What is Graham Lee's strike rate?

Graham Lee has won 102 of 1,166 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Graham Lee do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Graham Lee ride most for?

Paul Midgley, with 308 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (10.7%).

What is Graham Lee's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 1,157 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Graham Lee

1,166 rides in the last 5 seasons · 491 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

102–1,166

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=1,166

292 (25%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=1,157 · 0.84 incl. margin

−250.25

£1 level stake

n=1,166 at SP · −21.5%

£1.16m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 230 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (92 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,166 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–May Fresh horses: 10.2% 30.6% when favourite Paul Midgley: 10.7% from 308 LTO winners: 13% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (15.7%, n=51) and Ripon (15.6%, n=45) — all clear of the rider's 8.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.77), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=141, Fair A/E 1.06). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +38.76 to a £1 stake over 196 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Paul Midgley supplies 26% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.7% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 3.2% over 63 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. 53 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Gold Cup at Ascot (Jun 2015, £229,854). The standout partner of the record: Jack Dexter (GB) — 6 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.1%−2.6

n=394 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −168.96

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13%+4.3

n=92 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −42.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.2%+1.5

n=196 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +38.76

When favourite

30.6%

n=85 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −1.16

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−3.0

n=141 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −19.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.7

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Ben Haslam 17% vs 8.7% · n=47

With Julie Camacho 14.6% vs 8.7% · n=157

At Carlisle 15.7% vs 8.7% · n=51

At Ripon 15.6% vs 8.7% · n=45

With new recruits 2.1% vs 8.7% · n=47

In Class 2 3.2% vs 8.7% · n=63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 350 23 6.6% −202.67

Good 317 26 8.2% −122.16

Good to Firm 207 17 8.2% −74.06

Good to Soft 143 17 11.9% −0.79

Soft 109 14 12.8% +155.68

Heavy 40 5 12.5% −6.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 226 16 7.1% −137.92

Southwell (AW) 111 6 5.4% −54.75

Beverley 102 9 8.8% −34.05

Thirsk 102 10 9.8% +73.25

Redcar 82 7 8.5% −45.12

Catterick 72 7 9.7% −27.25

Pontefract 66 5 7.6% −1.90

Musselburgh 57 6 10.5% −32.12

Carlisle 51 8 15.7% −2.09

Ripon 45 7 15.6% +34.33

Haydock 41 5 12.2% −13.34

Doncaster 40 2 5% −20.50

Ayr 38 4 10.5% −11.75

Hamilton 36 4 11.1% −1.92

York 29 1 3.4% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 406 44 10.8% −21.40

Class 6 388 26 6.7% −74.59

Class 4 230 24 10.4% −87.01

Class 3 69 6 8.7% −10.25

Class 2 63 2 3.2% −47.00

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 98 27 27.6% 1.04 −10.91

2nd–3rd fav 212 36 17% 1.05 −30.84

4th–6th fav 370 26 7% 0.89 −98.50

7th+ in betting 486 13 2.7% 0.87 −110.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prospect (GB) 20 2 6 20 Sep 23

Dr Rio (FR) 13 2 6 3 Nov 23

Flint Hill (GB) 13 1 1 23 Sep 23

Elzaal (IRE) 12 4 7 3 Nov 23

Latin Five (IRE) 12 3 8 11 Sep 23

Glory Fighter (GB) 12 1 3 30 Aug 23

Run This Way (GB) 11 1 2 9 Oct 23

Ventura Express (GB) 11 1 2 7 Oct 23

Elegant Erin (IRE) 11 4 5 4 Oct 23

Lord Torranaga (FR) 11 0 5 28 Sep 23

J R Cavagin (IRE) 11 2 3 27 Sep 23

Crown Princess (IRE) 11 2 5 26 Aug 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 491 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

51511121089513809

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPaul Midgley

26% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.03

TrainerRWSR£1

Paul Midgley 308 33 10.7% −47.09

Julie Camacho 157 23 14.6% +12.74

Bryan Smart 102 9 8.8% +39.58

Ollie Pears 79 5 6.3% −31.50

Ben Haslam 47 8 17% +13.98

Philip Kirby 44 3 6.8% −32.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,524

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£17.2m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 160 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Trip To Paris (IRE) — Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Group 1

£229,854

Alpha Delphini (GB) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2018 · Group 1

£198,485

Overturn (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (grade A) Galway · Jul 2010 · Grade A

£150,500

Notable horses

Jack Dexter (GB) Kalahari King (FR) Negus de Beaumont (FR) Show Palace (GB) Castle Hill Cassie (IRE) Northernpowerhouse (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 13% · 7–54

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mondialiste (IRE) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 6.4% of 916 runs since 2021 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.3% from 133. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.2% from 285.

Mayson (GB) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,391 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Bated Breath (GB) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,173 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 855.

Zoffany (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,779 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 13,470 · newest first

The latest 50 of 13,470 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 10 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Ben Macdui (IRE)T: Paul Midgley BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran UR 18/1

10 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Silky Robin (IRE)T: Paul Midgley Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/2

07 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Highland Queen (IRE)T: Bryan Smart Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 14/1

07 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Royal Prospect (IRE)T: Susan Corbett Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 9/1

07 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Vadamiah (IRE)T: Paul Midgley BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

07 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Castan (GB)T: Bryan Smart BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

07 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Wichahpi (GB)T: Bryan Smart Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

03 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Dr Rio (FR)T: Paul Midgley Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 18/1

03 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Elzaal (IRE)T: Paul Midgley BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/2J

03 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Arlington (GB)T: Bryan Smart Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 4/1

03 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Secret Guest (GB)T: Bryan Smart BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 7/1

02 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Sherdil (IRE)T: Paul Midgley BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 25/1

02 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Alfa Moonstone (GB)T: Craig Lidster Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

02 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Code Purple (GB)T: Ben Haslam Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 6/1

31 Oct 23 Newcastle (AW) Flavius Titus (GB)T: Danny Brooke Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 14/1

31 Oct 23 Newcastle (AW) Novello Lad (GB)T: Paul Midgley BetMGM: It's Showtime NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 8/1

31 Oct 23 Newcastle (AW) Lunacy (GB)T: Iain Jardine BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 40/1

30 Oct 23 Newcastle (AW) Van Gerwen (GB)T: Paul Midgley BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 25/1

30 Oct 23 Newcastle (AW) Beale Street (GB)T: Bryan Smart BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 18/1

28 Oct 23 Doncaster Beylerbeyi (GB)T: Patrick Morris Scott Dobson Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Graham Lee's strike rate?: Graham Lee has won 102 of 1,166 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Graham Lee do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Graham Lee ride most for?: Paul Midgley, with 308 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (10.7%).
What is Graham Lee's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 1,157 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.