What is Richard Fahey's strike rate?

Richard Fahey has won 409 of 3,861 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Fahey do best at?

Beverley by strike rate: 27 wins from 168 runners (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard Fahey?

Oisin Orr, with 1,343 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 173 (12.9%).

What is Richard Fahey's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,831 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard Fahey

3,861 runners in the last 5 seasons · 427 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.1% of 255 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 104 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

409–3,861

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=3,861

1,130 (29%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,831 · 0.85 incl. margin

−768.71

£1 level stake

n=3,861 at SP · −19.9%

£8.73m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 770 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 20% (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,861 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 31.3% when favourite Oisin Orr: 12.9% from 1,343 Headgear returns: 19.7% Claiming riders: 11.2% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (34.4%, n=32), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at York (5.6% over 357 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 19.7% (n=66, Fair A/E 2.14), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=138, Fair A/E 0.78). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 10.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +257.73 to a £1 stake over 154 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Oisin Orr rides 35% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.9% vs 10.6%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. 121 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Queen Anne Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2017, £388,464). The stable star of the record: Gabrial The Tiger (IRE) — 13 wins from 64 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.8%−0.8

n=470 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −53.56

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−10.6

n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00

Debutants · first career start

10%−0.6

n=311 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −142.78

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.5%−4.1

n=138 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −71.92

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

19.7%+9.1

n=66 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +18.00

When favourite

31.3%

n=320 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −32.59

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.2%+0.6

n=561 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −78.28

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.4%−0.2

n=154 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +257.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wetherby 34.4% vs 10.6% · n=32

With Cam Hardie 3.6% vs 10.6% · n=280

With headgear back on 19.7% vs 10.6% · n=66

With Harry Russell 1.5% vs 10.6% · n=65

With Barry McHugh 4.3% vs 10.6% · n=116

At York 5.6% vs 10.6% · n=357

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,856 408 10.6% −768.31

NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +1.60

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,290 136 10.5% −250.76

Good 891 105 11.8% −17.23

Good to Firm 710 74 10.4% −177.44

Good to Soft 503 45 8.9% −197.29

Soft 364 42 11.5% −82.34

Heavy 103 7 6.8% −43.65

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 576 64 11.1% −108.19

York 357 20 5.6% −210.95

Wolverhampton (AW) 321 37 11.5% −51.25

Southwell (AW) 266 21 7.9% −89.42

Ayr 189 15 7.9% −92.63

Doncaster 181 17 9.4% −32.92

Beverley 168 27 16.1% −42.66

Pontefract 151 19 12.6% −16.97

Thirsk 149 21 14.1% −59.68

Ripon 148 21 14.2% +4.65

Haydock 140 9 6.4% −47.67

Redcar 128 9 7% −83.87

Hamilton 127 20 15.7% −33.00

Chester 123 10 8.1% −45.42

Carlisle 107 12 11.2% −18.30

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,062 125 11.8% −307.14

Class 4 1,031 102 9.9% −266.98

Class 6 605 79 13.1% −128.37

Class 2 518 46 8.9% −120.50

Class 3 478 38 7.9% −204.58

Class 1 154 16 10.4% +257.73

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 388 115 29.6% 1.05 −33.97

2nd–3rd fav 899 156 17.4% 1.05 −70.24

4th–6th fav 1,299 101 7.8% 0.94 −345.50

7th+ in betting 1,275 37 2.9% 0.80 −319.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Vintage Clarets (GB)then Richard & Peter Fahey 50 8 17 21 Mar 26

Monsieur Kodi (IRE)then Richard & Peter Fahey 50 9 22 9 Mar 26

Zip (GB) 46 6 18 28 Jun 25

Havana Rum (IRE)then Richard & Peter Fahey 42 6 19 30 Dec 25

Outrun The Storm (IRE) 41 5 14 24 Feb 26

Show Me Show Me (GB) 40 4 11 20 Feb 25

Absolute Dream (IRE) 40 5 12 12 Dec 24

Strike Red (IRE)then Richard & Peter Fahey 38 4 8 8 Nov 25

Rock Opera (GB)then Richard & Peter Fahey 38 4 14 1 Nov 25

Sir Maxi (GB)from George Boughey · then Sam England 36 4 14 3 Jul 24

Have Secret (IRE)then Richard & Peter Fahey 35 4 15 1 Jan 26

Hartswood (GB) 35 6 10 24 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 427 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

34 have since run for another yard, most often for Richard & Peter Fahey (19) and Ivan Furtado (3); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111581110121012910149

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderOisin Orr

35% of all rides
12.9% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

Oisin Orr 1,343 173 12.9% −301.19

Billy Garritty 310 35 11.3% −68.14

Cam Hardie 280 10 3.6% −178.00

Jack Garritty 274 31 11.3% −55.67

Connor Murtagh 176 16 9.1% −56.49

Warren Fentiman 165 13 7.9% −58.75

Ethan Tindall 137 14 10.2% −12.67

David Nolan 130 17 13.1% −8.88

Barry McHugh 116 5 4.3% −73.50

Tony Hamilton 106 5 4.7% −60.50

Paul Hanagan 85 13 15.3% +22.71

Oisin McSweeney 80 5 6.3% −33.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

3,119

Archived wins

121

Pattern / graded wins

£49.6m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 239 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ribchester (IRE) — Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2017 · Group 1

£388,464

Sands Of Mali (FR) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2018 · Group 1

£358,691

Powerful Glory (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2025 · Group 1

£318,994

Notable horses

Gabrial The Tiger (IRE) Arctic Feeling (IRE) Zip (GB) Furzig (GB) Trip The Light (GB) Mica Mika (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 12.3% · 22–179

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Ardad (IRE) 11.5% · 19–165

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,502 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Cotai Glory (GB) 17.8% · 28–157

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,917 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,396. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 417.

Dark Angel (IRE) 10.7% · 16–150

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Mayson (GB) 10.3% · 13–126

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,363 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,726. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Showcasing (GB) 8.8% · 11–125

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,577 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 26,651 · newest first

The latest 50 of 26,651 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Jul 26 Chepstow Sundiata Keita (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Never Ordinary At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 16/1

23 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Aurelune (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 66/1

21 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Thankfully Simmy (GB)J: Cam Hardie Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 4/1

21 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Evolve (GB)J: Cam Hardie Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 14/1

21 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Kameko Fever (IRE)J: David Nolan Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

21 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Vintage Clarets (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Midnite A Next Generation Betting App HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 28/1

21 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Ndoto (GB)J: Shane Gray Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 11/1

20 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Up The Jazz (IRE)J: Harry Russell Friday Night Live With SBK Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 10/1

19 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) What A Tahoo (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 17/2

19 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Too Darn Spicy (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 66/1

19 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Noble Gentleman (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 33/1

19 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Vega Storm (IRE)J: Harry Russell Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

19 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Hashtagnotions (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

18 Mar 26 Kempton (AW) Golden Mind (IRE)J: J F Egan Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 7th 22/1

14 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Ay Gee Ell (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 3/1

13 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Horace Wallace (GB)J: Cam Hardie Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 9/4F

12 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Ziggy's Condor (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

09 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Monsieur Kodi (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 9/1

06 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Golden Strike (IRE)J: Jack Garritty BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 2/1J

06 Mar 26 Newcastle (AW) Flying Fletcher (GB)J: Shane Gray Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Fahey's strike rate?: Richard Fahey has won 409 of 3,861 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Fahey do best at?: Beverley by strike rate: 27 wins from 168 runners (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Fahey?: Oisin Orr, with 1,343 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 173 (12.9%).
What is Richard Fahey's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,831 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.