As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Off 302 days · 6th of 7Last raced off OR 45
KTB Profile
Northerner is a maiden who has won none of 17 starts and placed four times. Her best effort came when second of 12 at Newcastle in Oct 2024. All wins for progeny of her sire have come under 6f and on good to firm or good going. She finished sixth of seven in a Class 6 handicap at Newcastle in Dec 2025, having raced off an official rating of 45 which was 19lb below her highest ever mark.
Based on 17 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating45↓ 19lb off peak
4545–64
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed94the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Newcastle (AW), 26 Nov 2025
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 17 figures · best 97B · median 83
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
9
97B
86
3 · 94 / 86
Good to Firm
4
84A
66
—
Good
3
85C
84
—
Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Under 6f
14
97B
83.5
1 · —
6f – 7f
3
94A
82
2 · 94 / 88
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 17 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating58Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Newcastle (AW), 26 Nov 2025Official rating 45at the last run, 19 Dec 2025
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 17 figures · best 78A · median 56
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
9
78A
54
3 · 58 / 50
Good to Firm
4
76A
61.5
—
Good
3
65B
60
—
Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Under 6f
14
78A
57.5
1 · —
6f – 7f
3
58A
50
2 · 58 / 54
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 17 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ranSettled towards the far flank of the pack - held around midfield at best without ever threatening the leading positions - dropped away quickly inside the final furlong - eventually well beaten in 13th
Arc 1MILLION Bonus Bigger Than Ever Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ranHeld up near the rail towards the back - pushed along at halfway - hampered for room and moved left inside the final furlong - finished with purpose to grab 3rd close home
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ranSettled at the back of the field early - made no real impression through the contest - finished well adrift in 5th
Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ranSat close to the front group early - fading and knocked off stride approaching the last two furlongs - held on for ninth beaten 7½ lengths
Alex Ashton Stag Party Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ranSettled in behind leaders early - pushed along inside final 2f and kept battling on same rail - lacked the speed to get involved in finish
Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ranHandy on the wide side early - lost a bit of ground and pressed for effort 2f out - kept going without gaining much - finished 11th
Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ranSettled midfield near the stand rail - pushed along with 2f left and briefly lost momentum - rallied hard through the last furlong but unable to reel in the winner - finished second beaten three-quarters of a length
Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ranHeld a mid-division position - urged forward with over two furlongs left - finished fast in the last furlong but couldn't get to the front-runners
Northerner (IRE) has yet to win, from 17 archived starts between 2023 and 2025. Placed 4 times in total (23.5% of starts).
Who trains Northerner (IRE)?
Northerner (IRE) is trained by Brian Ellison, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 19 December 2025.
Who is Northerner (IRE)'s sire?
Northerner (IRE) is by Profitable (IRE) out of Beauty Pageant (IRE), whose sire is Bahamian Bounty.
What is Northerner (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 19 December 2025. The highest on record is 64.
What is Northerner (IRE)'s sire's record?
Profitable (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,406 runs since Jan 2008 (356 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Northerner (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Beauty Pageant (IRE), Northerner (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Mews House (GB) (7). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Naana's Shadow (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7½f. As at Oct 2026.
Northerner (IRE)·0–17·SR 0%
KTB
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