What is Dane O'Neill's strike rate?

Dane O'Neill has won 52 of 366 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dane O'Neill do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Dane O'Neill ride most for?

Henry Candy, with 85 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (12.9%).

What is Dane O'Neill's Fair A/E?

1.27, from 366 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Dane O'Neill

366 rides in the last 5 seasons · 243 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

52–366

Wins / Runs

14.2%

Strike rate

n=366

118 (32%)

Placed

1.27

Fair A/E

n=366 · 1.10 incl. margin

−83.73

£1 level stake

n=366 at SP · −22.9%

£768k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.27). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 41% (32 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 366 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 59.5% when favourite Henry Candy: 12.9% from 85 LTO winners: 40.6% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 40.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 2.34), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.9% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.97). Henry Candy supplies 23% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.9%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (30%, n=30) and off a 8-14-day break (24.4%, n=45). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.81 across 58 rides (20.7% strike, +7.56 to a £1 stake). 54 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot (Jun 2015, £229,854). The standout partner of the record: La Estrella (USA) — 13 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.8%−1.4

n=219 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −45.18

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

40.6%+26.4

n=32 · A/E 2.34 · £1 +16.42

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.2%−1.0

n=68 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −10.54

When favourite

59.5%

n=37 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +18.37

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.9%−9.3

n=41 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −19.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−6.5

n=26 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −16.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 40.6% vs 14.2% · n=32

At trips under 6f 30% vs 14.2% · n=30

With Marcus Tregoning 0% vs 14.2% · n=30

Off a 8-14-day break 24.4% vs 14.2% · n=45

In Class 2 23.3% vs 14.2% · n=30

In Class 6 20.7% vs 14.2% · n=58

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 106 18 17% +19.35

Good 101 17 16.8% −21.58

Standard (AW) 85 10 11.8% −46.21

Good to Soft 43 5 11.6% −17.29

Soft 26 1 3.8% −16.50

Heavy 5 1 20% −1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 39 3 7.7% −24.92

Newbury 28 2 7.1% −15.00

Salisbury 27 3 11.1% −17.88

Windsor 25 4 16% +15.38

Newmarket 19 0 0% −19.00

Chepstow 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Haydock 18 5 27.8% +11.33

Wolverhampton (AW) 18 2 11.1% −13.67

Leicester 17 4 23.5% +18.62

Doncaster 17 4 23.5% +2.38

Bath 15 2 13.3% −8.50

Lingfield (AW) 14 4 28.6% +3.50

Goodwood 13 0 0% −13.00

Newmarket 11 1 9.1% −5.50

Ascot 11 2 18.2% +1.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 127 14 11% −64.16

Class 4 104 12 11.5% −30.71

Class 6 58 12 20.7% +7.56

Class 2 30 7 23.3% +24.88

Class 1 26 2 7.7% −16.75

Class 3 21 5 23.8% −4.55

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 44 24 54.5% 1.59 +18.87

2nd–3rd fav 70 13 18.6% 1.05 −9.60

4th–6th fav 122 12 9.8% 1.28 −17.00

7th+ in betting 130 3 2.3% 0.73 −76.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Arlecchino's Gift (GB) 6 2 3 10 Jul 23

Run To Freedom (GB) 6 1 2 24 Jun 23

Penguin Island (GB) 5 0 2 3 May 23

Change Of Fortune (GB) 5 0 1 22 Sep 22

By Starlight (IRE) 5 0 0 27 Aug 22

Fitzroy River (GB) 4 0 0 8 Jul 23

Graham (GB) 4 1 2 6 Jul 23

Mutaany (GB) 4 1 3 21 Jun 23

Four Feet (IRE) 4 2 2 20 Oct 22

Busselton (GB) 4 0 0 17 Oct 22

Nancy Angel (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Aug 22

Jimmy Lifestyle (GB) 3 0 0 27 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 243 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

···141617179163··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHenry Candy

23% of all rides
12.9% SR · A/E 1.27

TrainerRWSR£1

Henry Candy 85 11 12.9% −30.93

Richard Hannon 80 9 11.3% −17.12

Charles Hills 32 4 12.5% +6.50

Marcus Tregoning 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,219

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.3m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 109 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Muhaarar (GB) — Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Group 1

£229,854

Mutakayyef (GB) — Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) (Rnd) Ascot · Jul 2017 · Group 2

£73,723

Elarqam (GB) — Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) York · Jul 2019 · Group 2

£68,052

Notable horses

La Estrella (USA) Tinshu (IRE) First Post (IRE) Lisahane Bog (GB) Patavium Prince (IRE) Full Victory (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,881 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,939 runs since 2008 (1,111 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Muhaarar (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,786 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,541 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Oasis Dream (GB) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,002 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,540 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,540 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 10 July 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Jul 23 Chepstow Arlecchino's Gift (GB)T: Mark Usher TMGroup Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 12/1

10 Jul 23 Chepstow Al Khawaneej River (FR)T: Marcus Tregoning Office Visions Your Space Our Vision EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 13/2

08 Jul 23 Leicester Fitzroy River (GB)T: Henry Candy A & J Sectional Buildings Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 33/1

08 Jul 23 Leicester Craven (GB)T: Richard Fahey Toons Furnishers HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 5/1

08 Jul 23 Leicester Unequal Love (GB)T: William Haggas Loughborough Building Society EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 13/8

08 Jul 23 Leicester Bellestarr (GB)T: Craig Lidster Smooth Breakfast With Gareth Evans Selling StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 28/1

07 Jul 23 Doncaster So Chic (IRE)T: Charles Hills Ali Adla Takepayments Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 20/1

07 Jul 23 Doncaster Tajanis (IRE)T: William Haggas Jamie Downey Takepayments Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 12/1

06 Jul 23 Newbury Exertive (IRE)T: Charles Hills BetVictor Race Series Cup Handicap (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 8th 14/1

06 Jul 23 Newbury Graham (GB)T: Richard Hannon TPT Fire HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/3

06 Jul 23 Newbury Daahes (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Country & Town House Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 13/2

06 Jul 23 Newbury Milteye (GB)T: Jack Channon Country & Town House Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 4/1

06 Jul 23 Newbury Mitwaa (IRE)T: Roger Varian KKA Studio Novice Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2

01 Jul 23 Doncaster Desert Voice (GB)T: William Haggas Monthly Artisan Craft Fayres Lakeside Village HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

01 Jul 23 Doncaster Cairn Gorm (GB)T: Kevin Philippart De Foy Skopes Menswear Lakeside Village 75th Anniversary HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

01 Jul 23 Doncaster Alshinfarah (IRE)T: Kevin Philippart De Foy Cook N Dine Specialists In Kitchenware EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/2F

01 Jul 23 Doncaster Kaidu (IRE)T: Clive Cox Your First Destination Baggage Factory Lakeside Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 4th 85/40F

01 Jul 23 Doncaster Sid's Annie (GB)T: Mark Usher Lakeside Village Outlet Shopping Doncaster Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/2

30 Jun 23 Yarmouth Tafreej (IRE)T: William Haggas Moulton Nurseries HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 5/4F

28 Jun 23 Kempton (AW) Monteria (IRE)T: Stuart Kittow Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dane O'Neill's strike rate?: Dane O'Neill has won 52 of 366 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dane O'Neill do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Dane O'Neill ride most for?: Henry Candy, with 85 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (12.9%).
What is Dane O'Neill's Fair A/E?: 1.27, from 366 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.