Ben Robinson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 280 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (100 rides). Rides mostly for Brian Ellison — 62% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Catterick (16.4%, n=67), clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Thirsk (2.8% over 72 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=192, Fair A/E 0.75). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 11% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −43.66 to a £1 stake over 100 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Brian Ellison supplies 62% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.7%, n=95) and on Heavy going (16.2%, n=37). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.3% over 76 rides, 7pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Northern Spirit (GB) — 6 wins from 32 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,302 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,302 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2016 to 20 August 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ben Robinson's strike rate?
- Ben Robinson has won 116 of 1,401 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ben Robinson do best at?
- Catterick by strike rate: 11 wins from 67 rides (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ben Robinson ride most for?
- Brian Ellison, with 862 rides since 2022 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 84 (9.7%).
- What is Ben Robinson's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 1,391 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.