Mistral Blue (GB)
Mistral Blue is a mare with three wins from 20 starts on turf, all on good going. She won the Class 5 mares handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter over 2m5f – 3m in Jun 2026 off an official rating of 97, the Class 5 mares handicap hurdle at Hereford over 2m1f – 2m4f in Apr 2025 off 93, and the Class 3 mares novices hurdle at Doncaster over 2m1f – 2m4f in Dec 2023. She usually races prominently and finished third of eight at Market Rasen in Oct 2026. Aged 8 at her last run in Oct 2026, she last raced off an official rating of 97, 10lb below her highest ever mark.
- 3–20Wins / Runs
- 15%Strike rate
- 7 (35%)Placed
- −1.57£1 level staken=20 at SP
- 1.82Fair A/E n=19 · 1.46 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 67dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 122A | 96 | 8 runs · 122 / 94 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 113B | 94 | 6 runs · 113 / 94 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 122A | 88 | 2 runs · 122 / 104.5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 109B | 106 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 20 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 20 runs · as at 16 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Dec 2024
- Prominent 5 (38%) · 2 wins
- Mid-division 5 (38%) · 0 wins
- Held up 2 (15%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (8%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.2% of 3,497 runs since Jan 2008 (454 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | +3.4 | — |
| Good | 905 | 102 | 11.3% | −0.9 | 3 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 731 | 83 | 11.4% | −0.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,189 | 152 | 12.8% | +0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 572 | 75 | 13.1% | +0.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | −2.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 37 | 2 | 5.4% | −6.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 67 | 5 | 7.5% | −4.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,245 | 165 | 13.3% | +1.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,481 | 171 | 11.5% | −0.7 | 2 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 567 | 71 | 12.5% | +0.3 | 1 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 90 | 10 | 11.1% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Mistral Nell (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m3½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Mistral Nell (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mistral Nell (GB) | 17 | 2 | 2m–2m3½f | Class 5 |
| Mistral Tommy (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 3 | 20% | +3.43 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 11 | 2 | 18% | +2.83 |
| Class 4 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.60 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huntingdon | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Hereford | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.33 |
| Market Rasen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.50 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.60 |
| Fakenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.93 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fern O'Brien | 12 | 2 | 17% | +1.83 |
| Connor Brace | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.40 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 19 | 3 | 16% | −0.57 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +2.50 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.60 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 17 | 3 | 18% | +1.43 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Oct 26+33d | Market Rasen | Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race handy early - closed up 7th - urged before 2 out - stayed on without threatening to finish 3rd | 3/8 | 6 | 11-2 | 97 | 113B | 108A | Fern O'Brien | 9/1 |
| 05 Sep 26+17d | Stratford | Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race Sat up with the front group - pressed for effort after two out - lost ground nearing the last and finished 7th | 7/9 | 1 | 11-9 | 99 | 92A | 102A | Fern O'Brien | 8/1 |
| 19 Aug 26+26d | Worcester | Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race Held up towards the back - given a squeeze before three out - made no impression - eventually well held in 11th | 11/15 | ¾ | 11-6 | 101 | 90B | 92A | Fern O'Brien | 25/1 |
| 24 Jul 26+41d | Uttoxeter | Eaton Hall Shooting Ground Handicap Hurdle Race raced in the pack - jumped awkwardly at the 5th - driven for effort before 3 out - dropped away and unable to match the front-runners before the last | 6/16 | 8 | 11-1 | 102 | 96B | 98A | Fern O'Brien | 10/1 |
| 13 Jun 26+16d | Uttoxeter | Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap Hurdle Handy early - hampered second - pushed into contention two out and locked into a battle for command - stayed on strong to clear away on the run-in | 1/7 | 11-8 | 97 | 88A | 112A | Fern O'Brien | 17/2 | |
