What is Jason Maguire's strike rate?

Jason Maguire has won 783 of 4,171 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jason Maguire do best at?

Sedgefield by strike rate: 46 wins from 167 rides (27.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jason Maguire ride most for?

Donald McCain, with 2,468 rides since 2008 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 512 (20.7%).

What is Jason Maguire's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 4,163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jason Maguire

4,171 rides in the lifetime window · 1,486 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2015 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

783–4,171

Wins / Runs

18.8%

Strike rate

n=4,171

1,660 (40%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=4,163 · 0.92 incl. margin

−549.44

£1 level stake

n=4,171 at SP · −13.2%

£6.57m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 520 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (722 rides). Rode mostly for Donald McCain — 59% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,171 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Dec 42.7% when favourite Donald McCain: 20.7% from 2,468 LTO winners: 27% Rode the favourite in 21% of races

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (5.8% over 139 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27% (n=722, Fair A/E 1.05), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.6% (n=151, Fair A/E 0.64). Donald McCain supplied 59% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (20.7%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in Class 1 — 8.5% over 317 rides, 10.3pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2011, £535,135). The standout partner of the record was Peddlers Cross (IRE) — 9 wins from 15 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

16.7%−2.1

n=1,389 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −242.65

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27%+8.2

n=722 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −97.14

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16.4%−2.4

n=914 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −55.17

When favourite

42.7%

n=865 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −41.94

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−18.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

10.4%−8.4

n=763 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −99.47

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.6%−12.2

n=151 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −107.35

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Cheltenham 5.8% vs 18.8% · n=139

In Group / Graded races 6.6% vs 18.8% · n=151

In Class 1 8.5% vs 18.8% · n=317

At Aintree 7.5% vs 18.8% · n=160

At Doncaster 6.5% vs 18.8% · n=93

On last-time-out winners 27% vs 18.8% · n=722

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,341 450 19.2% −164.34

Chase 1,404 250 17.8% −304.50

NH Flat 422 82 19.4% −93.60

Flat 4 1 25% +13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,299 225 17.3% −248.23

Soft 985 203 20.6% −99.28

Good to Soft 969 154 15.9% −87.43

Heavy 499 108 21.6% −40.61

Good to Firm 378 84 22.2% −75.29

Standard (AW) 38 7 18.4% +1.00

Firm 3 2 66.7% +0.40

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 308 58 18.8% −23.01

Bangor-on-Dee 290 76 26.2% +69.95

Perth 223 60 26.9% +24.82

Wetherby 181 39 21.5% −20.27

Sedgefield 167 46 27.5% −32.13

Aintree 160 12 7.5% −90.76

Haydock 160 38 23.8% −0.27

Carlisle 160 29 18.1% −74.47

Musselburgh 155 38 24.5% −5.71

Towcester 141 29 20.6% −15.19

Cheltenham 139 8 5.8% −39.25

Kelso 136 33 24.3% +6.58

Catterick 135 32 23.7% −3.98

Ayr 127 33 26% −13.27

Newcastle 122 23 18.9% −3.39

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,957 426 21.8% −129.14

Class 3 757 130 17.2% −14.64

Class 5 597 105 17.6% −123.74

Class 1 317 27 8.5% −152.78

Class 6 271 60 22.1% −42.96

Class 2 252 31 12.3% −89.41

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 973 398 40.9% 1.10 −39.00

2nd–3rd fav 1,450 268 18.5% 1.00 −195.44

4th–6th fav 1,101 85 7.7% 0.92 −231.00

7th+ in betting 647 32 4.9% 1.34 −84.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.3% completed · 3,745 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,404 73.7% 62 28 275 3 1

Hurdle 2,341 87.5% 52 12 221 5 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Desert Cry (IRE) 20 5 8 17 Jan 15

Any Given Day (IRE) 19 5 10 17 Feb 14

Khachaturian (IRE) 19 4 9 6 May 11

Overturn (IRE) 18 7 13 6 Apr 13

Lively Baron (IRE) 17 5 8 5 Jan 15

Railway Dillon (IRE) 17 5 11 11 Feb 14

Rawaaj (GB) 17 2 7 30 Jul 12

Dunowen Point (IRE) 16 5 10 26 Nov 14

Always Bold (IRE) 16 2 10 20 Nov 14

Tornado Bob (IRE) 16 3 7 24 Jan 14

BallaBriggs (IRE) 16 4 9 6 Apr 13

Bhaltair (IRE) 16 4 7 16 Nov 12

The 60 most-raced of 1,486 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

171819172019182018162121

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDonald McCain

59% of all rides
20.7% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Donald McCain 2,468 512 20.7% −355.18

