What is Franny Norton's strike rate?

Franny Norton has won 119 of 940 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Franny Norton do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 32 rides (25%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Franny Norton ride most for?

Charlie Johnston, with 321 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (11.8%).

What is Franny Norton's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Franny Norton

940 rides in the last 5 seasons · 491 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2025 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

119–940

Wins / Runs

12.7%

Strike rate

n=940

308 (33%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=937 · 0.88 incl. margin

−181.76

£1 level stake

n=940 at SP · −19.3%

£1.84m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 190 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (98 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 940 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 12.9% 32% when favourite Charlie Johnston: 11.8% from 321 LTO winners: 20.4% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (25%, n=32) and Newcastle (AW) (17.6%, n=51) — all clear of the rider's 12.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.4% (n=98, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.68). Charlie Johnston supplies 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 0.93). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 5.7% over 87 rides, 7pts below the baseline. 41 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Weatherbys Insurance 300,000 2-y-o Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2012, £206,900). The standout partner of the record: Angus Newz (GB) — 7 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.6%−0.1

n=438 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −45.86

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.4%+7.7

n=98 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −10.62

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.9%+0.2

n=101 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −15.54

When favourite

32%

n=103 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −19.03

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−7.9

n=63 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −36.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.3%−8.4

n=23 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Carlisle 25% vs 12.7% · n=32

On last-time-out winners 20.4% vs 12.7% · n=98

On Soft going 5.7% vs 12.7% · n=87

With C&D winners 18.3% vs 12.7% · n=104

At Newcastle (AW) 17.6% vs 12.7% · n=51

Off a break of 180+ days 7.5% vs 12.7% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 350 49 14% −44.54

Good 207 26 12.6% −32.19

Good to Firm 167 23 13.8% −7.35

Good to Soft 100 12 12% −24.07

Soft 87 5 5.7% −67.02

Heavy 26 3 11.5% −5.50

Firm 3 1 33.3% −1.09

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chester 142 17 12% −53.04

Wolverhampton (AW) 116 18 15.5% −10.30

Lingfield (AW) 68 6 8.8% +0.16

Newcastle (AW) 51 9 17.6% −8.26

Chelmsford City (AW) 47 8 17% −16.27

Kempton (AW) 47 5 10.6% −10.75

Ripon 39 5 12.8% −17.37

Brighton 37 5 13.5% −5.25

Carlisle 32 8 25% +9.70

Haydock 28 4 14.3% +8.25

Goodwood 25 0 0% −25.00

Redcar 24 1 4.2% −19.00

Beverley 22 2 9.1% −17.60

Southwell (AW) 21 3 14.3% +0.88

Doncaster 21 1 4.8% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 308 43 14% −0.42

Class 4 240 34 14.2% −52.14

Class 6 158 21 13.3% −40.73

Class 2 122 12 9.8% −30.97

Class 3 89 8 9% −39.50

Class 1 23 1 4.3% −18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 124 34 27.4% 0.91 −36.03

2nd–3rd fav 267 52 19.5% 1.15 +10.27

4th–6th fav 326 28 8.6% 1.03 −10.00

7th+ in betting 223 5 2.2% 0.63 −146.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Wadacre Grace (GB) 22 5 11 9 Mar 24

Pons Aelius (IRE) 16 2 6 8 Jun 24

Fairmac (GB) 13 1 4 12 Jul 23

Wadacre Gomez (GB) 11 3 7 10 May 24

Capital Theory (GB) 9 2 6 23 Aug 24

Evocative Spark (IRE) 8 1 6 27 Jul 24

Venetian (IRE) 8 2 4 3 Oct 23

Ludo's Landing (IRE) 8 2 2 26 Aug 23

Soapy Stevens (GB) 8 2 5 27 Aug 22

Aviemore (GB) 7 2 5 19 Sep 24

Dreams Adozen (FR) 7 0 2 25 May 24

Macarone (GB) 6 1 2 3 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 491 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

901815121391310171020

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardCharlie Johnston

34% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Charlie Johnston 321 38 11.8% −52.43

Charlie & Mark Johnston 275 40 14.5% −44.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,311

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.2m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 112 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Gold Cheongsam (IRE) — Weatherbys Insurance 300,000 2-y-o Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2012 · Class 2

£206,900

Dream Eater (IRE) — samsung 300000 St Leger 2-y-o Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£191,533

Permian (IRE) — Betfred Dante Stakes (Group 2) York · May 2017 · Group 2

£105,310

Notable horses

Angus Newz (GB) Sir Ron Priestley (GB) Foley Millennium (IRE) Wadacre Grace (GB) Lucky Dan (IRE) Bookiebasher Babe (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.9% · 5–46

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Brazen Beau (AUS) 23.5% · 8–34

Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,475 runs since 2019 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.

Iffraaj (GB) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,990 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

Bobby's Kitten (USA) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,674 runs since 2020 (144 horses).

Gleneagles (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,571 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.

Galileo (IRE) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,260 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,260 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 14 September 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Sep 25 Doncaster Susie Sioux (GB)T: John Mackie IPM Group Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 15/2

21 Sep 24 Chester Qitaal (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Abacus Securities Farewell To Franny Norton HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 2/1F

21 Sep 24 Chester Small Fry (IRE)T: Gary & Josh Moore Camden Hells HandicapClass 5 · 14.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 11/10F

21 Sep 24 Chester Night On Earth (IRE)T: Ian Williams Protos Networks & Cisco HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 20/1

21 Sep 24 Chester South Parade (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Boodles HandicapClass 4 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 9/4F

21 Sep 24 Chester Raneenn (IRE)T: William Haggas EBF 'Confined' Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 1st 1/3F

21 Sep 24 Chester Karl Carlston (IRE)T: Darryll Holland Halliwell Jones NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 5/1

21 Sep 24 Chester Wadacre Giorgio (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Protos Networks Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 20/1

19 Sep 24 Ayr Aviemore (GB)T: Charlie Johnston LiveScore Bet Kilkerran HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 9th 13/2

19 Sep 24 Ayr Chookie Dunedin (GB)T: R Mike Smith BrandingHub For Signs & Graphics Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 200/1

19 Sep 24 Ayr Earn Your Stripes (GB)T: R Mike Smith BrandingHub For Signs & Graphics Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 80/1

19 Sep 24 Ayr Mystical Sky (IRE)T: Charlie Johnston British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 250/1

14 Sep 24 Chester Pearl Eye (GB)T: Darryll Holland Wilson Family HandicapClass 4 · 7.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

14 Sep 24 Chester Loyal Touch (IRE)T: Charlie Johnston Virgin Bet HandicapClass 3 · 10.5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 15/2

14 Sep 24 Chester Sheradann (FR)T: Ian Williams LiveScore Bet Watergate Cup (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 14/1

14 Sep 24 Chester Sir Peter Fossick (IRE)T: Charlie Johnston Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/4J

13 Sep 24 Chester Aviemore (GB)T: Charlie Johnston National Racehorse Week HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 6/4F

13 Sep 24 Chester Love Billy Boy (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Chester HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

13 Sep 24 Chester Peace Walk (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Camden Town Brewery HandicapClass 4 · 14.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 10/1

13 Sep 24 Chester Invincible Love (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Horseradish Catering & Events EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Franny Norton's strike rate?: Franny Norton has won 119 of 940 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Franny Norton do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 32 rides (25%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Franny Norton ride most for?: Charlie Johnston, with 321 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (11.8%).
What is Franny Norton's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.