Ben Curtis
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 240 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (126 rides).
The record is strongest at Hamilton (37.5%, n=56) and Beverley (25.3%, n=79) — all clear of the rider's 16.4% baseline. It is weakest at York (5% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.4% (n=126, Fair A/E 1.17), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=135, Fair A/E 1.13). George Boughey supplies 10% of the rides and beats the rider's average (24.2% vs 16.4%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (27.1%, n=70). 32 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2019, £112,050). The standout partner of the record: Kelly's Dino (FR) — 7 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 9,530 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 9,530 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2006 to 13 June 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ben Curtis's strike rate?
- Ben Curtis has won 196 of 1,197 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.4% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ben Curtis do best at?
- Hamilton by strike rate: 21 wins from 56 rides (37.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ben Curtis ride most for?
- George Boughey, with 120 rides since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (24.2%).
- What is Ben Curtis's Fair A/E?
- 1.12, from 1,190 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.