Kim Bailey 449 80 17.8% −25.77

Gordon Elliott 235 65 27.7% −9.65

Jim Old 135 16 11.9% −7.00

Ian Williams 45 6 13.3% −15.45

Micky Hammond 31 7 22.6% +37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

893

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.67m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 168 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

BallaBriggs (IRE) — John Smith's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2011 · Class 1

£535,135

Overturn (IRE) — StanJames.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Newcastle · Nov 2011 · Class 1

£58,521

Harry Topper (GB) — bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Wetherby · Nov 2013 · Grade 2

£57,218

Notable horses

Peddlers Cross (IRE) Overturn (IRE) Cloudy Lane (GB) Wymott (IRE) Rosie All Over (GB) Desert Cry (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Levmoss (GB) 17.3% · 30–173

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 22.1% · 30–136

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Beneficial (GB) 15.7% · 19–121

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 27.4% · 31–113

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Overbury (IRE) 18.8% · 15–80

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Bob Back (USA) 15.6% · 12–77

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,314 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,314 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 24 February 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Feb 15 Catterick Beatu (IRE)T: Donald McCain yorkshire-outdoors.co.uk Adventure Activities Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 9 ran F 4/1

20 Feb 15 Exeter Knocklayde Express (IRE)T: Kim Bailey Andrews Family & Friends Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 4/1

20 Feb 15 Exeter Molly's A Diva (GB)T: Kim Bailey West Wing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/2

19 Feb 15 Musselburgh Silver Gent (IRE)T: Donald McCain William Hill - The Home Of Betting Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran F 7/2

19 Feb 15 Musselburgh Wilcos Mo Chara (IRE)T: Donald McCain Forth One Boogie In The Morning Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 15.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 7/2

19 Feb 15 Musselburgh Askamore Darsi (IRE)T: Donald McCain William Hill - On Your Mobile Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

19 Feb 15 Musselburgh Court Of Law (IRE)T: Donald McCain William Hill - Download The App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 9/2

19 Feb 15 Musselburgh Astrum (GB)T: Donald McCain William Hill - Bet On The Move Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 2/1

18 Feb 15 Ludlow Born To Succeed (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Onny Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 28/1

18 Feb 15 Ludlow Baths Well (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 7/1

18 Feb 15 Ludlow Royal Redemption (IRE)T: Charlie Mann Shukers Land Rover Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 9/2

18 Feb 15 Ludlow Winter Walk (IRE)T: Rebecca Curtis Deborah Grogan Fabulous At 50 Birthday Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 5/1

17 Feb 15 Wetherby Timeforfirth (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Join The Racing UK Club Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/4F

17 Feb 15 Wetherby Azure Aware (IRE)T: Kim Bailey Watch Racing UK Anywhere Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 16/1

17 Feb 15 Wetherby Blackwater King (IRE)T: Donald McCain Kingsway Claims Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 15f · Good · 6 ran 6th 7/2C

16 Feb 15 Carlisle Sir Mangan (IRE)T: Donald McCain 2015 Annual Membership Still Available Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 5/1

16 Feb 15 Carlisle Jonny Eager (IRE)T: Donald McCain Happy Belated Birthday Mick Marshall Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 12 ran PU 7/1

16 Feb 15 Carlisle Three Faces West (IRE)T: Donald McCain Racing UK Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 15/8

14 Feb 15 Ascot Always Lion (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Neptune Investment Management Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/1

14 Feb 15 Ascot Diamond King (IRE)T: Donald McCain Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 19.5f · Soft · 7 ran PU 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jason Maguire's strike rate?: Jason Maguire has won 783 of 4,171 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jason Maguire do best at?: Sedgefield by strike rate: 46 wins from 167 rides (27.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jason Maguire ride most for?: Donald McCain, with 2,468 rides since 2008 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 512 (20.7%).
What is Jason Maguire's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 4,163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.