What is Andrew Breslin's strike rate?

Andrew Breslin has won 34 of 610 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Breslin do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Andrew Breslin ride most for?

Bryan Smart, with 167 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.8%).

What is Andrew Breslin's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 603 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Andrew Breslin

610 rides in the last 5 seasons · 282 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2025 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

34–610

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=610

127 (21%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=603 · 0.69 incl. margin

−238.00

£1 level stake

n=610 at SP · −39.0%

£541k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 7% (41 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 610 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Bryan Smart: 7.8% from 167 Claiming: 5.9%

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (12.1%, n=33), clear of the rider's 5.6% baseline. It is weakest at Hamilton (0% over 36 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −141.50 to a £1 stake over 264 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Bryan Smart supplies 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.8% vs 5.6%, A/E 0.87). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.2% over 81 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Gweedore (GB) — 5 wins from 16 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.2%−1.4

n=264 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −141.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.3%+1.7

n=41 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −27.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.2%−2.4

n=95 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −42.00

When favourite

37.5%

n=16 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +0.75

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.9%+0.3

n=541 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −190.62

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−5.6

n=67 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −67.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Musselburgh 12.1% vs 5.6% · n=33

With C&D winners 10.1% vs 5.6% · n=119

At Hamilton 0% vs 5.6% · n=36

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.2% vs 5.6% · n=81

With Charlie & Mark Johnston 9.1% vs 5.6% · n=44

Off a break of 180+ days 2.3% vs 5.6% · n=43

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 187 12 6.4% −52.87

Good 174 9 5.2% −86.00

Good to Firm 89 5 5.6% −15.38

Good to Soft 73 4 5.5% −30.75

Soft 73 3 4.1% −42.25

Heavy 12 1 8.3% −8.75

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 113 7 6.2% −3.00

Ayr 46 3 6.5% −32.25

Catterick 40 3 7.5% +0.50

Redcar 37 1 2.7% −14.00

Hamilton 36 0 0% −36.00

Ripon 34 2 5.9% +0.00

Thirsk 34 2 5.9% +0.00

Musselburgh 33 4 12.1% −9.50

Southwell (AW) 32 1 3.1% −26.50

Carlisle 27 2 7.4% −3.00

Doncaster 24 0 0% −24.00

Beverley 23 0 0% −23.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 21 2 9.5% −7.62

Pontefract 20 1 5% −15.00

York 16 1 6.3% −13.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 273 13 4.8% −133.00

Class 5 176 10 5.7% −52.12

Class 4 107 8 7.5% −29.88

Class 2 27 2 7.4% −1.00

Class 3 27 1 3.7% −22.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 24 6 25% 0.95 −7.25

2nd–3rd fav 82 9 11% 0.70 −29.75

4th–6th fav 169 8 4.7% 0.63 −70.00

7th+ in betting 335 11 3.3% 1.11 −131.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Blazing Son (GB) 15 3 8 19 Sep 25

Arlington (GB) 14 2 5 9 Aug 25

Castan (GB) 13 2 5 23 Sep 25

Enfranchise (IRE) 13 3 8 2 Jul 22

High Opinion (GB) 12 1 5 14 Sep 25

Wichahpi (GB) 12 2 5 12 Sep 25

Secret Guest (GB) 11 1 5 16 Aug 25

Princess Karine (GB) 10 1 1 13 Sep 24

Dollarindex (GB) 10 0 3 24 Aug 24

Earn Your Stripes (GB) 10 0 2 12 Aug 24

Gold Ring (GB) 10 2 2 31 May 24

Exponential (GB) 9 0 3 2 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 282 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1256958274607

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBryan Smart

27% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 0.87

TrainerRWSR£1

Bryan Smart 167 13 7.8% −27.25

Ben Haslam 49 2 4.1% −16.75

R Mike Smith 48 3 6.3% −34.25

Charlie & Mark Johnston 44 4 9.1% −12.75

Neil Mechie 36 2 5.6% +10.00

Philip Kirby 35 1 2.9% −24.00

Linda Perratt 30 2 6.7% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

£1.05m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 19 wins

Dare To Hope (IRE) — Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap Ripon · Sep 2023 · Class 2

£20,616

Gweedore (GB) — Betway Musselburgh Silver Arrow Handicap Musselburgh · Apr 2022 · Class 2

£15,462

Enfranchise (IRE) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Middle-distance Handicap Pontefract · Jun 2022 · Class 3

£15,462

Notable horses

Gweedore (GB) Enfranchise (IRE) Blazing Son (GB) Polly Douglas (IRE) Arlington (GB) Castan (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Washington Dc (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 10.1% of 854 runs since 2022 (70 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.8% from 191.

Kodiac (GB) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mayson (GB) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,394 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Aclaim (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,552 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.

Charming Thought (GB) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,005 runs since 2020 (75 horses).

Epaulette (AUS) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 May 2015 to 17 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Samra Star (IRE)T: Linda Perratt Happy Birthday Phil From Probio-Energy HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 25/1

13 Oct 25 Musselburgh Ski Angel (GB)T: R Mike Smith Watch On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 5/1

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Shoptilyoudrop (FR)T: Philip Kirby Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 100/1

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Reenie's Dream (GB)T: Bryan Smart Florence Jamieson Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 11/2

08 Oct 25 Nottingham Queen's Palace (GB)T: Bryan Smart PricedUp The Flat Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 20/1

04 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Samra Star (IRE)T: Linda Perratt Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 16/1

04 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Let Fly Skye (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 250/1

01 Oct 25 Musselburgh Ski Angel (GB)T: R Mike Smith 100% RacingTV Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/4F

01 Oct 25 Musselburgh Zebra Star (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Watch On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/1

01 Oct 25 Musselburgh Golden Valour (GB)T: R Mike Smith 75Media Edinburgh Gateway Gallop HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 8/1

28 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Judgment Call (GB)T: Linda Perratt Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 14/1

26 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Reenie's Dream (GB)T: Bryan Smart Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/4J

24 Sep 25 Kempton (AW) Beauzon (GB)T: Ian Williams Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 28/1

24 Sep 25 Kempton (AW) Woodstock City (GB)T: Ian Williams Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 2nd 16/1

23 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Night On Earth (IRE)T: Ian Williams Golf And Gallop Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 22/1

23 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Castan (GB)T: Bryan Smart Golf And Gallop Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 8/1

22 Sep 25 Hamilton Chiefman (GB)T: R Mike Smith DX Academy Industry Expertise For You Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 33/1

21 Sep 25 Hamilton Ski Angel (GB)T: R Mike Smith Moira Stein Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 12/1

19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Blazing Son (GB)T: Bryan Smart Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 8/1

19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) She'sashambles (IRE)T: Phillip Makin Border Minstrel Sunday Lunch HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Breslin's strike rate?: Andrew Breslin has won 34 of 610 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Breslin do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Andrew Breslin ride most for?: Bryan Smart, with 167 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.8%).
What is Andrew Breslin's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 603 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.