Lucy's Promise (IRE)
Lucy's Promise is a filly by Cotai Glory out of a Gleneagles mare who has failed to win in seven starts on turf, with one placing. All six runs at 6f-7f have been winless, as has her sole attempt at 1m-1m1f. Her best effort came when third of eight at Navan in Aug 2026. She finished seventh of 13 in an Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden at Navan in Sep 2026, last raced off OR 62 which was 9lb below her highest ever mark.
- 0–7Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (14.3%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=7 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 71Highest OR
- 9dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 64
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 67C | 57 | 5 runs · 67 / 57 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 87C | 60.5 | 6 runs · 87 / 60.5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Jun 2026
- Mid-division 3 (43%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (43%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 3,965 runs since Mar 2021 (390 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.5% from 1,427. Weakest on soft going: 7% from 429.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | +27.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 621 | 78 | 12.6% | +1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,051 | 92 | 8.8% | −2.6 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 320 | 29 | 9.1% | −2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 429 | 30 | 7% | −4.4 | — |
| Heavy | 104 | 11 | 10.6% | −0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,427 | 207 | 14.5% | +3.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 814 | 111 | 13.6% | +2.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,044 | 225 | 11% | −0.4 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 727 | 77 | 10.6% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 305 | 35 | 11.5% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 50 | 1 | 2% | −9.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 25 | 3 | 12% | +0.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navan (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Caffrey | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Siobhan Rutledge | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rory Cleary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Sep 26+9d | Navan (IRE) | Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden settled in the pack early - improved to disputed second by halfway near the far rail and pushed along approaching final 2f - held on without finding more late to finish seventh | 7/13 | ¾ | 8-8 | 62 | 57C | 50A | Declan McDonogh | 11/1 |
| 27 Aug 26+7d | Navan (IRE) | Navan Racecourse Nursery Handicap slow to begin - held up towards back - pushed along and improved into 5th with 2f left - moved into third but couldn't reach front pair inside final furlong - stayed on same speed to finish third | 3/8 | 3¼ | 8-13 | 66 | 64A | 56A | Adam Caffrey | 16/1 |
| 20 Aug 26+32d | Leopardstown (IRE) | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Settled in the pack - pressed for effort with 2f left but couldn't threaten leaders - held no more ground in the closing furlong | 11/14 | hd | 8-8 | 66 | 87C | 46A | Siobhan Rutledge | 16/1 |
| 19 Jul 26+8d | Curragh (IRE) | James Nolan Bar Kildare Nursery Handicap started towards the back - made ground to race 5th at halfway - slipped back to the tail of the field and was driven along 2f out before fading in the final furlong | 8/8 | 2¾ | 8-11 | 71 | 50A | 38A | Shane Foley | 11/2 |
| 11 Jul 26+9d | Navan | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Racing in the pack - asked for effort 2f out without threatening - ran on in the final furlong | 6/17 | ½ | 8-8 | — | 67C | 65A | Siobhan Rutledge | 150/1 |
| 02 Jul 26+20d | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Settled at back early - pushed along by halfway then lost touch 3f out - never a threat late finished 7th | 7/9 | 9 | 9-3 | — | 53A | 36A | Adam Caffrey | 80/1 |
| 12 Jun 26 | Fairyhouse | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Handy in the early stages - hit the front at halfway before being outpaced and losing the advantage 2f out - dropped away to finish 12th | 12/17 | shd | 8-8 | — | 38C | 40A | Rory Cleary | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucy's Promise won?
- Lucy's Promise (IRE) has yet to win, from 7 archived starts in 2026. Placed 1 time in total (14.3% of starts).
- Who trains Lucy's Promise?
- Lucy's Promise (IRE) is trained by Adrian McGuinness, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 September 2026.
- Who is Lucy's Promise's sire?
- Lucy's Promise (IRE) is by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Casino Queen (IRE), whose sire is Gleneagles.
- What is Lucy's Promise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 62, from the run on 5 September 2026. The highest on record is 71.
- What is Lucy's Promise's sire's record?
- Cotai Glory (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 3,965 runs since Mar 2021 (390 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.5% from 1,427. Weakest on soft going: 7% from 429.