Rogue Messiah (IRE)
Rogue Messiah is a gelding who has two wins from eight runs, both gained on a first visit to the course. Each success came over 6f – 7f, one at Windsor on good ground in Aug 2025 and the other in a Class 4 handicap at Lingfield (AW) on standard going in Apr 2026. He usually races prominently and last ran off his career-high mark of 87 when seventh of 12 at Kempton (AW) in Oct 2026.
- 2–8Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 4 (50%)Placed
- +2.50£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 2.11Fair A/E n=8 · 1.73 incl. margin
- 87Highest OR
- 64dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 110
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 110A | 103.5 | 4 runs · 110 / 103.5 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 86A | 75 | 2 runs · 86 / 75 |
| Good | 2 | 102A | 95 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 110A | 94 | 6 runs · 110 / 94 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 1 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs since Aug 2025
- Prominent 4 (50%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 3 (38%) · 1 win
- Led 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,970 runs since Jun 2020 (389 horses).
Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 259.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +17 | — |
| Good to Firm | 535 | 65 | 12.1% | +1.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 1,027 | 108 | 10.5% | +0.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 378 | 34 | 9% | −1.3 | — |
| Soft | 539 | 51 | 9.5% | −0.8 | — |
| Heavy | 145 | 14 | 9.7% | −0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,335 | 134 | 10% | −0.3 | 1 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 556 | 69 | 12.4% | +2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,247 | 240 | 10.7% | +0.4 | 2 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 735 | 64 | 8.7% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 259 | 19 | 7.3% | −3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 112 | 11 | 9.8% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 48 | 4 | 8.3% | −2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 2 | 20% | +9.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Little Gem (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Little Gem (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Gem (GB) | 20 | 1 | 7f | Class 6 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Edward Greatrex | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Oct 26+33d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes Bumped soon after the start on the inside - raced in the pack's centre - pushed along over 3f out - briefly challenged 2f out before fading inside the final furlong - finished 7th | 7/12 | 1½ | 10-0 | 87 | 110A | 89A | Luke Morris | 8/1 |
| 23 Sep 26+74d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes Held up in the pack early - pushed along and finished strongly from over 2f out - kept on to finish second beaten a length and a quarter | 2/13 | 1¼ | 9-10 | 85 | 107B | 97A | Luke Morris | 10/1 |
| 11 Jul 26+36d | Newmarket | Debenhams Handicap close to the pace early - driven along 2f out - weakened 1f out | 8/11 | 1¼ | 9-4 | 86 | 64A | 77A | Daniel Muscutt | 28/1 |
| 05 Jun 26+38d | Doncaster | Rotabroach Proudly Supports WPCC Handicap Drifted right at the outset - raced close to the pace - driven and dropped away quickly two furlongs out to finish ninth | 9/10 | nk | 9-11 | 87 | 86A | 80A | Jason Hart | 6/1 |
| 28 Apr 26+22d | Lingfield (AW) | Follow attheraces On Instagram Handicap Settled just behind the pace - pushed along with 2f left and edged closer inside the final furlong - hit the front close home - held on for the win | 1/10 | 9-6 | 82 | 100A | 92A | Luke Morris | 4/1 | |
| 06 Apr 26+212d | Kempton (AW) | Virgin Bet Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace under pressure - asked for effort 2f out - overtaken approaching final furlong - stayed on for second but outpaced by winner | 2/12 | 1¾ | 9-9 | — | 88A | 94A | Luke Morris | 10/3 |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Sep 25+33d | Thirsk | British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Held a forward position early - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away soon after and finished well held | 8/16 | shd | 9-11 | — | 88C | 71A | Edward Greatrex | 5/1 |
| 04 Aug 25 | Windsor | Get Raceday Ready EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Sluggish start - settled midpack - moved through on the outside two out - jostled while pressing forward a furlong out - hit the front inside the last and soon asserted | 1/9 | 9-7 | — | 102A | 93A | Kieran Shoemark | 9/2 | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Rogue Messiah won?
- Rogue Messiah (IRE) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains Rogue Messiah?
- Rogue Messiah (IRE) is trained by James Owen, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 26 October 2026.
- Who is Rogue Messiah's sire?
- Rogue Messiah (IRE) is by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Harlequin Twist (GB), whose sire is Acclamation.
- What going does Rogue Messiah prefer?
- Rogue Messiah (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Rogue Messiah's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 26 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Rogue Messiah's sire's record?
- Kodi Bear (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,970 runs since Jun 2020 (389 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 259.
- Who are Rogue Messiah's siblings?
- Out of Harlequin Twist (GB), Rogue Messiah (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Little Gem (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Little Gem (GB)). The wins came over 7f. As at Nov 2026.