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Horse profile

Lucky Bay (IRE)

10yo gelding (at last run, Feb 2006) · Last trainer Mrs H M Kemp · Last owner A C Kemp
by Convinced (GB) out of Current Liability (IRE) (Caribo)
6 runs · 4 courses · from Jan 2005
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 23 Feb 2006 — 7,559 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Feb 2006 · 2nd of 7 New yard Last raced off OR 101
KTB Profile

Lucky Bay (IRE) is yet to win from 6 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 2nd of 7 at Huntingdon (Feb 2006). Last raced off 101, 28lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 6 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance OR ↓ 28lb off peak
Official rating101↓ 28lb off peak
101 101–129

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 101C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Sandown, 5 Feb 2005 Official rating 101 at the last run, 23 Feb 2006

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 138C · median 95.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Good to Soft2138C114—
Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
2m5f – 3m4138C95.5—

Of 6 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (1) · beaten lengths not stored (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 6 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Convinced (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 7.7% of 39 runs since Feb 2008 (4 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm100%−7.7—
Good400%−7.70 from 3
Good to Soft1000%−7.70 from 2
Soft14214.3%+6.60 from 1
Heavy9111.1%+3.4—
Standard (AW)100%−7.7—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
1m5f – 2m1500%−7.7—
2m1f – 2m4f18211.1%+3.4—
2m5f – 3m4125%+17.30 from 4
Over 3m200%−7.70 from 2

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Feb 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Current Liability (IRE) (Caribo)

7 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Treacle (IRE) (6 wins).

The wins came over 2m–3m2f; the highest grade won is Class 1 (Treacle (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Treacle (IRE)3062m–3m2fClass 1
Green Belt Flyer (IRE)2452m–2m7½fClass 3
Herbiegoesbananas (IRE)1312m4½f—
King of Atlantis (IRE)30——
Nobetter Buachaill (IRE)80——
Quivvy Castle (IRE)40——
River Finn (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Sandown 3 0 0% −3.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 4 0 0% −4.00
Over 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jason Maguire 2 0 0% −2.00
Mrs H Kemp 1 0 0% −1.00
Graham Lee 1 0 0% −1.00
P C O'Neill 1 0 0% −1.00
R P McNally 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2006 1 0 0% −1.00
2005 5 0 0% −5.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORKTB Jockey SP
2006 · 1 run
23 Feb 06+279d Huntingdon Braybrook We Support Sport Hunters' Chase Class 6 · 2m7½f · Soft · 7 ran 2/7 9 11-7 10171C Mrs H Kemp 7/2
2005 · 5 runs
20 May 05+27d Stratford Intrum Justitia Handicap Chase Class 3 · 3m3½f · Good · 11 ran F/11 — 11-12 120— Graham Lee 12/1
23 Apr 05+49d Sandown Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Class 1 · 3m5f · Good · 19 ran 17/19 9-0 129— P C O'Neill 50/1
05 Mar 05+28d Newbury Vodafone Handicap Chase Class 3 · 2m7½f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11/14 16 11-11 12690C R P McNally 12/1
05 Feb 05+28d Sandown Agfa Diamond Handicap Chase Class 2 · 3m · Good · 12 ran 4/12 15 10-11 129101C Jason Maguire 7/1
08 Jan 05 Sandown Ladbrokes.com Handicap Chase Class 3 · 3m · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3/12 ½ 11-12 128138C Jason Maguire 33/1

Quick answers

How many races has Lucky Bay won?
Lucky Bay (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2005 and 2006. Placed 2 times in total (33.3% of starts).
Who trained Lucky Bay?
Lucky Bay (IRE) was trained by Mrs H M Kemp on the most recent run on record, at Huntingdon on 23 February 2006.
Who is Lucky Bay's sire?
Lucky Bay (IRE) is by Convinced (GB) out of Current Liability (IRE), whose sire is Caribo.
What is Lucky Bay's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 101, from the run on 23 February 2006. The highest on record is 129.
What is Lucky Bay's sire's record?
Convinced (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.7% of 39 runs since Feb 2008 (4 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Lucky Bay's siblings?
Out of Current Liability (IRE), Lucky Bay (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Treacle (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 1 (Treacle (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–3m2f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from January 2005. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.