Samara Bay (IRE)
Samara Bay (IRE) is 2 from 9, both wins coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Aug 2020.
- 2–9Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 2 (22.2%)Placed
- +3.75£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 1.71Fair A/E n=9 · 1.48 incl. margin
- 74Highest OR
- 17dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 86
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 98A | 79 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 86A | 63 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 98A | 79 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 47A | 43 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 8,114 runs since Jan 2008 (747 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −1.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,457 | 179 | 12.3% | +0.7 | — |
| Good | 1,957 | 221 | 11.3% | −0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 753 | 84 | 11.2% | −0.4 | — |
| Soft | 919 | 96 | 10.4% | −1.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 208 | 22 | 10.6% | −1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,801 | 337 | 12% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2,091 | 267 | 12.8% | +1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 4,267 | 475 | 11.1% | −0.5 | 2 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,358 | 156 | 11.5% | −0.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 361 | 42 | 11.6% | 0 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 30 | 1 | 3.3% | −8.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Fantasy Believer (IRE) (10 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Fantasy Believer (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantasy Believer (IRE) | 63 | 10 | 1m–1m3f | Class 2 |
| Three Dons (IRE) | 50 | 8 | 1m–1m4f | Class 4 |
| Earthy Mangold (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Changing Direction (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Can't Chant (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +6.75 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catterick | 2 | 2 | 100% | +10.75 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 2 | 29% | +5.75 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Hamilton | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Jimmy Quinn | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Curtis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Garritty | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Samara Bay (IRE) won?
- Samara Bay (IRE) won 2 of 9 archived starts in 2020, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 2 times in total (22.2% of starts).
- Who trained Samara Bay (IRE)?
- Samara Bay (IRE) was trained by Richard Fahey on the most recent run on record, at Redcar on 16 October 2020.
- Who is Samara Bay (IRE)'s sire?
- Samara Bay (IRE) is by Mehmas (IRE) out of Avizare (IRE), whose sire is Lawman.
- What going does Samara Bay (IRE) prefer?
- Samara Bay (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Samara Bay (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 71, from the run on 16 October 2020. The highest on record is 74.
- What is Samara Bay (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Mehmas (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 8,114 runs since Jan 2008 (747 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Samara Bay (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Avizare (IRE), Samara Bay (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Fantasy Believer (IRE) (10). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Fantasy Believer (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.