Mark L Fagan Winter Racing At Dundalk Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Willie Supple's strike rate?: Willie Supple has won 74 of 1,261 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Willie Supple do best at?: Cork by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 rides (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Willie Supple ride most for?: P D Deegan, with 378 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (9.8%).
What is Willie Supple's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 1,261 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.