| 28 May 26+24d | Market Rasen | Family Extravaganza Raceday On Sunday 5th July Mares' Handicap Hurdle Sat in touch for much of the way - hit the front three out before being overtaken at the final obstacle - stayed on at one gear to finish third | 3/8 | 3¾ | 11-9 | 97 | 87B | 113A | Fern O'Brien | 10/1 |
| 04 May 26+148d | Warwick | Racing To School Celebrating 25 Years Mares' Handicap Hurdle Settled towards the back - clipped a fence 6th and still in contention with driving into 3 out - clumsy again 2 out and dropped away to finish 5th | 5/12 | 6 | 11-7 | 98 | 112B | 101A | Fern O'Brien | 18/1 |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Dec 25+26d | Huntingdon | Sky Bet Acca Freeze Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Settled midpack early - error at the 3rd then slipped backwards with another blunder at the 7th - struggled badly three out losing touch with the field - well beaten and eased before the second last | PU/9 | — | 10-13 | 99 | — | — | Fern O'Brien | 16/1 |
| 11 Nov 25+215d | Huntingdon | pricedup.bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack early - improved into third and up behind the front pair 2 out - clipped the last then pushed on to move into second - couldn't quite get to the winner close home | 2/8 | 1 | 11-8 | 97 | 122A | 109A | Fern O'Brien | 14/1 |
| 10 Apr 25+15d | Hereford | Blackmore Build Mares' Handicap Hurdle Settled behind the front group - improved into second before 3 out - hit the front on the home turn - pushed out up the run-in - kept on for the win | 1/8 | 11-0 | 93 | 99A | 108A | Fern O'Brien | 10/3 | |
| 26 Mar 25+14d | Hereford | Hereford Bull Trail 2025 Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Handicap Hurdle Went straight to front - lost command in second - stayed handy through the race - asked for effort two out but found little approaching the last | 4/8 | 1½ | 11-4 | 95 | 88C | 103A | Fern O'Brien | 12/1 |
| 12 Mar 25+89d | Huntingdon | Seth And Sid Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Sat close to the front group early - dropped away after the 5th and slipped towards the back - blundered 4 out and fell further adrift - eased out of contention before the second-last | PU/7 | — | 11-9 | 100 | — | — | Connor Brace | 20/1 |
| 2024 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Dec 24+200d | Doncaster | Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Mares' Handicap Hurdle Settled midfield early - faded well before four out - eased and pulled up before the following fence | PU/10 | — | 11-9 | 105 | — | — | Connor Brace | 33/1 |
| 27 May 24+34d | Huntingdon | Charge Up Your Summer With Rhino.Bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 3/6 | 31 | 11-11 | 107 | 112C | 92C | Fern O'Brien | 11/1 |
| 23 Apr 24+85d | Southwell | Download The PlanetSportBet App Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 7/11 | nk | 11-7 | — | 66C | 97C | Connor Brace | 14/1 |
| 29 Jan 24+58d | Hereford | Bet 10 Get 10 At PlanetSportBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 6/8 | 12 | 11-5 | — | — | 103C | Connor Brace | 15/2 |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Dec 23+19d | Doncaster | At The Races App Market Movers Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 11-0 | — | — | 117B | Connor Brace | 18/5 | |
| 13 Nov 23+186d | Fakenham | Sky Bet Request A Bet Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 12 | 10-9 | — | 106C | 107A | Connor Brace | 11/4 |
| 11 May 23+31d | Huntingdon | Racing TV Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 11/16 | 5½ | 10-11 | — | 109B | 90A | Connor Brace | 14/1 |
| 10 Apr 23 | Fakenham | Racing TV Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 5/11 | 2 | 11-2 | — | 95A | 110A | Connor Brace | 13/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Mistral Blue won?
- Mistral Blue (GB) won 3 of 20 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 15%. Placed 7 times in total (35% of starts).
- Who trains Mistral Blue?
- Mistral Blue (GB) is trained by Fergal O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 8 October 2026.
- Who is Mistral Blue's sire?
- Mistral Blue (GB) is by Blue Bresil (FR) out of Mistral Reine (GB), whose sire is King's Theatre.
- What going does Mistral Blue prefer?
- Mistral Blue (GB) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 15 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Mistral Blue's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 8 October 2026. The highest on record is 107.
- What is Mistral Blue's sire's record?
- Blue Bresil (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.2% of 3,497 runs since Jan 2008 (454 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Mistral Blue's siblings?
- Out of Mistral Reine (GB), Mistral Blue (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Mistral Nell (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Mistral Nell (GB)). The wins came over 2m–2m3½f. As at Oct 2026.