Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.44).
Deterministic profile computed from 230 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026
The read
The market has consistently overbetfirst rides on a horse: 1.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.41 and −110.50 to a £1 stake over 132 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.68 across 78 rides (3.8% strike, −59.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2007, £136,158). The standout partner of the record: Magical Music (GB) — 8 wins from 23 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.5%−0.7
n=132 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −110.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3%+0.8
n=33 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −16.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Dean Ivory5.3% vs 2.2% · n=38
Over 1m – 1m1f0% vs 2.2% · n=44
On Good going0% vs 2.2% · n=38
Off a 31-60-day break0% vs 2.2% · n=37
Off a 15-30-day break3.8% vs 2.2% · n=78 · A/E 0.68
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)8611.2%−77.00
Good to Firm5911.7%−42.00
Good3800%−38.00
Soft2328.7%−12.50
Good to Soft1500%−15.00
Heavy7114.3%−2.50
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW)2600%−26.00
Yarmouth19210.5%−8.50
Kempton (AW)1616.3%−7.00
Lingfield (AW)1500%−15.00
Lingfield1400%−14.00
Newmarket1300%−13.00
Brighton1300%−13.00
Southwell (AW)1300%−13.00
Wolverhampton (AW)1200%−12.00
Nottingham1119.1%−6.50
Windsor1000%−10.00
Newmarket10110%+7.00
Doncaster1000%−10.00
Ascot800%−8.00
Beverley400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 610621.9%−92.00
Class 56323.2%−53.00
Class 23313%−16.00
Class 42000%−20.00
Class 3800%−8.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav24312.5%0.82−9.00
4th–6th fav6611.5%0.25−57.00
7th+ in betting13810.7%0.32−121.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f7733.9%−46.50
1m2f – 1m4f5711.8%−52.00
1m – 1m1f4400%−44.00
1m5f – 2m2613.8%−20.50
Under 6f2300%−23.00
2m1f – 2m4f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20228122.5%−58.50
20238011.3%−75.50
20246723%−53.00
2025100%−1.00
2026100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps18452.7%−143.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners8011.3%−75.00
11-13 runners6811.5%−59.00
5-7 runners4512.2%−40.50
17+ runners2015%−3.00
14-16 runners1300%−13.00
2-4 runners4125%+1.50
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 143 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000040330800
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
708
Archived wins
9
Pattern / graded wins
£6.80m
Prize money
2008
Best season · 88 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,530 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Progeny have won 8% of 3,566 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,048 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 115. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 522. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 9,678 · newest first
The latest 50 of 9,678 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 11 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Jimmy Quinn's strike rate?
Jimmy Quinn has won 5 of 230 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Jimmy Quinn's Fair A/E?
0.44, from 229 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Jimmy Quinn·SR 2.2%·A/E 0.44
KTB
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