Provocation (IRE)
Provocation (IRE) is yet to win from 8 starts, though has placed once. Best effort: 3rd of 13 at Chelmsford City (AW) (Nov 2019). Last raced off 64, 13lb below the career-high mark.
- 0–8Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (12.5%)Placed
- −8.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=8 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 46dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 84
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 88C | 44 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 84B | 79 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 74A | 72 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 88C | 59 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 84B | 76 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since Jan 2008 (730 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 40 | 6 | 15% | +6.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,255 | 124 | 9.9% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 2,165 | 189 | 8.7% | −0.2 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1,175 | 105 | 8.9% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,554 | 136 | 8.8% | −0.1 | — |
| Heavy | 526 | 45 | 8.6% | −0.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,703 | 234 | 8.7% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 402 | 43 | 10.7% | +1.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,646 | 252 | 9.5% | +0.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,475 | 218 | 8.8% | −0.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,289 | 195 | 8.5% | −0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,076 | 93 | 8.6% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 416 | 33 | 7.9% | −1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 96 | 3 | 3.1% | −5.8 | — |
| Over 3m | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | +2.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Luminate (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Luminate (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luminate (IRE) | 6 | 3 | 1m–1m2½f | Group 3 |
| Kalaroa (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 2m | — |
| Kalabaya (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 1m3½f | — |
| Supreme Sovereign (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Clew Bay (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 1m2½f | — |
| Paradise Lake (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Chamundi Hills (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Breslin | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oliver Stammers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Franny Norton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dane O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 20+21d | Beverley | Walkington Handicap (Div 2) | 9/9 | 31 | 9-6 | 64 | 15C | 41C | Joe Fanning | 14/1 |
| 22 Jul 20+25d | Yarmouth | MansionBet Beaten By A Head Maiden Handicap | 12/12 | ½ | 9-0 | 68 | 88C | 49C | William Buick | 33/1 |
| 27 Jun 20+19d | Redcar | Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap | 11/12 | 1 | 8-11 | 72 | 44C | 46C | Oliver Stammers | 22/1 |
| 08 Jun 20+196d | Haydock | Read Andrew Balding On Betway Insider Handicap | 8/10 | 1 | 9-5 | 75 | 74A | 63A | Franny Norton | 33/1 |
| 25 Nov 19+17d | Chelmsford City (AW) | totepool Cashback Club At totesport.com Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1) | 6/12 | 1¼ | 9-0 | 77 | 79A | 62A | Andrew Breslin | 6/1 |
| 08 Nov 19+14d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet toteexacta At totesport.com Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 3/13 | 1¼ | 9-0 | — | 84B | 74A | Andrew Breslin | 66/1 |
| 25 Oct 19+29d | Newcastle (AW) | Ladbrokes 'Play 1-2 Free' On Football Novice Auction Stakes | 10/11 | 2¼ | 9-5 | — | 73C | 47C | Dane O'Neill | 8/1 |
| 26 Sep 19 | Pontefract | Jumping Returns To Yorkshire Next Month Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10) | 4/7 | 3 | 9-5 | — | 70A | 72A | Jason Hart | 7/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Provocation (IRE) won?
- Provocation (IRE) has yet to win, from 8 archived starts between 2019 and 2020. Placed 1 time in total (12.5% of starts).
- Who trained Provocation (IRE)?
- Provocation (IRE) was trained by Mark Johnston on the most recent run on record, at Beverley on 12 August 2020.
- Who is Provocation (IRE)'s sire?
- Provocation (IRE) is by Lawman (FR) out of Kalandara (IRE), whose sire is Rainbow Quest.
- What is Provocation (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 64, from the run on 12 August 2020. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Provocation (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Lawman (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since Jan 2008 (730 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Provocation (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Kalandara (IRE), Provocation (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Luminate (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Luminate (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–2m. As at Oct 2026.